Region = MA Cen D1              
   Nickname = A Chieftains           Coach  =   Laurie Griffin        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   71.9392090    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 403 A St. Peter-Marian       MA Cen D1     ( 4- 7, 64.7)     8- 8   
 408 H Worcester North        MA Cen D1     ( 0- 4, 53.5)    18-11   
 408 A Doherty Memorial       MA Cen D1     ( 0- 4, 52.1)   
 410 H Shrewsbury             MA Cen D1     ( 8- 5, 80.2)     3-12   
 415 H Marlborough            MA Cen D1     ( 4- 6, 64.9)    13-10   
 417 H St. Peter-Marian       MA Cen D1     ( 4- 7, 64.7)    13-11   
 422 H Ashland                MA So D2      ( 3-16, 65.3)     8-11   
 424 H Groton Dunstable       MA Cen D1     ( 0- 8, 59.4)    10- 7   
 429 A Bromfield School       MA Cen D1     ( 2- 7, 62.8)   
 501 A Nipmuc                 MA Cen D1     ( 7- 6, 69.8)     5- 9   
 506 H Doherty Memorial       MA Cen D1     ( 0- 4, 52.1)   
 506 H Worcester North        MA Cen D1     ( 0- 4, 53.5)    15- 6   
 508 A Groton Dunstable       MA Cen D1     ( 0- 8, 59.4)    13-11   
 509 H Nipmuc                 MA Cen D1     ( 7- 6, 69.8)   
 513 A Marlborough            MA Cen D1     ( 4- 6, 64.9)    11- 4   
 514 A St. Bernard's, MA      MA Cen D1     ( 5- 9, 66.2)    11- 7   
 515 A Shrewsbury             MA Cen D1     ( 8- 5, 80.2)     4-16   
 519 A Ashland                MA So D2      ( 3-16, 65.3)     5-12   
 520 H Bromfield School       MA Cen D1     ( 2- 7, 62.8)     5-16   
 521 H St. Bernard's, MA      MA Cen D1     ( 5- 9, 66.2)     7- 7   
 527 H North Middlesex        MA Cen D1     (11- 5, 78.5)     4-13   
 531 A Algonquin              MA Cen D1     (11- 9, 81.4)   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 A St. Peter-Marian        8- 8       0     1          -1.50
   408 H Worcester North        18-11       7    14    -     -3.00
   410 H Shrewsbury              3-12      -9   -12           1.00
   415 H Marlborough            13-10       3     2           0.36
   417 H St. Peter-Marian       13-11       2     2          -0.87
   422 H Ashland                 8-11      -3     2    --    -5.27
   424 H Groton Dunstable       10- 7       3     8    --    -5.14
   501 A Nipmuc                  5- 9      -4    -3          -0.38
   506 H Worcester North        15- 6       9    14          -1.00
   508 A Groton Dunstable       13-11       2     6    --    -4.77
   513 A Marlborough            11- 4       7     1    ++     5.73
   514 A St. Bernard's, MA      11- 7       4     0    ++     4.00
   515 A Shrewsbury              4-16     -12   -13           0.00
   519 A Ashland                 5-12      -7     0    ---   -7.89
   520 H Bromfield School        5-16     -11     4    ---  -14.82
   521 H St. Bernard's, MA       7- 7       0     1          -1.37
   527 H North Middlesex         4-13      -9   -10           1.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   519 A Ashland                 5-12      -7     0    ---   -7.89
   520 H Bromfield School        5-16     -11     4    ---  -14.82
   422 H Ashland                 8-11      -3     2    --    -5.27
   424 H Groton Dunstable       10- 7       3     8    --    -5.14
   508 A Groton Dunstable       13-11       2     6    --    -4.77
   408 H Worcester North        18-11       7    14    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   513 A Marlborough            11- 4       7     1    ++     5.73
   514 A St. Bernard's, MA      11- 7       4     0    ++     4.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 66.90 Local Power Rank...........   106
 Local SOS Rating......... 36.10 Local SOS Rank.............   137
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.40 Local RPI Rank.............   106
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    89
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    70
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(2nd 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....      
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -6.7
/