Conf =  MC                        Region = NY A  Sec 5            
   Nickname = Y Patriots             Coach  =   Wayne Smith           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   93.0494537    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 325 A West Genesee           NY A  Sec 3   (24- 0, 99.9)     2-19   
 405 A Honeoye Falls-Lima     NY C  Sec 5   (14- 7, 91.4)    14-11   
 410 A Athena-Odyssey         NY A  Sec 5   ( 0-16, 61.0)    21- 1   
 411 H West Seneca East       NY B  Sec 6   ( 9- 8, 89.1)    19- 3   
 416 A Carthage               NY B  Sec 3   (18- 4, 90.4)    11-16   
 423 N Webster Thomas         NY B  Sec 5   ( 9- 9, 85.8)    17- 6   
 425 H Rush-Henrietta         NY A  Sec 5   (13- 7, 91.7)     9-11   
 426 A Fairport               NY A  Sec 5   (14- 5, 90.9)    11-14   
 429 H East Rochester         NY C  Sec 5   (15- 3, 97.5)     9-11   
 501 A Pittsford              NY A  Sec 5   (11- 6, 87.2)    14- 9   
 505 H Brighton, NY           NY B  Sec 5   (19- 2, 99.9)     8-16   
 507 H Gates-Chili            NY A  Sec 5   ( 4-14, 75.5)    20- 5   
 509 H Spencerport            NY A  Sec 5   ( 8- 9, 80.3)    14- 9   
 513 H Olympia-Arcadia        NY A  Sec 5   ( 3-14, 70.5)    20- 2   
 515 A Webster Schroeder      NY A  Sec 5   ( 8-10, 80.6)    21- 8   
 519 A Canandaigua Academy    NY B  Sec 5   (18- 2, 98.6)    13-23   
 529 H Webster Schroeder      NY A  Sec 5   ( 8-10, 80.6)    20- 7   
 531 N Rush-Henrietta         NY A  Sec 5   (13- 7, 91.7)     9-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 A West Genesee            2-19     -17   -10          n/a  
   405 A Honeoye Falls-Lima     14-11       3    -1    ++     4.93
   410 A Athena-Odyssey         21- 1      20    28           0.00
   411 H West Seneca East       19- 3      16     1          n/a  
   416 A Carthage               11-16      -5    -1          n/a  
   423 N Webster Thomas         17- 6      11     4    ++     5.75
   425 H Rush-Henrietta          9-11      -2    -1          -0.88
   426 A Fairport               11-14      -3    -1          -1.56
   429 H East Rochester          9-11      -2    -6    ++     4.90
   501 A Pittsford              14- 9       5     2    +      2.67
   505 H Brighton, NY            8-16      -8    -9           1.27
   507 H Gates-Chili            20- 5      15    15           0.00
   509 H Spencerport            14- 9       5    10    --    -5.00
   513 H Olympia-Arcadia        20- 2      18    20           0.00
   515 A Webster Schroeder      21- 8      13     8           1.07
   519 A Canandaigua Academy    13-23     -10    -9          -0.93
   529 H Webster Schroeder      20- 7      13    10           0.00
   531 N Rush-Henrietta          9-15      -6    -1    --    -4.31

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   509 H Spencerport            14- 9       5    10    --    -5.00
   531 N Rush-Henrietta          9-15      -6    -1    --    -4.31
   416 A Carthage               11-16      -5    -1    -          

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 H West Seneca East       19- 3      16     1    +++        
   405 A Honeoye Falls-Lima     14-11       3    -1    ++     4.93
   423 N Webster Thomas         17- 6      11     4    ++     5.75
   429 H East Rochester          9-11      -2    -6    ++     4.90
   501 A Pittsford              14- 9       5     2    +      2.67
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 90.06 Local Power Rank...........     8
 Local SOS Rating......... 72.03 Local SOS Rank.............     4
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.58 Local RPI Rank.............    10
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......     8
 Local Quality Win Rating. 65.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     8
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   14.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -5.6
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.9
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  6- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.0
/