Region = WA A East              
   Nickname = A Roughriders          Coach  =   Lorrie McKay          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.0940857    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 312 A Seattle Prep School    WA A East     ( 3-10, 81.0)     9- 8   
 314 H Mercer Island          WA A East     ( 8- 5, 88.9)     7-12   
 320 H Forest Ridge           WA A East     ( 9- 5, 91.5)     5-15   
 324 H Lakeside School        WA A West     (14- 1, 98.5)     3-11   
 327 H Lake Sammamish         WA A East     ( 3-10, 81.0)    13-11   
 409 H Holy Names Acad, WA    WA A West     ( 4- 8, 84.4)    12-11   
 415 A Mercer Island          WA A East     ( 8- 5, 88.9)    16-16   
 417 H Seattle Prep School    WA A East     ( 3-10, 81.0)    10-17   
 424 A North Kitsap           WA A West     ( 0-13, 66.6)    15- 1   
 429 A Tacoma                 WA A West     ( 8- 5, 89.2)    10-13   
 502 A Lake Sammamish         WA A East     ( 3-10, 81.0)    11-15   
 505 H Bainbridge Island      WA A West     (13- 2, 99.9)     5-18   
 508 A Forest Ridge           WA A East     ( 9- 5, 91.5)    10- 8   
 513 A Lakeside School        WA A West     (14- 1, 98.5)     4-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   312 A Seattle Prep School     9- 8       1     1          -0.28
   314 H Mercer Island           7-12      -5    -4          -0.40
   320 H Forest Ridge            5-15     -10    -7    -     -2.78
   324 H Lakeside School         3-11      -8   -14    +      2.00
   327 H Lake Sammamish         13-11       2     3          -1.34
   409 H Holy Names Acad, WA    12-11       1     0           1.14
   415 A Mercer Island          16-16       0    -6    +++    6.66
   417 H Seattle Prep School    10-17      -7     3    ---  -10.34
   424 A North Kitsap           15- 1      14    15           0.00
   429 A Tacoma                 10-13      -3    -6    +      3.95
   502 A Lake Sammamish         11-15      -4     1    --    -5.28
   505 H Bainbridge Island       5-18     -13   -15           0.00
   508 A Forest Ridge           10- 8       2    -9    +++   11.28
   513 A Lakeside School         4-14     -10   -16           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   417 H Seattle Prep School    10-17      -7     3    ---  -10.34
   502 A Lake Sammamish         11-15      -4     1    --    -5.28
   320 H Forest Ridge            5-15     -10    -7    -     -2.78

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   415 A Mercer Island          16-16       0    -6    +++    6.66
   508 A Forest Ridge           10- 8       2    -9    +++   11.28
   324 H Lakeside School         3-11      -8   -14    +      2.00
   429 A Tacoma                 10-13      -3    -6    +      3.95
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 83.28 Local Power Rank...........     7
 Local SOS Rating......... 72.45 Local SOS Rank.............     3
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.47 Local RPI Rank.............     7
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......     6
 Local Quality Win Rating. 55.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     6
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 6 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -5.9
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  5- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.9
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.9
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -7.0
/