Region = VA NW AAA              
   Nickname = A Patriots             Coach  =   Dave Sloan            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   96.5242004    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 313 H Charlottesville        VA NW AA      ( 2- 7, 80.4)    13- 6   
 315 H St. Timothy's          MD IAAM B     ( 7- 9, 85.4)    14- 7   
 318 H Western Albemarle      VA NW AA      (15- 3, 98.4)    13- 6   
 320 A St. Catherine's School VA LIS        ( 6-12, 82.5)    16- 6   
 325 A Charlottesville        VA NW AA      ( 2- 7, 80.4)    13- 5   
 401 A St. Anne's-Belfield    VA LIS        (14- 7, 90.9)    11- 5   
 414 A Rockbridge County      VA NW AA      (10- 6, 88.0)    11- 4   
 417 H St. Catherine's School VA LIS        ( 6-12, 82.5)    16- 6   
 422 A Collegiate School      VA LIS        (19- 2, 99.9)     5-15   
 424 H Rockbridge County      VA NW AA      (10- 6, 88.0)    12- 4   
 429 A Monticello, VA         VA NW AA      ( 2- 8, 77.7)    18- 1   
 502 H Collegiate School      VA LIS        (19- 2, 99.9)    11-19   
 506 A Western Albemarle      VA NW AA      (15- 3, 98.4)    14-12   
 507 H Monticello, VA         VA NW AA      ( 2- 8, 77.7)    14- 3   
 521 H Battlefield            VA NW AAA     (14- 4, 86.2)    19- 4   
 522 A Forest Park            VA NW AAA     ( 8- 8, 77.7)    18- 6   
 528 A Loudoun Valley         VA NW AAA     (16- 5, 94.1)    11- 8   
 530 H Westfield, VA          VA Cncrd      (12- 6, 93.8)    12- 9   
 605 N Chantilly              VA Cncrd      (17- 3, 99.4)     9-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   313 H Charlottesville        13- 6       7    19    -     -3.00
   315 H St. Timothy's          14- 7       7    13          n/a  
   318 H Western Albemarle      13- 6       7     1    ++     5.92
   320 A St. Catherine's School 16- 6      10    13           0.00
   325 A Charlottesville        13- 5       8    15    -     -2.00
   401 A St. Anne's-Belfield    11- 5       6     4           1.07
   414 A Rockbridge County      11- 4       7     7          -0.77
   417 H St. Catherine's School 16- 6      10    16           0.00
   422 A Collegiate School       5-15     -10    -4    --    -5.91
   424 H Rockbridge County      12- 4       8    11    -     -2.00
   429 A Monticello, VA         18- 1      17    18           0.00
   502 H Collegiate School      11-19      -8     0    ---   -7.53
   506 A Western Albemarle      14-12       2    -2    ++     4.55
   507 H Monticello, VA         14- 3      11    21           0.00
   521 H Battlefield            19- 4      15    13           0.00
   522 A Forest Park            18- 6      12    18           0.00
   528 A Loudoun Valley         11- 8       3     1           1.30
   530 H Westfield, VA          12- 9       3     5    -     -2.63
   605 N Chantilly               9-11      -2    -1          -0.26

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   502 H Collegiate School      11-19      -8     0    ---   -7.53
   422 A Collegiate School       5-15     -10    -4    --    -5.91
   313 H Charlottesville        13- 6       7    19    -     -3.00
   315 H St. Timothy's          14- 7       7    13    -          
   325 A Charlottesville        13- 5       8    15    -     -2.00
   424 H Rockbridge County      12- 4       8    11    -     -2.00
   530 H Westfield, VA          12- 9       3     5    -     -2.63

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   318 H Western Albemarle      13- 6       7     1    ++     5.92
   506 A Western Albemarle      14-12       2    -2    ++     4.55
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 97.62 Local Power Rank...........     5
 Local SOS Rating......... 74.78 Local SOS Rank.............     6
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.68 Local RPI Rank.............     4
 Championship Probability .    2.0 Championship Rank .......     8
 Local Quality Win Rating.140.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     3
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 16- 3 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -2.2
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  4- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -0.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  7- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.3
/