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Region = VA NW AA Nickname = A Spartans Coach = Jen MelhuishGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 92.6491699 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 315 H Monticello, VA VA NW AA ( 2- 8, 77.7) 18- 6 327 A Dominion VA NW AA ( 7- 8, 81.5) 14- 6 329 A Western Albemarle VA NW AA (15- 3, 98.4) 3-14 402 H Stone Bridge VA Lbrty (14- 2, 96.4) 7- 6 405 A Bullis School DC ISL A (15- 3, 88.1) 5-14 407 H Freedom-South Riding VA NW AA ( 0-11, 70.1) 16- 2 412 H Westfield, VA VA Cncrd (12- 6, 93.8) 10- 9 414 A George Mason VA NW AA ( 7- 7, 79.7) 13- 5 417 H Briar Woods VA NW AA ( 5- 7, 79.7) 19- 6 421 A Loudoun County VA NW AA ( 8- 4, 85.6) 12- 6 424 H Park View VA NW AA ( 0- 8, 64.8) 16- 1 428 A Heritage VA NW AA ( 7- 7, 80.6) 15- 5 501 H Potomac Falls VA NW AA (10- 4, 85.1) 9- 6 503 A Mercersburg Academy PA Indep ( 9- 5, 88.2) 10-11 507 H Freedom-South Riding VA NW AA ( 0-11, 70.1) 21- 2 515 N Dominion VA NW AA ( 7- 8, 81.5) 14- 6 516 N Potomac Falls VA NW AA (10- 4, 85.1) 15- 4 519 H Rockbridge County VA NW AA (10- 6, 88.0) 16- 4 521 A Western Albemarle VA NW AA (15- 3, 98.4) 6-12 601 A Chantilly VA Cncrd (17- 3, 99.4) 8-15PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 315 H Monticello, VA 18- 6 12 16 0.00 327 A Dominion 14- 6 8 9 -1.57 329 A Western Albemarle 3-14 -11 -7 - -2.67 402 H Stone Bridge 7- 6 1 -1 + 2.75 405 A Bullis School 5-14 -9 3 n/a 407 H Freedom-South Riding 16- 2 14 24 0.00 412 H Westfield, VA 10- 9 1 0 0.15 414 A George Mason 13- 5 8 11 - -2.00 417 H Briar Woods 19- 6 13 14 0.00 421 A Loudoun County 12- 6 6 5 0.52 424 H Park View 16- 1 15 29 0.00 428 A Heritage 15- 5 10 10 0.00 501 H Potomac Falls 9- 6 3 9 --- -6.59 503 A Mercersburg Academy 10-11 -1 3 n/a 507 H Freedom-South Riding 21- 2 19 24 0.00 515 N Dominion 14- 6 8 11 - -2.00 516 N Potomac Falls 15- 4 11 7 + 2.22 519 H Rockbridge County 16- 4 12 6 + 3.38 521 A Western Albemarle 6-12 -6 -7 1.33 601 A Chantilly 8-15 -7 -8 1.33UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 405 A Bullis School 5-14 -9 3 --- 501 H Potomac Falls 9- 6 3 9 --- -6.59 503 A Mercersburg Academy 10-11 -1 3 -- 329 A Western Albemarle 3-14 -11 -7 - -2.67 414 A George Mason 13- 5 8 11 - -2.00 515 N Dominion 14- 6 8 11 - -2.00OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 402 H Stone Bridge 7- 6 1 -1 + 2.75 516 N Potomac Falls 15- 4 11 7 + 2.22 519 H Rockbridge County 16- 4 12 6 + 3.38/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 92.84 Local Power Rank........... 11 Local SOS Rating......... 67.39 Local SOS Rank............. 30 Local RPI Rating......... 0.62 Local RPI Rank............. 10 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 14 Local Quality Win Rating. 90.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 8 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 12.4 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 7.0 Wins/Losses(all )...... 15- 5 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 5.3 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -8.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 2- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -4.4 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 3- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -1.7 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -0.3