Region = MA West D1             
   Nickname = A Brownies             Coach  =   Carla Warner          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   85.6696548    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 401 H West Springfield, MA   MA West D1    ( 3-11, 67.6)    15- 4   
 403 H Westfield HS, MA       MA West D1    ( 5-10, 70.2)    17- 2   
 409 A West Springfield, MA   MA West D1    ( 3-11, 67.6)    14- 0   
 410 A South Hadley           MA West D1    ( 9- 8, 77.3)    16-10   
 414 H South Hadley           MA West D1    ( 9- 8, 77.3)    11- 4   
 415 H Cathedral, MA          MA West D1    ( 0-15, 61.7)    14- 0   
 418 H Westfield HS, MA       MA West D1    ( 5-10, 70.2)    16- 2   
 421 A Longmeadow             MA West D1    (20- 3, 95.3)     1-11   
 428 H Northampton            MA West D1    ( 7- 9, 76.5)    17-13   
 501 H Minnechaug             MA West D1    (15- 3, 86.7)    10-14   
 505 A Suffield Academy       NE            (12- 4, 89.5)     9-11   
 507 H Amherst-Pelham         MA West D1    ( 9- 7, 75.1)    13- 5   
 508 H East Longmeadow        MA West D1    ( 3-12, 68.1)    15- 4   
 512 A Cathedral, MA          MA West D1    ( 0-15, 61.7)    17- 9   
 513 H Longmeadow             MA West D1    (20- 3, 95.3)     1-16   
 516 A Minnechaug             MA West D1    (15- 3, 86.7)    12-19   
 520 A Amherst-Pelham         MA West D1    ( 9- 7, 75.1)    12-10   
 521 A Minnechaug             MA West D1    (15- 3, 86.7)    12-19   
 522 A East Longmeadow        MA West D1    ( 3-12, 68.1)    16- 7   
 528 A Northampton            MA West D1    ( 7- 9, 76.5)    12-11   
 602 H Northampton            MA West D1    ( 7- 9, 76.5)    16-11   
 603 A Minnechaug             MA West D1    (15- 3, 86.7)     7-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 H West Springfield, MA   15- 4      11    15           0.00
   403 H Westfield HS, MA       17- 2      15    12           0.00
   409 A West Springfield, MA   14- 0      14    14           0.00
   410 A South Hadley           16-10       6     4           1.62
   414 H South Hadley           11- 4       7     5           1.25
   415 H Cathedral, MA          14- 0      14    21           0.00
   418 H Westfield HS, MA       16- 2      14    12           0.00
   421 A Longmeadow              1-11     -10   -13           0.00
   428 H Northampton            17-13       4     6    -     -2.62
   501 H Minnechaug             10-14      -4    -3          -0.37
   505 A Suffield Academy        9-11      -2    -7          n/a  
   507 H Amherst-Pelham         13- 5       8     7           0.06
   508 H East Longmeadow        15- 4      11    14           0.00
   512 A Cathedral, MA          17- 9       8    19    -     -2.00
   513 H Longmeadow              1-16     -15   -12           0.00
   516 A Minnechaug             12-19      -7    -4    -     -2.00
   520 A Amherst-Pelham         12-10       2     6    --    -4.57
   521 A Minnechaug             12-19      -7    -4    -     -2.00
   522 A East Longmeadow        16- 7       9    13          -1.00
   528 A Northampton            12-11       1     5    --    -4.25
   602 H Northampton            16-11       5     6          -1.62
   603 A Minnechaug              7-16      -9    -4    --    -4.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   520 A Amherst-Pelham         12-10       2     6    --    -4.57
   528 A Northampton            12-11       1     5    --    -4.25
   603 A Minnechaug              7-16      -9    -4    --    -4.00
   428 H Northampton            17-13       4     6    -     -2.62
   512 A Cathedral, MA          17- 9       8    19    -     -2.00
   516 A Minnechaug             12-19      -7    -4    -     -2.00
   521 A Minnechaug             12-19      -7    -4    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   505 A Suffield Academy        9-11      -2    -7    ++         
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 82.39 Local Power Rank...........    28
 Local SOS Rating......... 53.81 Local SOS Rank.............    54
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.56 Local RPI Rank.............    34
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    11
 Local Quality Win Rating.-15.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    25
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 15- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -12.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -12.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -8.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.0
/