Charlottesville               2 - 7


 
                                     Region = VA NW AA               
   Nickname = A Black Knights        Coach  =   Rebecca Tweel         



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   85.5286407    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 313 A Albemarle              VA NW AAA     (16- 3, 97.6)     6-13   
 325 H Albemarle              VA NW AAA     (16- 3, 97.6)     5-13   
 328 H Monticello, VA         VA NW AA      ( 2- 8, 77.7)   
 401 H Western Albemarle      VA NW AA      (15- 3, 98.4)     4-17   
 416 A Rockbridge County      VA NW AA      (10- 6, 88.0)     7-11   
 422 H Brentsville District   VA NW AA      ( 3-10, 73.7)    14- 7   
 424 A E.C. Glass             VA NW AAA     ( 0- 6, 71.9)   
 430 H Salem, VA              VA NW AA      (11- 3, 88.0)     8-12   
 501 A Deep Run               VA Indep      ( 9- 8, 80.6)    11- 9   
 503 A St. Anne's-Belfield    VA LIS        (14- 7, 90.9)     2-13   
 513 A Western Albemarle      VA NW AA      (15- 3, 98.4)     5-16   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   313 A Albemarle               6-13      -7   -19    +      3.00
   325 H Albemarle               5-13      -8   -15    +      2.00
   401 H Western Albemarle       4-17     -13   -16           0.00
   416 A Rockbridge County       7-11      -4    -9    ++     5.45
   422 H Brentsville District   14- 7       7     8          -1.51
   430 H Salem, VA               8-12      -4    -5           1.76
   501 A Deep Run               11- 9       2    -2    ++     4.04
   503 A St. Anne's-Belfield     2-13     -11   -12           0.00
   513 A Western Albemarle       5-16     -11   -19           0.00


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   416 A Rockbridge County       7-11      -4    -9    ++     5.45
   501 A Deep Run               11- 9       2    -2    ++     4.04
   313 A Albemarle               6-13      -7   -19    +      3.00
   325 H Albemarle               5-13      -8   -15    +      2.00




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 80.40 Local Power Rank...........    44
 Local SOS Rating......... 78.80 Local SOS Rank.............     2
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.53 Local RPI Rank.............    27
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    19
 Local Quality Win Rating.-75.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    58
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  2- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -5.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -9.8
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -9.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -9.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -6.7


  
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