Conf =  ECIC                      Region = NY B  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Chiefs               Coach  =   Mark Dubel            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.7302399    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 402 A Sweet Home             NY B  Sec 6   ( 1-13, 78.1)    16- 9   
 405 H West Seneca East       NY B  Sec 6   ( 9- 8, 89.1)   
 407 H West Seneca West       NY A  Sec 6   (10- 7, 90.6)     6- 9   
 408 A Lancaster, NY          NY A  Sec 6   (20- 3, 99.9)     1-12   
 410 H Springville-Griffith   NY C  Sec 6   ( 0- 8, 72.6)    16- 2   
 421 A Eden                   NY C  Sec 6   ( 0- 7, 77.2)    10- 1   
 423 H East Aurora            NY C  Sec 6   (14- 5, 96.4)     5-14   
 425 A Amherst                NY C  Sec 6   (16- 5, 98.4)     8-20   
 429 H Williamsville South    NY C  Sec 6   ( 0- 7, 77.9)    10- 5   
 501 A Williamsville East     NY B  Sec 6   ( 1- 9, 82.5)    11- 8   
 506 A Springville-Griffith   NY C  Sec 6   ( 0- 8, 72.6)    17- 1   
 508 H Eden                   NY C  Sec 6   ( 0- 7, 77.2)    12- 1   
 510 A East Aurora            NY C  Sec 6   (14- 5, 96.4)     3-12   
 513 H Amherst                NY C  Sec 6   (16- 5, 98.4)     4-17   
 515 A Williamsville South    NY C  Sec 6   ( 0- 7, 77.9)    11- 4   
 517 H Williamsville East     NY B  Sec 6   ( 1- 9, 82.5)    11-10   
 519 A Lake Shore             NY B  Sec 6   (16- 3, 96.2)     7-19   
 528 H Niagara-Wheatfield     NY B  Sec 6   ( 6- 8, 87.1)    12- 7   
 530 A Lake Shore             NY B  Sec 6   (16- 3, 96.2)     6- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 A Sweet Home             16- 9       7     9    -     -2.74
   407 H West Seneca West        6- 9      -3     0    -     -3.20
   408 A Lancaster, NY           1-12     -11   -12           0.00
   410 H Springville-Griffith   16- 2      14    18           0.00
   421 A Eden                   10- 1       9    10          -1.00
   423 H East Aurora             5-14      -9    -5    -     -3.46
   425 A Amherst                 8-20     -12   -10           0.00
   429 H Williamsville South    10- 5       5    12    --    -5.00
   501 A Williamsville East     11- 8       3     5    -     -2.34
   506 A Springville-Griffith   17- 1      16    15           0.00
   508 H Eden                   12- 1      11    13           0.00
   510 A East Aurora             3-12      -9    -8          -0.46
   513 H Amherst                 4-17     -13    -7    -     -2.43
   515 A Williamsville South    11- 4       7     9    -     -2.97
   517 H Williamsville East     11-10       1     8    ---   -7.34
   519 A Lake Shore              7-19     -12    -8          -1.64
   528 H Niagara-Wheatfield     12- 7       5     3           1.26
   530 A Lake Shore              6- 9      -3    -8    ++     5.36

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   517 H Williamsville East     11-10       1     8    ---   -7.34
   429 H Williamsville South    10- 5       5    12    --    -5.00
   402 A Sweet Home             16- 9       7     9    -     -2.74
   407 H West Seneca West        6- 9      -3     0    -     -3.20
   423 H East Aurora             5-14      -9    -5    -     -3.46
   501 A Williamsville East     11- 8       3     5    -     -2.34
   513 H Amherst                 4-17     -13    -7    -     -2.43
   515 A Williamsville South    11- 4       7     9    -     -2.97

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   530 A Lake Shore              6- 9      -3    -8    ++     5.36
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 89.35 Local Power Rank...........    11
 Local SOS Rating......... 71.33 Local SOS Rank.............    21
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.48 Local RPI Rank.............    13
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    12
 Local Quality Win Rating.  5.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    13
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -10.8
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -9.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  6- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.3
/