Northwest                     3 - 6


 
                                     Region = MD 3A                  
   Nickname = D Jaguars              Coach  =   Corrine Norren        



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   71.9405518    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 401 H Walt Whitman, MD       MD 4A         ( 2-11, 63.5)     8- 7   
 403 A Montgomery Blair, MD   MD 4A         ( 9- 4, 71.0)     5-12   
 408 A Seneca Valley, MD      MD 3A         ( 3-11, 58.2)    22-13   
 410 H Gaithersburg           MD 4A         ( 6- 7, 68.0)     4- 5   
 414 H Watkins Mill           MD 3A         ( 4- 9, 60.1)     9- 6   
 416 A Quince Orchard         MD 4A         (12- 2, 79.5)     4-15   
 418 H Damascus               MD 4A         ( 8- 4, 72.0)     9-13   
 422 A Wheaton                MD 3A         ( 3- 6, 54.4)   
 426 H Richard Montgomery     MD 4A         ( 3- 7, 63.3)   
 429 A Magruder               MD 4A         ( 1- 9, 59.3)   
 501 H Poolesville            MD 1A         (12- 2, 74.6)     6-11   
 506 A John F. Kennedy, MD    MD 3A         ( 2- 9, 56.1)   
 510 H Linganore              MD 3A         ( 6- 7, 70.5)     8-11   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 H Walt Whitman, MD        8- 7       1     1          -0.42
   403 A Montgomery Blair, MD    5-12      -7    -6          -0.22
   408 A Seneca Valley, MD      22-13       9     6    +      2.92
   410 H Gaithersburg            4- 5      -1    -3    +      2.01
   414 H Watkins Mill            9- 6       3     4          -1.86
   416 A Quince Orchard          4-15     -11   -15           0.00
   418 H Damascus                9-13      -4    -7    +      3.00
   501 H Poolesville             6-11      -5    -9    ++     4.63
   510 H Linganore               8-11      -3    -5    +      2.51


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   501 H Poolesville             6-11      -5    -9    ++     4.63
   408 A Seneca Valley, MD      22-13       9     6    +      2.92
   410 H Gaithersburg            4- 5      -1    -3    +      2.01
   418 H Damascus                9-13      -4    -7    +      3.00
   510 H Linganore               8-11      -3    -5    +      2.51




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 64.60 Local Power Rank...........    83
 Local SOS Rating......... 39.62 Local SOS Rank.............    84
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.46 Local RPI Rank.............    73
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    78
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    79
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  3- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(2nd 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....      
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.0


  
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