Region = VA Lbrty               
   Nickname = A Colonials            Coach  =   Victor Chen           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.1152878    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 314 H Chantilly              VA Cncrd      (17- 3, 99.4)     8-18   
 326 H McLean, VA             VA Lbrty      ( 3- 7, 77.1)    12- 3   
 328 A Yorktown, VA           VA Natl       (11- 5, 84.7)     9- 4   
 401 A James Madison          VA Lbrty      ( 6- 7, 83.8)    11- 5   
 408 H Stone Bridge           VA Lbrty      (14- 2, 96.4)     6-14   
 410 A South Lakes            VA Lbrty      ( 0-10, 70.8)     7- 1   
 411 N George C. Marshall     VA Lbrty      ( 4-11, 76.7)     5- 3   
 411 N Woodbridge             VA NW AAA     ( 3- 9, 73.0)    10- 1   
 412 N Deep Run               VA Indep      ( 9- 8, 80.6)     5- 1   
 412 N Osbourn Park           VA NW AAA     ( 8- 8, 78.5)     5- 1   
 412 A South County           VA Pat        (13- 4, 88.7)     5- 2   
 417 H W.T. Woodson           VA Lbrty      (11- 5, 93.6)     5-13   
 424 H George C. Marshall     VA Lbrty      ( 4-11, 76.7)    14- 8   
 426 H Langley                VA Lbrty      ( 7- 7, 88.2)     5- 8   
 505 H James Madison          VA Lbrty      ( 6- 7, 83.8)    12-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   314 H Chantilly               8-18     -10   -10           0.00
   326 H McLean, VA             12- 3       9    11          -1.00
   328 A Yorktown, VA            9- 4       5     0    ++     4.87
   401 A James Madison          11- 5       6     0    ++     5.05
   408 H Stone Bridge            6-14      -8    -7          -0.00
   410 A South Lakes             7- 1       6    13    --    -4.00
   411 N George C. Marshall      5- 3       2     9    ---   -7.89
   411 N Woodbridge             10- 1       9    13          -1.00
   412 N Deep Run                5- 1       4     5          -1.98
   412 N Osbourn Park            5- 1       4     8    --    -4.09
   412 A South County            5- 2       3    -3    +++    6.88
   417 H W.T. Woodson            5-13      -8    -5    -     -2.85
   424 H George C. Marshall     14- 8       6    11    --    -4.00
   426 H Langley                 5- 8      -3     0    -     -3.21
   505 H James Madison          12-13      -1     4    --    -5.58

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 N George C. Marshall      5- 3       2     9    ---   -7.89
   410 A South Lakes             7- 1       6    13    --    -4.00
   412 N Osbourn Park            5- 1       4     8    --    -4.09
   424 H George C. Marshall     14- 8       6    11    --    -4.00
   505 H James Madison          12-13      -1     4    --    -5.58
   417 H W.T. Woodson            5-13      -8    -5    -     -2.85
   426 H Langley                 5- 8      -3     0    -     -3.21

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 A South County            5- 2       3    -3    +++    6.88
   328 A Yorktown, VA            9- 4       5     0    ++     4.87
   401 A James Madison          11- 5       6     0    ++     5.05
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.60 Local Power Rank...........    25
 Local SOS Rating......... 64.80 Local SOS Rank.............    36
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.55 Local RPI Rank.............    23
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    39
 Local Quality Win Rating.-20.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    40
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -10.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -8.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.7
/