Conf =  ECIC                      Region = NY B  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Flames               Coach  =   Kristen Zbrzezny      

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.0222092    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 327 H West Seneca East       NY B  Sec 6   ( 5-10, 87.0)     6- 7   
 329 H Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (16- 2, 97.4)     5- 9   
 403 A Iroquois               NY B  Sec 6   ( 8-10, 87.3)    14- 7   
 404 A Eden Club              NY Club       ( 0- 9, 74.6)    10- 3   
 417 A Williamsville South    NY B  Sec 6   ( 0-10, 76.7)    15- 4   
 421 A Niagara-Wheatfield     NY B  Sec 6   (14- 5, 94.6)    14- 7   
 424 A East Aurora            NY C  Sec 6   (13- 4, 94.1)     6- 8   
 426 A Iroquois               NY B  Sec 6   ( 8-10, 87.3)    12- 9   
 430 A Amherst                NY C  Sec 6   (16- 4, 99.9)     7-17   
 502 A Grand Island           NY B  Sec 6   ( 6- 9, 85.6)     9- 7   
 503 H Williamsville South    NY B  Sec 6   ( 0-10, 76.7)     9- 5   
 508 H Amherst                NY C  Sec 6   (16- 4, 99.9)     5-18   
 510 H East Aurora            NY C  Sec 6   (13- 4, 94.1)     9-11   
 510 H Eden Club              NY Club       ( 0- 9, 74.6)    10- 3   
 515 H Williamsville North    NY A  Sec 6   ( 3-11, 83.8)   
 522 H Grand Island           NY B  Sec 6   ( 6- 9, 85.6)    10- 6   
 524 A Niagara-Wheatfield     NY B  Sec 6   (14- 5, 94.6)     4- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 H West Seneca East        6- 7      -1     4    --    -5.87
   329 H Hamburg                 5- 9      -4    -5           1.52
   403 A Iroquois               14- 7       7     2    ++     4.94
   404 A Eden Club              10- 3       7    14    -     -3.00
   417 A Williamsville South    15- 4      11    12           0.00
   421 A Niagara-Wheatfield     14- 7       7    -5    +++   12.21
   424 A East Aurora             6- 8      -2    -4    +      2.68
   426 A Iroquois               12- 9       3     2           0.94
   430 A Amherst                 7-17     -10   -10           0.00
   502 A Grand Island            9- 7       2     3          -1.75
   503 H Williamsville South     9- 5       4    15    ---   -6.00
   508 H Amherst                 5-18     -13    -8          -1.97
   510 H East Aurora             9-11      -2    -2           0.20
   510 H Eden Club              10- 3       7    17    -     -3.00
   522 H Grand Island           10- 6       4     6    -     -2.24
   524 A Niagara-Wheatfield      4- 8      -4    -5           1.21

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   503 H Williamsville South     9- 5       4    15    ---   -6.00
   327 H West Seneca East        6- 7      -1     4    --    -5.87
   404 A Eden Club              10- 3       7    14    -     -3.00
   510 H Eden Club              10- 3       7    17    -     -3.00
   522 H Grand Island           10- 6       4     6    -     -2.24

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   421 A Niagara-Wheatfield     14- 7       7    -5    +++   12.21
   403 A Iroquois               14- 7       7     2    ++     4.94
   424 A East Aurora             6- 8      -2    -4    +      2.68
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 90.62 Local Power Rank...........     8
 Local SOS Rating......... 74.17 Local SOS Rank.............    14
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.52 Local RPI Rank.............     8
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    27
 Local Quality Win Rating. 40.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     8
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -4.8
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.3
/