Conf =  A1                        Region = NY A  Sec 3            
   Nickname = Y Black Knights        Coach  =   Tom MacDonald         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.9236450    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 327 H Westhill               NY C  Sec 3   (15- 5, 89.3)    14-12   
 329 A Auburn                 NY A  Sec 3   (10- 9, 81.6)    11- 9   
 402 H Jordan-Elbridge        NY C  Sec 3   ( 2-13, 69.6)    12- 7   
 404 H Oswego                 NY A  Sec 3   ( 5-13, 72.2)    12- 8   
 409 H Rome Free Academy      NY A  Sec 3   ( 3-15, 64.2)    18- 4   
 411 N Liverpool              NY A  Sec 3   ( 9-11, 84.2)    12- 7   
 415 H West Genesee           NY A  Sec 3   (24- 0, 99.9)     2-15   
 418 A Liverpool              NY A  Sec 3   ( 9-11, 84.2) 10
 422 H Corcoran-Fowler        NY A  Sec 3   ( 9- 9, 79.6)    18-11   
 425 A Rome Free Academy      NY A  Sec 3   ( 3-15, 64.2)    17- 6   
 428 H East Syracuse-Minoa    NY B  Sec 3   (12- 7, 75.9)    14- 7   
 501 A Fayetteville-Manlius   NY A  Sec 3   (14- 7, 88.4)     4-12   
 505 A Oswego                 NY A  Sec 3   ( 5-13, 72.2)    11- 6   
 509 A Baldwinsville          NY A  Sec 3   (12- 6, 86.7)     8-13   
 513 H Auburn                 NY A  Sec 3   (10- 9, 81.6)     9-11   
 516 A Cicero-North Syracuse  NY A  Sec 3   (10- 7, 85.6)     7-10   
 519 A Corcoran-Fowler        NY A  Sec 3   ( 9- 9, 79.6)     7-13   
 521 H Central Square         NY A  Sec 3   ( 2-13, 65.0)    18- 6   
 527 A West Genesee           NY A  Sec 3   (24- 0, 99.9)     2-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 H Westhill               14-12       2    -6    +++    8.56
   329 A Auburn                 11- 9       2     0    +      2.55
   402 H Jordan-Elbridge        12- 7       5    13    --    -5.00
   404 H Oswego                 12- 8       4    10    ---   -6.00
   409 H Rome Free Academy      18- 4      14    18           0.00
   411 N Liverpool              12- 7       5    -2    +++    7.33
   415 H West Genesee            2-15     -13   -17           0.00
   422 H Corcoran-Fowler        18-11       7     3    +      3.91
   425 A Rome Free Academy      17- 6      11    16           0.00
   428 H East Syracuse-Minoa    14- 7       7     6           0.18
   501 A Fayetteville-Manlius    4-12      -8    -7          -0.68
   505 A Oswego                 11- 6       5     8    -     -3.93
   509 A Baldwinsville           8-13      -5    -5           0.66
   513 H Auburn                  9-11      -2     1    -     -3.08
   516 A Cicero-North Syracuse   7-10      -3    -4           1.47
   519 A Corcoran-Fowler         7-13      -6     1    ---   -7.45
   521 H Central Square         18- 6      12    17           0.00
   527 A West Genesee            2-17     -15   -18           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 H Oswego                 12- 8       4    10    ---   -6.00
   519 A Corcoran-Fowler         7-13      -6     1    ---   -7.45
   402 H Jordan-Elbridge        12- 7       5    13    --    -5.00
   505 A Oswego                 11- 6       5     8    -     -3.93
   513 H Auburn                  9-11      -2     1    -     -3.08

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 H Westhill               14-12       2    -6    +++    8.56
   411 N Liverpool              12- 7       5    -2    +++    7.33
   329 A Auburn                 11- 9       2     0    +      2.55
   422 H Corcoran-Fowler        18-11       7     3    +      3.91
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 81.90 Local Power Rank...........    13
 Local SOS Rating......... 59.10 Local SOS Rank.............    15
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.54 Local RPI Rank.............    14
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    21
 Local Quality Win Rating. 60.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    11
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -8.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.0
/