girls probabilites for 31
 
 

2007 girls Maryland 4/3/2/1

CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES

PR = Power Ratings RPI = Ratings Percentage Index SOS = Strength of Schedule QWF = Quality Wins Factor SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Century, MD 17 2 6 41 4 3 1 5 9 6.00 2 North Harford 17 2 4 1 2 1 9 1 11 0.10 3 Severna Park 20 0 2 11 1 2 11 2 15 14.00 4 Towson HS 13 5 9 4 7 6 12 9 27 0.10 5 Blake, MD 14 2 34 79 13 11 10 13 34 0.10 6 Broadneck 13 3 8 9 5 10 17 8 35 2.00 7 South River 11 4 11 17 12 18 2 15 35 0.10 8 Dulaney 13 3 5 7 8 4 31 4 39 1.00 9 Leonardtown 13 2 24 72 21 17 21 12 50 0.10 10 Fallston 7 7 16 5 26 16 8 31 55 0.10 11 Bel Air 8 5 17 21 25 20 6 32 58 0.10 12 Stephen Decatur 15 1 7 50 10 12 40 7 59 0.10 13 Hereford 9 7 14 2 32 19 13 27 59 0.10 14 Catonsville 8 6 15 8 17 7 39 18 64 0.10 15 Westminster, MD 12 3 10 39 9 9 48 11 68 0.10 16 Pikesville 10 7 29 42 48 26 7 39 72 0.10 17 Liberty, MD 11 4 12 16 15 14 45 16 75 0.10 18 Mt. Hebron 19 1 1 10 3 5 72 3 80 72.00 19 Poolesville 13 1 32 82 11 15 56 10 81 0.10 20 Centennial, MD 10 5 13 29 14 21 42 19 82 0.10 21 North Carroll 11 7 26 51 42 28 4 58 90 0.10 22 Wootton 11 3 39 91 30 34 34 22 90 0.10 23 Chesapeake, AA C 10 8 27 23 50 36 3 56 95 0.10 24 Glenelg HS 15 3 3 24 6 13 77 6 96 5.00 25 Sherwood, MD 12 5 42 86 53 38 23 36 97 0.10 26 C. Milton Wright 8 9 21 6 52 22 5 72 99 0.10 27 Chopticon 6 3 25 49 37 8 64 28 100 0.10 28 Aberdeen 7 4 59 88 45 25 33 49 107 0.10 29 Quince Orchard 9 3 41 84 33 39 46 26 111 0.10 30 Havre De Grace 8 2 58 96 20 24 68 20 112 0.10 31 Franklin Regiona 6 6 35 25 41 43 27 43 113 0.10 32 Walkersville 13 3 19 75 19 30 62 21 113 0.10 33 River Hill 7 6 30 12 29 37 47 35 119 0.10 34 Springbrook 8 5 55 85 63 41 32 48 121 0.10 35 Digital Harbor 0 1 121 120 31 77 15 30 122 0.10 36 Middletown, MD 12 3 44 108 28 44 55 25 124 0.10 37 Winters Mill 10 6 18 27 23 27 65 33 125 0.10 38 Marriotts Ridge 9 7 31 48 58 46 14 69 129 0.10 39 Rising Sun 11 1 49 116 16 23 92 14 129 0.10 40 Thomas Johnson 7 6 61 70 62 47 24 64 135 0.10 41 Damascus 6 6 54 65 80 29 41 66 136 0.10 42 Urbana 7 9 36 36 71 40 16 80 136 0.10 43 Arundel 7 5 20 14 24 33 61 46 140 0.10 44 Dundalk 9 4 75 114 40 50 54 38 142 0.10 45 Eastern Technica 3 7 51 13 67 53 37 61 151 0.10 46 Annapolis 8 7 23 20 35 42 60 50 152 0.10 47 Kent Island 12 4 22 53 27 31 97 24 152 0.10 48 Gaithersburg 8 6 63 90 69 58 36 62 156 0.10 49 Parkside 4 4 43 22 51 32 86 40 158 0.10 50 Magruder 4 6 79 61 77 35 51 75 161 0.10 51 Hammond 5 7 53 34 60 55 35 73 163 0.10 52 North East, Ceci 8 3 73 118 36 48 81 34 163 0.10 53 Sparrows Point 6 3 74 109 38 45 79 41 165 0.10 54 South Carroll 4 8 56 44 78 59 20 89 168 0.10 55 Atholton 5 7 47 33 64 56 38 77 171 0.10 56 Rockville 10 3 45 110 34 52 91 29 172 0.10 57 Great Mills 6 8 57 57 100 71 25 78 174 0.10 58 Francis Scott Ke 2 10 78 30 94 63 19 102 184 0.10 59 Loch Raven 7 4 28 55 46 54 83 47 184 0.10 60 Queen Anne's Cou 8 7 33 37 61 49 85 51 185 0.10 61 Southern, Anne A 5 9 40 45 86 69 22 95 186 0.10 62 Kenwood 5 6 62 56 66 66 59 63 188 0.10 63 Bethesda-Chevy C 9 4 48 101 49 60 95 37 192 0.10 64 Northern-Calvert 8 6 50 71 75 68 69 57 194 0.10 65 Glen Burnie 3 9 72 15 84 78 29 94 201 0.10 66 Edgewood 5 5 77 103 68 61 71 70 202 0.10 67 Patapsco 6 4 80 105 56 51 100 54 205 0.10 68 Linganore 5 10 76 64 106 79 18 110 207 0.10 69 Easton 6 7 38 52 73 67 78 67 212 0.10 70 Kent County 1 7 52 3 74 72 73 68 213 0.10 71 Old Mill 8 8 37 38 47 57 98 60 215 0.10 72 Perry Hall 4 9 46 35 93 65 49 101 215 0.10 73 Patterson 0 2 123 121 43 82 89 44 215 0.10 74 Carver A&T, Balt 7 5 88 115 65 74 82 65 221 0.10 75 Catoctin 2 5 94 81 76 73 67 81 221 0.10 76 Harford Tech 4 5 90 112 72 70 80 74 224 0.10 77 Oakland Mills 4 9 60 47 92 84 43 100 227 0.10 78 Wilde Lake 3 11 64 26 107 88 26 114 228 0.10 79 Polytechnic, Bal 9 2 95 123 18 93 122 17 232 0.10 80 Einstein 1 3 91 73 55 62 120 53 235 0.10 81 Joppatowne 2 10 106 94 122 83 30 122 235 0.10 82 Smithsburg 8 6 66 92 54 75 110 52 237 0.10 83 Montgomery Blair 6 8 85 95 99 91 63 90 244 0.10 84 City College 0 2 119 119 39 81 121 42 244 0.10 85 Northeast 2 11 70 32 112 97 28 119 244 0.10 86 Reservoir 1 9 84 18 96 95 53 105 253 0.10 87 Parkville 3 7 81 68 89 92 74 88 254 0.10 88 Seneca Valley, M 1 7 100 60 102 64 102 92 258 0.10 89 Western STES 6 5 83 102 57 89 116 55 260 0.10 90 Howard 4 10 71 54 104 101 52 109 262 0.10 91 Tuscarora 2 11 102 67 120 100 44 120 264 0.10 92 Long Reach 1 10 92 43 108 99 50 116 265 0.10 93 Churchill 3 9 82 78 105 86 76 106 268 0.10 94 Huntingtown 3 7 68 58 91 94 90 84 268 0.10 95 Paint Branch 2 8 96 74 109 76 94 99 269 0.10 96 Patuxent 1 5 69 66 81 103 87 79 269 0.10 97 Walt Whitman, MD 6 9 65 76 82 80 113 83 276 0.10 98 Lansdowne 2 7 98 104 98 85 96 97 278 0.10 99 Walter Johnson 0 8 89 63 115 87 84 107 278 0.10 100 Bohemia Manor 3 9 107 111 117 98 66 115 279 0.10 101 North County 2 11 86 46 116 105 58 118 281 0.10 102 Perryville 2 6 103 113 88 102 88 91 281 0.10 103 Wicomico (Wi-Hi) 0 5 112 31 79 104 104 76 284 0.10 104 Woodlawn 0 7 120 107 103 106 75 103 284 0.10 105 Cambridge-S Dorc 0 7 109 19 87 109 93 87 289 0.10 106 Western, Baltimo 0 3 117 117 59 119 111 59 289 0.10 107 Northwest 5 6 87 93 85 90 118 82 290 0.10 108 Northwood, MD 0 4 118 87 70 117 103 71 291 0.10 109 Randallstown 0 2 122 122 44 124 123 45 292 0.10 110 Meade 0 12 93 28 123 113 57 124 294 0.10 111 J.M. Bennett 2 9 67 40 101 96 107 93 296 0.10 112 Elkton 1 10 115 106 124 108 70 123 301 0.10 113 North Hagerstown 0 6 116 69 83 116 108 85 309 0.10 114 Wheaton 3 6 108 99 90 111 117 86 314 0.10 115 Owings Mills 1 7 101 62 95 121 109 98 328 0.10 116 Brunswick, MD 2 7 104 97 97 118 115 96 329 0.10 117 John F. Kennedy, 1 9 110 89 118 115 106 108 329 0.10 118 Watkins Mill 0 9 99 77 119 112 101 117 330 0.10 119 Richard Montgome 0 8 105 83 114 114 105 113 332 0.10 120 Overlea 0 8 114 98 113 107 114 112 333 0.10 121 Calvert 0 8 97 59 111 120 112 104 336 0.10 122 Frederick 1 10 111 80 121 122 99 121 342 0.10 123 South Hagerstown 1 8 113 100 110 123 119 111 353 0.10 124 Chesapeake, Balt 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10
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