Region = VA NW AA               
   Nickname = A Spartans             Coach  =   Jen Melhuish          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   92.6491699    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 315 H Monticello, VA         VA NW AA      ( 2- 8, 77.7)    18- 6   
 327 A Dominion               VA NW AA      ( 7- 8, 81.5)    14- 6   
 329 A Western Albemarle      VA NW AA      (15- 3, 98.4)     3-14   
 402 H Stone Bridge           VA Lbrty      (14- 2, 96.4)     7- 6   
 405 A Bullis School          DC ISL A      (15- 3, 88.1)     5-14   
 407 H Freedom-South Riding   VA NW AA      ( 0-11, 70.1)    16- 2   
 412 H Westfield, VA          VA Cncrd      (12- 6, 93.8)    10- 9   
 414 A George Mason           VA NW AA      ( 7- 7, 79.7)    13- 5   
 417 H Briar Woods            VA NW AA      ( 5- 7, 79.7)    19- 6   
 421 A Loudoun County         VA NW AA      ( 8- 4, 85.6)    12- 6   
 424 H Park View              VA NW AA      ( 0- 8, 64.8)    16- 1   
 428 A Heritage               VA NW AA      ( 7- 7, 80.6)    15- 5   
 501 H Potomac Falls          VA NW AA      (10- 4, 85.1)     9- 6   
 503 A Mercersburg Academy    PA Indep      ( 9- 5, 88.2)    10-11   
 507 H Freedom-South Riding   VA NW AA      ( 0-11, 70.1)    21- 2   
 515 N Dominion               VA NW AA      ( 7- 8, 81.5)    14- 6   
 516 N Potomac Falls          VA NW AA      (10- 4, 85.1)    15- 4   
 519 H Rockbridge County      VA NW AA      (10- 6, 88.0)    16- 4   
 521 A Western Albemarle      VA NW AA      (15- 3, 98.4)     6-12   
 601 A Chantilly              VA Cncrd      (17- 3, 99.4)     8-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   315 H Monticello, VA         18- 6      12    16           0.00
   327 A Dominion               14- 6       8     9          -1.57
   329 A Western Albemarle       3-14     -11    -7    -     -2.67
   402 H Stone Bridge            7- 6       1    -1    +      2.75
   405 A Bullis School           5-14      -9     3          n/a  
   407 H Freedom-South Riding   16- 2      14    24           0.00
   412 H Westfield, VA          10- 9       1     0           0.15
   414 A George Mason           13- 5       8    11    -     -2.00
   417 H Briar Woods            19- 6      13    14           0.00
   421 A Loudoun County         12- 6       6     5           0.52
   424 H Park View              16- 1      15    29           0.00
   428 A Heritage               15- 5      10    10           0.00
   501 H Potomac Falls           9- 6       3     9    ---   -6.59
   503 A Mercersburg Academy    10-11      -1     3          n/a  
   507 H Freedom-South Riding   21- 2      19    24           0.00
   515 N Dominion               14- 6       8    11    -     -2.00
   516 N Potomac Falls          15- 4      11     7    +      2.22
   519 H Rockbridge County      16- 4      12     6    +      3.38
   521 A Western Albemarle       6-12      -6    -7           1.33
   601 A Chantilly               8-15      -7    -8           1.33

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 A Bullis School           5-14      -9     3    ---        
   501 H Potomac Falls           9- 6       3     9    ---   -6.59
   503 A Mercersburg Academy    10-11      -1     3    --         
   329 A Western Albemarle       3-14     -11    -7    -     -2.67
   414 A George Mason           13- 5       8    11    -     -2.00
   515 N Dominion               14- 6       8    11    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 H Stone Bridge            7- 6       1    -1    +      2.75
   516 N Potomac Falls          15- 4      11     7    +      2.22
   519 H Rockbridge County      16- 4      12     6    +      3.38
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 92.84 Local Power Rank...........    11
 Local SOS Rating......... 67.39 Local SOS Rank.............    30
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.62 Local RPI Rank.............    10
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    14
 Local Quality Win Rating. 90.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     8
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 15- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -8.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.4
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.3
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