Schenectady                   1 - 7


 
   Conf =  A                         Region = NY A  Sec 2            
   Nickname = Y Patriots             Coach  =   Brian Melanson        



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   78.6309814    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 410 H Glens Falls            NY C  Sec 2   (11- 6, 76.8)    12-13   
 418 A Cohoes                 NY C  Sec 2   ( 0-10, 60.1)   
 423 H Scotia-Glenville       NY B  Sec 2   ( 6- 5, 77.4)   
 423 H South Glens Falls      NY B  Sec 2   ( 1- 8, 62.4)   
 425 A Holy Names Acad, NY    NY B  Sec 2   ( 3- 5, 78.3) 10
 428 H Albany Academy SG      NY C  Sec 2   (14- 2, 86.9)     3-15   
 430 A Queensbury             NY B  Sec 2   ( 8- 5, 75.0)     7-12   
 505 A Emma Willard           NY C  Sec 2   (13- 5, 79.9)     6- 8   
 507 H Johnstown              NY C  Sec 2   ( 3-12, 61.8)    14- 5   
 508 A Scotia-Glenville       NY B  Sec 2   ( 6- 5, 77.4)   
 509 H Holy Names Acad, NY    NY B  Sec 2   ( 3- 5, 78.3) 10
 512 A Albany Academy SG      NY C  Sec 2   (14- 2, 86.9)     3-15   
 514 H Emma Willard           NY C  Sec 2   (13- 5, 79.9)    17-18   
 516 H Cohoes                 NY C  Sec 2   ( 0-10, 60.1)   
 519 A Guilderland            NY A  Sec 2   (22- 1, 99.9)     2-23   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   410 H Glens Falls            12-13      -1    -6    ++     5.79
   428 H Albany Academy SG       3-15     -12   -16           0.00
   430 A Queensbury              7-12      -5    -6           1.37
   505 A Emma Willard            6- 8      -2   -11    +++    8.00
   507 H Johnstown              14- 5       9     8           0.83
   512 A Albany Academy SG       3-15     -12   -18           0.00
   514 H Emma Willard           17-18      -1    -9    +++    8.88
   519 A Guilderland             2-23     -21   -31           0.00


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   505 A Emma Willard            6- 8      -2   -11    +++    8.00
   514 H Emma Willard           17-18      -1    -9    +++    8.88
   410 H Glens Falls            12-13      -1    -6    ++     5.79




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 69.30 Local Power Rank...........    17
 Local SOS Rating......... 60.62 Local SOS Rank.............    10
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.49 Local RPI Rank.............    12
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    18
 Local Quality Win Rating.-70.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    16
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......   13.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  1- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -5.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -15.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -9.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -7.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....  -11.3


  
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