Conf =  L1                        Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Thunderbirds         Coach  =   Sal Piscitelli        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   83.2638168    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 315 H Babylon                NY C  Sec 11  ( 7-11, 74.8)    11- 2   
 326 H Deer Park              NY B  Sec 11  ( 8- 8, 78.2)    10- 5   
 402 A Patchogue-Medford      NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-11, 72.4)    14- 6   
 404 A Longwood               NY A  Sec 11  ( 3-13, 71.7)    15- 8   
 408 H Walt Whitman, NY       NY A  Sec 11  ( 7- 9, 79.1)    11-12   
 410 A Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  ( 9-10, 87.2)     6-14   
 416 A Copiague               NY A  Sec 11  ( 1-16, 61.3)    13- 5   
 418 H Half Hollow Hills      NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-12, 74.8)    13- 6   
 430 A Commack                NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 9, 83.2)     7-14   
 502 H West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (16- 2, 94.3)    10-18   
 506 H William Floyd          NY A  Sec 11  (11- 8, 81.6)    11-12   
 508 H North Babylon          NY A  Sec 11  (12- 6, 91.7)     4-17   
 510 H Middle Country         NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-11, 74.4)    12-13 2o
 513 H West Babylon           NY A  Sec 11  (15- 5, 94.5)     2-17   
 516 A Sachem East            NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 7, 85.0)    16-17   
 520 A Brentwood, NY          NY A  Sec 11  ( 3-13, 67.7)   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   315 H Babylon                11- 2       9     4    ++     4.65
   326 H Deer Park              10- 5       5     0    ++     4.05
   402 A Patchogue-Medford      14- 6       8     5    +      2.25
   404 A Longwood               15- 8       7     6           0.53
   408 H Walt Whitman, NY       11-12      -1     0          -1.06
   410 A Ward Melville           6-14      -8    -9           1.04
   416 A Copiague               13- 5       8    16    -     -2.00
   418 H Half Hollow Hills      13- 6       7     4    +      2.65
   430 A Commack                 7-14      -7    -5          -1.95
   502 H West Islip             10-18      -8   -15    +      2.00
   506 H William Floyd          11-12      -1    -2           1.44
   508 H North Babylon           4-17     -13   -12           0.00
   510 H Middle Country         12-13 2o   -1     4    --    -5.74
   513 H West Babylon            2-17     -15   -15           0.00
   516 A Sachem East            16-17      -1    -6    ++     5.85

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   510 H Middle Country         12-13 2o   -1     4    --    -5.74
   416 A Copiague               13- 5       8    16    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   315 H Babylon                11- 2       9     4    ++     4.65
   326 H Deer Park              10- 5       5     0    ++     4.05
   516 A Sachem East            16-17      -1    -6    ++     5.85
   402 A Patchogue-Medford      14- 6       8     5    +      2.25
   418 H Half Hollow Hills      13- 6       7     4    +      2.65
   502 H West Islip             10-18      -8   -15    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 78.67 Local Power Rank...........    26
 Local SOS Rating......... 59.11 Local SOS Rank.............    24
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.45 Local RPI Rank.............    28
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    15
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    27
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -15.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -11.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -7.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -5.7
/