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Region = CT Div 2 Nickname = T Falcons Coach = Pat SemancikGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 76.0050812 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 402 A Valley Regional CT Div 2 ( 5-11, 68.3) 13- 9 410 A Wheeler, CT CT Div 2 ( 9- 8, 74.5) 10-13 411 A Stonington CT Div 2 ( 9- 8, 75.5) 7- 9 418 H Norwich Free Acad CT Div 1 ( 7- 8, 74.3) 7-10 419 H Northwest Catholic CT Div 2 (17- 2, 86.9) 2- 8 422 H East Lyme CT Div 1 (15- 3, 89.9) 3-16 425 A Norwich Free Acad CT Div 1 ( 7- 8, 74.3) 2- 6 426 H Morgan School CT Div 2 (11- 5, 78.6) 5-12 502 H Ledyard CT Div 2 ( 4-12, 67.1) 14- 5 503 A North Branford CT Div 2 (10- 6, 75.9) 5-10 506 H Waterford, CT CT Div 2 ( 5-10, 69.0) 8- 7 512 A St. Bernard, CT CT Div 2 (11- 6, 78.4) 10- 9 513 H Woodstock Academy CT Div 2 ( 1-11, 64.0) 8- 3 519 A Old Lyme CT Div 2 (15- 4, 81.9) 13-19 520 H Southington CT Div 1 ( 3-10, 74.0) 4-11 523 H North Branford CT Div 2 (10- 6, 75.9) 8- 9PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 402 A Valley Regional 13- 9 4 1 + 2.02 410 A Wheeler, CT 10-13 -3 -4 1.16 411 A Stonington 7- 9 -2 -5 + 3.17 418 H Norwich Free Acad 7-10 -3 -2 -0.36 419 H Northwest Catholic 2- 8 -6 -15 ++ 4.00 422 H East Lyme 3-16 -13 -18 0.00 425 A Norwich Free Acad 2- 6 -4 -3 -0.03 426 H Morgan School 5-12 -7 -7 0.01 502 H Ledyard 14- 5 9 4 ++ 4.51 503 A North Branford 5-10 -5 -5 0.55 506 H Waterford, CT 8- 7 1 2 -1.67 512 A St. Bernard, CT 10- 9 1 -8 +++ 9.14 513 H Woodstock Academy 8- 3 5 7 - -2.64 519 A Old Lyme 13-19 -6 -11 ++ 4.00 520 H Southington 4-11 -7 -2 -- -4.60 523 H North Branford 8- 9 -1 -4 + 3.22UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 520 H Southington 4-11 -7 -2 -- -4.60 513 H Woodstock Academy 8- 3 5 7 - -2.64OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 512 A St. Bernard, CT 10- 9 1 -8 +++ 9.14 419 H Northwest Catholic 2- 8 -6 -15 ++ 4.00 502 H Ledyard 14- 5 9 4 ++ 4.51 519 A Old Lyme 13-19 -6 -11 ++ 4.00 402 A Valley Regional 13- 9 4 1 + 2.02 411 A Stonington 7- 9 -2 -5 + 3.17 523 H North Branford 8- 9 -1 -4 + 3.22/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 70.97 Local Power Rank........... 54 Local SOS Rating......... 50.28 Local SOS Rank............. 55 Local RPI Rating......... 0.44 Local RPI Rank............. 48 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 26 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 56 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 7.4 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 9.8 Wins/Losses(all )...... 5-11 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -2.3 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -13.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -9.5 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -4.7