Region = MA West D1             
   Nickname = A Lancers              Coach  =   Kathy Parker          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   95.5535431    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 401 H Cathedral, MA          MA West D1    ( 0-15, 61.7)    17- 0   
 403 A Amherst-Pelham         MA West D1    ( 9- 7, 75.1)    15- 0   
 407 H West Springfield, MA   MA West D1    ( 3-11, 67.6)    21- 0   
 412 A Westwood, MA           MA So D1      (24- 0, 99.9)     5-14   
 414 A Westfield HS, MA       MA West D1    ( 5-10, 70.2)    14- 1   
 419 H Andover, MA            MA No D1      (17- 6, 88.6)    11- 4   
 421 H Agawam                 MA West D1    (15- 7, 82.4)    11- 1   
 424 A Pinkerton Academy, NH  NH D1         (14- 5, 91.4)    14- 5   
 426 A Loomis Chaffee School  NE            (13- 1, 99.3)     6-10   
 430 A Northampton            MA West D1    ( 7- 9, 76.5)    17- 2   
 505 A Minnechaug             MA West D1    (15- 3, 86.7)    12- 5   
 510 H Deerfield Academy, MA  NE            (11- 3, 93.8)    13- 5   
 512 H East Longmeadow        MA West D1    ( 3-12, 68.1)    17- 0   
 513 A Agawam                 MA West D1    (15- 7, 82.4)    16- 1   
 514 H Hotchkiss School       NE            (11- 3, 96.4)    12- 4   
 516 H Northampton            MA West D1    ( 7- 9, 76.5)    15- 3   
 519 H South Windsor          CT Div 1      (11- 6, 87.3)    13- 5   
 520 H Minnechaug             MA West D1    (15- 3, 86.7)    17- 0   
 523 A South Hadley           MA West D1    ( 9- 8, 77.3)    13- 3   
 527 A East Longmeadow        MA West D1    ( 3-12, 68.1)   
 603 H South Hadley           MA West D1    ( 9- 8, 77.3)    20- 6   
 605 N Minnechaug             MA West D1    (15- 3, 86.7)    12- 4   
 611 N Westborough            MA Cen D1     (14- 3, 87.4)    10- 6   
 614 N Westwood, MA           MA So D1      (24- 0, 99.9)     7-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 H Cathedral, MA          17- 0      17    34           0.00
   403 A Amherst-Pelham         15- 0      15    19           0.00
   407 H West Springfield, MA   21- 0      21    28           0.00
   412 A Westwood, MA            5-14      -9    -5    -     -3.71
   414 A Westfield HS, MA       14- 1      13    24           0.00
   419 H Andover, MA            11- 4       7     7          -0.37
   421 H Agawam                 11- 1      10    13           0.00
   424 A Pinkerton Academy, NH  14- 5       9     3          n/a  
   426 A Loomis Chaffee School   6-10      -4    -4          n/a  
   430 A Northampton            17- 2      15    18           0.00
   505 A Minnechaug             12- 5       7     7          -0.91
   510 H Deerfield Academy, MA  13- 5       8     2          n/a  
   512 H East Longmeadow        17- 0      17    27           0.00
   513 A Agawam                 16- 1      15    12           0.00
   514 H Hotchkiss School       12- 4       8     0          n/a  
   516 H Northampton            15- 3      12    19           0.00
   519 H South Windsor          13- 5       8     8          n/a  
   520 H Minnechaug             17- 0      17     9           0.72
   523 A South Hadley           13- 3      10    17           0.00
   603 H South Hadley           20- 6      14    18           0.00
   605 N Minnechaug             12- 4       8     8          -0.59
   611 N Westborough            10- 6       4     7    -     -3.86
   614 N Westwood, MA            7-10      -3    -4           1.60

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 A Westwood, MA            5-14      -9    -5    -     -3.71
   611 N Westborough            10- 6       4     7    -     -3.86

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   514 H Hotchkiss School       12- 4       8     0    +++        
   424 A Pinkerton Academy, NH  14- 5       9     3    ++         
   510 H Deerfield Academy, MA  13- 5       8     2    ++         
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 95.30 Local Power Rank...........     2
 Local SOS Rating......... 65.54 Local SOS Rank.............     2
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.69 Local RPI Rank.............     2
 Championship Probability .    9.0 Championship Rank .......     3
 Local Quality Win Rating.110.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     7
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    3.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 20- 3 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    9.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    4.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.0
/