Region = CT Div 2               
   Nickname = T Bears                Coach  =   Al Morgenthaler       

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   82.1638870    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 402 A Fairfield Ludlowe      CT Div 2      ( 3-13, 76.1)     8-17   
 404 H Danbury                CT Div 2      (16- 5, 92.1)     6-18   
 408 H Brien McMahon          CT Div 1      (11- 6, 90.1)     4-16   
 410 A Greenwich HS           CT Div 1      (14- 4, 95.3)     7-18   
 417 A Wilton                 CT Div 1      (18- 4, 96.7)     4-16   
 418 H Trumbull               CT Div 2      ( 6-10, 80.1)    11- 4   
 422 A Darien                 CT Div 1      (17- 4, 99.9)     3-20   
 424 H Fairfield Ludlowe      CT Div 2      ( 3-13, 76.1)    17-12   
 426 H Housatonic Regional    CT Div 2      ( 1-12, 60.4)    18- 4   
 430 H St. Joseph, CT         CT Div 2      ( 5-11, 77.0)    16-10   
 502 H Staples                CT Div 2      ( 7- 9, 79.2)    13-15   
 506 H Fairfield Warde        CT Div 1      ( 7- 9, 82.0)    12-16   
 510 A Staples                CT Div 2      ( 7- 9, 79.2)    12-12 2o
 513 A New Canaan             CT Div 1      (16- 5, 96.7)     7-20   
 516 A Ridgefield             CT Div 2      ( 5-11, 79.0)    10-21   
 521 A Shelton                CT Div 2      ( 0-16, 63.3)    18-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 A Fairfield Ludlowe       8-17      -9     0    ---   -9.64
   404 H Danbury                 6-18     -12   -14           0.00
   408 H Brien McMahon           4-16     -12   -11           0.00
   410 A Greenwich HS            7-18     -11   -18           0.00
   417 A Wilton                  4-16     -12   -19           0.00
   418 H Trumbull               11- 4       7    -2    +++    9.03
   422 A Darien                  3-20     -17   -23           0.00
   424 H Fairfield Ludlowe      17-12       5     1    +      3.04
   426 H Housatonic Regional    18- 4      14    17           0.00
   430 H St. Joseph, CT         16-10       6     1    ++     4.93
   502 H Staples                13-15      -2    -1          -0.85
   506 H Fairfield Warde        12-16      -4    -3          -0.11
   510 A Staples                12-12 2o    0    -2    +      2.47
   513 A New Canaan              7-20     -13   -19           0.00
   516 A Ridgefield             10-21     -11    -2    ---   -7.79
   521 A Shelton                18-12       6    13    --    -4.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 A Fairfield Ludlowe       8-17      -9     0    ---   -9.64
   516 A Ridgefield             10-21     -11    -2    ---   -7.79
   521 A Shelton                18-12       6    13    --    -4.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   418 H Trumbull               11- 4       7    -2    +++    9.03
   430 H St. Joseph, CT         16-10       6     1    ++     4.93
   424 H Fairfield Ludlowe      17-12       5     1    +      3.04
   510 A Staples                12-12 2o    0    -2    +      2.47
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 77.44 Local Power Rank...........    37
 Local SOS Rating......... 64.38 Local SOS Rank.............    15
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.45 Local RPI Rank.............    44
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    45
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    37
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......   14.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -4.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -13.2
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -12.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -12.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -6.0
/