Region = NC E Cen               
   Nickname = C Pirates              Coach  =   Mark Brueckner        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   76.3669586    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 301 A Durham Academy         NC E Cen      (15- 5, 90.6)     3-13   
 306 H St. Mary's, NC         NC E Cen      ( 7- 9, 79.9)     7-16   
 311 H Carrboro               NC E Cen      ( 4-11, 76.7)     6-14   
 313 H Panther Creek          NC East       ( 3-12, 71.9)     6- 9   
 318 H East Chapel Hill       NC E Cen      (14- 4, 94.7)     1-15   
 320 A Chapel Hill            NC E Cen      (13- 8, 87.8)     6-16   
 324 H Enloe                  NC East       ( 7- 7, 85.2)     6-20   
 327 A Wakefield, NC          NC East       (12- 5, 87.8)     6-13   
 408 A Carrboro               NC E Cen      ( 4-11, 76.7)     7-18   
 410 H Cardinal Gibbons, NC   NC E Cen      ( 7- 7, 84.8)     7-15   
 417 A St. Mary's, NC         NC E Cen      ( 7- 9, 79.9)    13-21   
 424 A Enloe                  NC East       ( 7- 7, 85.2)     8-20   
 426 H Ashley                 NC SE         ( 8- 7, 84.3)     2-19   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   301 A Durham Academy          3-13     -10   -22           0.00
   306 H St. Mary's, NC          7-16      -9   -11           1.00
   311 H Carrboro                6-14      -8    -7          -0.17
   313 H Panther Creek           6- 9      -3    -2          -0.03
   318 H East Chapel Hill        1-15     -14   -25           0.00
   320 A Chapel Hill             6-16     -10   -20           0.00
   324 H Enloe                   6-20     -14   -16           0.00
   327 A Wakefield, NC           6-13      -7   -19    +      3.00
   408 A Carrboro                7-18     -11    -8          -1.09
   410 H Cardinal Gibbons, NC    7-15      -8   -15    +      2.00
   417 A St. Mary's, NC         13-21      -8   -12    +      2.00
   424 A Enloe                   8-20     -12   -17           0.00
   426 H Ashley                  2-19     -17   -15           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 A Wakefield, NC           6-13      -7   -19    +      3.00
   410 H Cardinal Gibbons, NC    7-15      -8   -15    +      2.00
   417 A St. Mary's, NC         13-21      -8   -12    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 68.34 Local Power Rank...........    43
 Local SOS Rating......... 64.36 Local SOS Rank.............    14
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.35 Local RPI Rank.............    43
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    40
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    44
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......   16.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  0-13 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....  -10.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -14.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -10.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....  -12.3
/