Conf =  MC                        Region = NY B  Sec 5            
   Nickname = Y Lancers              Coach  =   Don Smith             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   82.2473602    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 402 H Webster Schroeder      NY A  Sec 5   ( 8-10, 80.6)     8- 9   
 404 H Brockport              NY A  Sec 5   ( 9- 9, 83.4)     4-11   
 405 N Pittsford              NY A  Sec 5   (11- 6, 87.2)     6-16   
 407 A Athena-Odyssey         NY A  Sec 5   ( 0-16, 61.0)    18- 4   
 408 H East Rochester         NY C  Sec 5   (15- 3, 97.5)     3-17   
 410 A Brighton, NY           NY B  Sec 5   (19- 2, 99.9)     2-17   
 421 A Aquinas Institute, NY  NY C  Sec 5   ( 2-17, 66.8)    17- 8   
 423 H Athena-Odyssey         NY A  Sec 5   ( 0-16, 61.0)    20- 6   
 425 A Livonia, NY            NY C  Sec 5   (11- 8, 78.5)    12- 5   
 429 A Olympia-Arcadia        NY A  Sec 5   ( 3-14, 70.5)     6- 4   
 501 H Webster Thomas         NY B  Sec 5   ( 9- 9, 85.8)    12-11   
 505 A Spencerport            NY A  Sec 5   ( 8- 9, 80.3)     8-10   
 507 H Honeoye Falls-Lima     NY C  Sec 5   (14- 7, 91.4)     1-15   
 509 A Irondequoit            NY B  Sec 5   (11- 4, 91.4)     3-17   
 515 A Churchville-Chili      NY A  Sec 5   ( 3-14, 70.7)     9- 5   
 520 A Palmyra-Macedon, NY    NY C  Sec 5   ( 7-12, 73.3)     9-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 H Webster Schroeder       8- 9      -1    -1           0.82
   404 H Brockport               4-11      -7    -4    -     -2.32
   405 N Pittsford               6-16     -10    -8          -1.02
   407 A Athena-Odyssey         18- 4      14    16           0.00
   408 H East Rochester          3-17     -14   -18           0.00
   410 A Brighton, NY            2-17     -15   -22           0.00
   421 A Aquinas Institute, NY  17- 8       9    10          -1.00
   423 H Athena-Odyssey         20- 6      14    17           0.00
   425 A Livonia, NY            12- 5       7     0    +++    7.92
   429 A Olympia-Arcadia         6- 4       2     7    --    -5.07
   501 H Webster Thomas         12-11       1    -7    +++    8.06
   505 A Spencerport             8-10      -2    -2           0.70
   507 H Honeoye Falls-Lima      1-15     -14   -12           0.00
   509 A Irondequoit             3-17     -14   -13           0.00
   515 A Churchville-Chili       9- 5       4     6    -     -2.91
   520 A Palmyra-Macedon, NY     9-11      -2     4    ---   -6.32

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   520 A Palmyra-Macedon, NY     9-11      -2     4    ---   -6.32
   429 A Olympia-Arcadia         6- 4       2     7    --    -5.07
   404 H Brockport               4-11      -7    -4    -     -2.32
   515 A Churchville-Chili       9- 5       4     6    -     -2.91

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   425 A Livonia, NY            12- 5       7     0    +++    7.92
   501 H Webster Thomas         12-11       1    -7    +++    8.06
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 78.18 Local Power Rank...........    21
 Local SOS Rating......... 59.46 Local SOS Rank.............    23
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.45 Local RPI Rank.............    22
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    14
 Local Quality Win Rating.-75.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    20
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -14.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -13.4
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -6.9
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.0
/