Conf =  ECIC                      Region = NY A  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Red Devils           Coach  =   Doug Kohler           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.0021820    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 405 H Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   (16- 4, 97.9)     7-11   
 407 A North Tonawanda        NY A  Sec 6   ( 0-12, 74.2)    16- 1   
 422 A Frontier               NY A  Sec 6   ( 8- 9, 90.2)     8- 9   
 423 H West Seneca East       NY B  Sec 6   ( 9- 8, 89.1)     8- 9   
 424 H Lockport               NY A  Sec 6   ( 1-11, 81.0)    14-10   
 426 H Williamsville North    NY A  Sec 6   ( 8- 7, 90.7)     9-12   
 428 A Lancaster, NY          NY A  Sec 6   (20- 3, 99.9)     2-11   
 429 H Nichols School         NY Club       (10- 6, 92.4)    13-10 2o
 502 H North Tonawanda        NY A  Sec 6   ( 0-12, 74.2)    15- 4   
 505 A Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   (16- 4, 97.9)    10-16   
 507 H Frontier               NY A  Sec 6   ( 8- 9, 90.2)     8- 7 2o
 509 A Lockport               NY A  Sec 6   ( 1-11, 81.0)    12-10   
 512 A Williamsville North    NY A  Sec 6   ( 8- 7, 90.7)     8-13   
 514 H Lancaster, NY          NY A  Sec 6   (20- 3, 99.9)     3-15   
 515 A Nichols School         NY Club       (10- 6, 92.4)     6-15   
 517 H West Seneca West       NY A  Sec 6   (10- 7, 90.6)     9-10   
 519 A Gates-Chili            NY A  Sec 5   ( 4-14, 75.5)    18-17  o
 528 A Frontier               NY A  Sec 6   ( 8- 9, 90.2)    14-12   
 530 A Lancaster, NY          NY A  Sec 6   (20- 3, 99.9)     2-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 H Orchard Park            7-11      -4    -8    ++     4.49
   407 A North Tonawanda        16- 1      15    12           0.00
   422 A Frontier                8- 9      -1    -3    +      2.86
   423 H West Seneca East        8- 9      -1     0          -1.22
   424 H Lockport               14-10       4     8    --    -4.40
   426 H Williamsville North     9-12      -3    -1          -1.70
   428 A Lancaster, NY           2-11      -9   -13           1.00
   429 H Nichols School         13-10 2o    3    -3    +++    6.04
   502 H North Tonawanda        15- 4      11    15           0.00
   505 A Orchard Park           10-16      -6   -11    ++     4.00
   507 H Frontier                8- 7 2o    1     0           1.86
   509 A Lockport               12-10       2     5    -     -3.40
   512 A Williamsville North     8-13      -5    -4          -0.70
   514 H Lancaster, NY           3-15     -12   -10           0.00
   515 A Nichols School          6-15      -9    -6    -     -2.96
   517 H West Seneca West        9-10      -1    -1           0.28
   519 A Gates-Chili            18-17  o    1    11          n/a  
   528 A Frontier               14-12       2    -3    ++     5.86
   530 A Lancaster, NY           2-15     -13   -13           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   519 A Gates-Chili            18-17  o    1    11    ---        
   424 H Lockport               14-10       4     8    --    -4.40
   509 A Lockport               12-10       2     5    -     -3.40
   515 A Nichols School          6-15      -9    -6    -     -2.96

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   429 H Nichols School         13-10 2o    3    -3    +++    6.04
   405 H Orchard Park            7-11      -4    -8    ++     4.49
   505 A Orchard Park           10-16      -6   -11    ++     4.00
   528 A Frontier               14-12       2    -3    ++     5.86
   422 A Frontier                8- 9      -1    -3    +      2.86
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 87.86 Local Power Rank...........    13
 Local SOS Rating......... 76.67 Local SOS Rank.............    11
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.50 Local RPI Rank.............    11
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......     8
 Local Quality Win Rating.-10.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    20
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -8.8
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3-10 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.4
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5-11 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.3
/