![]()
Region = VA NW AAA Nickname = A Patriots Coach = Dave SloanGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 96.5242004 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 313 H Charlottesville VA NW AA ( 2- 7, 80.4) 13- 6 315 H St. Timothy's MD IAAM B ( 7- 9, 85.4) 14- 7 318 H Western Albemarle VA NW AA (15- 3, 98.4) 13- 6 320 A St. Catherine's School VA LIS ( 6-12, 82.5) 16- 6 325 A Charlottesville VA NW AA ( 2- 7, 80.4) 13- 5 401 A St. Anne's-Belfield VA LIS (14- 7, 90.9) 11- 5 414 A Rockbridge County VA NW AA (10- 6, 88.0) 11- 4 417 H St. Catherine's School VA LIS ( 6-12, 82.5) 16- 6 422 A Collegiate School VA LIS (19- 2, 99.9) 5-15 424 H Rockbridge County VA NW AA (10- 6, 88.0) 12- 4 429 A Monticello, VA VA NW AA ( 2- 8, 77.7) 18- 1 502 H Collegiate School VA LIS (19- 2, 99.9) 11-19 506 A Western Albemarle VA NW AA (15- 3, 98.4) 14-12 507 H Monticello, VA VA NW AA ( 2- 8, 77.7) 14- 3 521 H Battlefield VA NW AAA (14- 4, 86.2) 19- 4 522 A Forest Park VA NW AAA ( 8- 8, 77.7) 18- 6 528 A Loudoun Valley VA NW AAA (16- 5, 94.1) 11- 8 530 H Westfield, VA VA Cncrd (12- 6, 93.8) 12- 9 605 N Chantilly VA Cncrd (17- 3, 99.4) 9-11PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 313 H Charlottesville 13- 6 7 19 - -3.00 315 H St. Timothy's 14- 7 7 13 n/a 318 H Western Albemarle 13- 6 7 1 ++ 5.92 320 A St. Catherine's School 16- 6 10 13 0.00 325 A Charlottesville 13- 5 8 15 - -2.00 401 A St. Anne's-Belfield 11- 5 6 4 1.07 414 A Rockbridge County 11- 4 7 7 -0.77 417 H St. Catherine's School 16- 6 10 16 0.00 422 A Collegiate School 5-15 -10 -4 -- -5.91 424 H Rockbridge County 12- 4 8 11 - -2.00 429 A Monticello, VA 18- 1 17 18 0.00 502 H Collegiate School 11-19 -8 0 --- -7.53 506 A Western Albemarle 14-12 2 -2 ++ 4.55 507 H Monticello, VA 14- 3 11 21 0.00 521 H Battlefield 19- 4 15 13 0.00 522 A Forest Park 18- 6 12 18 0.00 528 A Loudoun Valley 11- 8 3 1 1.30 530 H Westfield, VA 12- 9 3 5 - -2.63 605 N Chantilly 9-11 -2 -1 -0.26UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 502 H Collegiate School 11-19 -8 0 --- -7.53 422 A Collegiate School 5-15 -10 -4 -- -5.91 313 H Charlottesville 13- 6 7 19 - -3.00 315 H St. Timothy's 14- 7 7 13 - 325 A Charlottesville 13- 5 8 15 - -2.00 424 H Rockbridge County 12- 4 8 11 - -2.00 530 H Westfield, VA 12- 9 3 5 - -2.63OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 318 H Western Albemarle 13- 6 7 1 ++ 5.92 506 A Western Albemarle 14-12 2 -2 ++ 4.55/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 97.62 Local Power Rank........... 5 Local SOS Rating......... 74.78 Local SOS Rank............. 6 Local RPI Rating......... 0.68 Local RPI Rank............. 4 Championship Probability . 2.0 Championship Rank ....... 8 Local Quality Win Rating.140.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 3 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 13.2 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 7.2 Wins/Losses(all )...... 16- 3 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 5.9 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 2- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -2.2 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 4- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -0.7 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 7- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 1.6 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 1.3