Region = CT Div 2               
   Nickname = T Falcons              Coach  =   Pat Semancik          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   76.0050812    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 402 A Valley Regional        CT Div 2      ( 5-11, 68.3)    13- 9   
 410 A Wheeler, CT            CT Div 2      ( 9- 8, 74.5)    10-13   
 411 A Stonington             CT Div 2      ( 9- 8, 75.5)     7- 9   
 418 H Norwich Free Acad      CT Div 1      ( 7- 8, 74.3)     7-10   
 419 H Northwest Catholic     CT Div 2      (17- 2, 86.9)     2- 8   
 422 H East Lyme              CT Div 1      (15- 3, 89.9)     3-16   
 425 A Norwich Free Acad      CT Div 1      ( 7- 8, 74.3)     2- 6   
 426 H Morgan School          CT Div 2      (11- 5, 78.6)     5-12   
 502 H Ledyard                CT Div 2      ( 4-12, 67.1)    14- 5   
 503 A North Branford         CT Div 2      (10- 6, 75.9)     5-10   
 506 H Waterford, CT          CT Div 2      ( 5-10, 69.0)     8- 7   
 512 A St. Bernard, CT        CT Div 2      (11- 6, 78.4)    10- 9   
 513 H Woodstock Academy      CT Div 2      ( 1-11, 64.0)     8- 3   
 519 A Old Lyme               CT Div 2      (15- 4, 81.9)    13-19   
 520 H Southington            CT Div 1      ( 3-10, 74.0)     4-11   
 523 H North Branford         CT Div 2      (10- 6, 75.9)     8- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 A Valley Regional        13- 9       4     1    +      2.02
   410 A Wheeler, CT            10-13      -3    -4           1.16
   411 A Stonington              7- 9      -2    -5    +      3.17
   418 H Norwich Free Acad       7-10      -3    -2          -0.36
   419 H Northwest Catholic      2- 8      -6   -15    ++     4.00
   422 H East Lyme               3-16     -13   -18           0.00
   425 A Norwich Free Acad       2- 6      -4    -3          -0.03
   426 H Morgan School           5-12      -7    -7           0.01
   502 H Ledyard                14- 5       9     4    ++     4.51
   503 A North Branford          5-10      -5    -5           0.55
   506 H Waterford, CT           8- 7       1     2          -1.67
   512 A St. Bernard, CT        10- 9       1    -8    +++    9.14
   513 H Woodstock Academy       8- 3       5     7    -     -2.64
   519 A Old Lyme               13-19      -6   -11    ++     4.00
   520 H Southington             4-11      -7    -2    --    -4.60
   523 H North Branford          8- 9      -1    -4    +      3.22

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   520 H Southington             4-11      -7    -2    --    -4.60
   513 H Woodstock Academy       8- 3       5     7    -     -2.64

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   512 A St. Bernard, CT        10- 9       1    -8    +++    9.14
   419 H Northwest Catholic      2- 8      -6   -15    ++     4.00
   502 H Ledyard                14- 5       9     4    ++     4.51
   519 A Old Lyme               13-19      -6   -11    ++     4.00
   402 A Valley Regional        13- 9       4     1    +      2.02
   411 A Stonington              7- 9      -2    -5    +      3.17
   523 H North Branford          8- 9      -1    -4    +      3.22
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 70.97 Local Power Rank...........    54
 Local SOS Rating......... 50.28 Local SOS Rank.............    55
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.44 Local RPI Rank.............    48
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    26
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    56
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -13.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -9.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.7
/