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Region = CT Div 2 Nickname = T Bears Coach = Al MorgenthalerGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 82.1638870 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 402 A Fairfield Ludlowe CT Div 2 ( 3-13, 76.1) 8-17 404 H Danbury CT Div 2 (16- 5, 92.1) 6-18 408 H Brien McMahon CT Div 1 (11- 6, 90.1) 4-16 410 A Greenwich HS CT Div 1 (14- 4, 95.3) 7-18 417 A Wilton CT Div 1 (18- 4, 96.7) 4-16 418 H Trumbull CT Div 2 ( 6-10, 80.1) 11- 4 422 A Darien CT Div 1 (17- 4, 99.9) 3-20 424 H Fairfield Ludlowe CT Div 2 ( 3-13, 76.1) 17-12 426 H Housatonic Regional CT Div 2 ( 1-12, 60.4) 18- 4 430 H St. Joseph, CT CT Div 2 ( 5-11, 77.0) 16-10 502 H Staples CT Div 2 ( 7- 9, 79.2) 13-15 506 H Fairfield Warde CT Div 1 ( 7- 9, 82.0) 12-16 510 A Staples CT Div 2 ( 7- 9, 79.2) 12-12 2o 513 A New Canaan CT Div 1 (16- 5, 96.7) 7-20 516 A Ridgefield CT Div 2 ( 5-11, 79.0) 10-21 521 A Shelton CT Div 2 ( 0-16, 63.3) 18-12PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 402 A Fairfield Ludlowe 8-17 -9 0 --- -9.64 404 H Danbury 6-18 -12 -14 0.00 408 H Brien McMahon 4-16 -12 -11 0.00 410 A Greenwich HS 7-18 -11 -18 0.00 417 A Wilton 4-16 -12 -19 0.00 418 H Trumbull 11- 4 7 -2 +++ 9.03 422 A Darien 3-20 -17 -23 0.00 424 H Fairfield Ludlowe 17-12 5 1 + 3.04 426 H Housatonic Regional 18- 4 14 17 0.00 430 H St. Joseph, CT 16-10 6 1 ++ 4.93 502 H Staples 13-15 -2 -1 -0.85 506 H Fairfield Warde 12-16 -4 -3 -0.11 510 A Staples 12-12 2o 0 -2 + 2.47 513 A New Canaan 7-20 -13 -19 0.00 516 A Ridgefield 10-21 -11 -2 --- -7.79 521 A Shelton 18-12 6 13 -- -4.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 402 A Fairfield Ludlowe 8-17 -9 0 --- -9.64 516 A Ridgefield 10-21 -11 -2 --- -7.79 521 A Shelton 18-12 6 13 -- -4.00OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 418 H Trumbull 11- 4 7 -2 +++ 9.03 430 H St. Joseph, CT 16-10 6 1 ++ 4.93 424 H Fairfield Ludlowe 17-12 5 1 + 3.04 510 A Staples 12-12 2o 0 -2 + 2.47/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 77.44 Local Power Rank........... 37 Local SOS Rating......... 64.38 Local SOS Rank............. 15 Local RPI Rating......... 0.45 Local RPI Rank............. 44 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 45 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 37 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 10.4 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 14.4 Wins/Losses(all )...... 5-10 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -4.1 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -13.2 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -12.8 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -12.8 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -6.0