Conf =  A1                        Region = NY A  Sec 3            
   Nickname = Y Northstar            Coach  =   Brooke Bramoff        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.1299286    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 402 A Baldwinsville          NY A  Sec 3   (12- 6, 86.7)    10- 9   
 408 H Westhill               NY C  Sec 3   (15- 5, 89.3)    16-22   
 409 H Fayetteville-Manlius   NY A  Sec 3   (14- 7, 88.4)     9-12   
 414 H Liverpool              NY A  Sec 3   ( 9-11, 84.2)    11- 9   
 415 A Garrison Forest        MD IAAM B     (17- 3, 99.9)     9- 8   
 417 A Mercy, MD              MD IAAM A     ( 4-11, 81.0)     6- 8   
 421 H Christian Bros Acad    NY C  Sec 3   ( 9-11, 82.2)    21-20 2o
 423 A Oswego                 NY A  Sec 3   ( 5-13, 72.2)    14- 8   
 502 N Liverpool              NY A  Sec 3   ( 9-11, 84.2)    16- 6   
 505 A Corcoran-Fowler        NY A  Sec 3   ( 9- 9, 79.6)   
 506 H Rome Free Academy      NY A  Sec 3   ( 3-15, 64.2)    19- 4   
 509 A Fayetteville-Manlius   NY A  Sec 3   (14- 7, 88.4)     6- 8   
 513 H Baldwinsville          NY A  Sec 3   (12- 6, 86.7)    14- 8   
 515 H Auburn                 NY A  Sec 3   (10- 9, 81.6)    15-10   
 516 H Henninger-Nottingham   NY A  Sec 3   (11- 7, 81.9)    10- 7   
 519 H Brighton, NY           NY B  Sec 5   (19- 2, 99.9)     4-12   
 521 A West Genesee           NY A  Sec 3   (24- 0, 99.9)     9-20   
 527 H Auburn                 NY A  Sec 3   (10- 9, 81.6)    12-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 A Baldwinsville          10- 9       1    -2    +      3.00
   408 H Westhill               16-22      -6    -2    -     -3.10
   409 H Fayetteville-Manlius    9-12      -3    -2          -0.97
   414 H Liverpool              11- 9       2     2          -0.14
   415 A Garrison Forest         9- 8       1   -14          n/a  
   417 A Mercy, MD               6- 8      -2     3          n/a  
   421 H Christian Bros Acad    21-20 2o    1     4    -     -3.16
   423 A Oswego                 14- 8       6    12    --    -4.00
   502 N Liverpool              16- 6      10     1    +++    8.68
   506 H Rome Free Academy      19- 4      15    22           0.00
   509 A Fayetteville-Manlius    6- 8      -2    -3           1.66
   513 H Baldwinsville          14- 8       6     0    +++    6.37
   515 H Auburn                 15-10       5     4           0.26
   516 H Henninger-Nottingham   10- 7       3     4          -1.47
   519 H Brighton, NY            4-12      -8   -13          n/a  
   521 A West Genesee            9-20     -11   -15           0.00
   527 H Auburn                 12-14      -2     4    ---   -6.74

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   527 H Auburn                 12-14      -2     4    ---   -6.74
   417 A Mercy, MD               6- 8      -2     3    --         
   423 A Oswego                 14- 8       6    12    --    -4.00
   408 H Westhill               16-22      -6    -2    -     -3.10
   421 H Christian Bros Acad    21-20 2o    1     4    -     -3.16

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   415 A Garrison Forest         9- 8       1   -14    +++        
   502 N Liverpool              16- 6      10     1    +++    8.68
   513 H Baldwinsville          14- 8       6     0    +++    6.37
   402 A Baldwinsville          10- 9       1    -2    +      3.00
   519 H Brighton, NY            4-12      -8   -13    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 85.55 Local Power Rank...........     8
 Local SOS Rating......... 68.86 Local SOS Rank.............     5
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.59 Local RPI Rank.............     8
 Championship Probability .    3.0 Championship Rank .......     4
 Local Quality Win Rating.110.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     6
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -8.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  4- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -0.4
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  7- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    0.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -7.0
/