Conf =  MC                        Region = NY A  Sec 5            
   Nickname = Y Red Raiders          Coach  =   Geoff McMurtry        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   91.1622467    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 401 N Our Lady of Mercy, NY  NY C  Sec 5   (11- 7, 84.9)    14- 7   
 403 A East Rochester         NY C  Sec 5   (15- 3, 97.5)     1-12   
 407 H Olympia-Arcadia        NY A  Sec 5   ( 3-14, 70.5)    15- 1   
 410 N Webster Schroeder      NY A  Sec 5   ( 8-10, 80.6)    12- 6   
 418 A Amherst                NY C  Sec 6   (16- 5, 98.4)    12-10   
 423 H Brighton, NY           NY B  Sec 5   (19- 2, 99.9)     7-17   
 425 A Athena-Odyssey         NY A  Sec 5   ( 0-16, 61.0)    13- 1   
 426 H Penfield               NY A  Sec 5   (10- 8, 90.1)    14-11   
 428 H Honeoye Falls-Lima     NY C  Sec 5   (14- 7, 91.4)    10- 9  o
 501 A Canandaigua Academy    NY B  Sec 5   (18- 2, 98.6)    11-20   
 503 H Gates-Chili            NY A  Sec 5   ( 4-14, 75.5)    18- 6   
 505 A Webster Thomas         NY B  Sec 5   ( 9- 9, 85.8)     9-10   
 507 A Rush-Henrietta         NY A  Sec 5   (13- 7, 91.7)     9- 4   
 513 H Spencerport            NY A  Sec 5   ( 8- 9, 80.3)    12- 2   
 515 A Pittsford              NY A  Sec 5   (11- 6, 87.2)     9- 7   
 520 A Penn Yan Academy       NY C  Sec 5   (12- 6, 86.9)     8- 6   
 529 N Gates-Chili            NY A  Sec 5   ( 4-14, 75.5)    18-10   
 531 N Brockport              NY A  Sec 5   ( 9- 9, 83.4)    12- 5   
 604 N Rush-Henrietta         NY A  Sec 5   (13- 7, 91.7)     6- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 N Our Lady of Mercy, NY  14- 7       7     6           0.98
   403 A East Rochester          1-12     -11    -7    -     -2.85
   407 H Olympia-Arcadia        15- 1      14    20           0.00
   410 N Webster Schroeder      12- 6       6    10    --    -4.00
   418 A Amherst                12-10       2    -8          n/a  
   423 H Brighton, NY            7-17     -10    -8          -1.60
   425 A Athena-Odyssey         13- 1      12    29           0.00
   426 H Penfield               14-11       3     1           1.56
   428 H Honeoye Falls-Lima     10- 9  o    1     0           0.92
   501 A Canandaigua Academy    11-20      -9    -8          -0.81
   503 H Gates-Chili            18- 6      12    15           0.00
   505 A Webster Thomas          9-10      -1     4    --    -5.56
   507 A Rush-Henrietta          9- 4       5    -1    +++    6.38
   513 H Spencerport            12- 2      10    11           0.00
   515 A Pittsford               9- 7       2     3          -1.21
   520 A Penn Yan Academy        8- 6       2     3          -1.46
   529 N Gates-Chili            18-10       8    15    -     -2.00
   531 N Brockport              12- 5       7     7          -0.51
   604 N Rush-Henrietta          6- 8      -2     0          -1.19

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   410 N Webster Schroeder      12- 6       6    10    --    -4.00
   505 A Webster Thomas          9-10      -1     4    --    -5.56
   403 A East Rochester          1-12     -11    -7    -     -2.85
   529 N Gates-Chili            18-10       8    15    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   418 A Amherst                12-10       2    -8    +++        
   507 A Rush-Henrietta          9- 4       5    -1    +++    6.38
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 90.94 Local Power Rank...........     7
 Local SOS Rating......... 70.00 Local SOS Rank.............     6
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.60 Local RPI Rank.............     6
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......     6
 Local Quality Win Rating.145.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     3
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -5.4
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  4- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  9- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    0.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.3
/