Conf =  L1                        Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Patriots             Coach  =   Erin Blaney           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   95.6908264    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 404 A Huntington             NY B  Sec 11  (14- 6, 90.8)    12- 6   
 411 A Smithtown East         NY A  Sec 11  ( 8-11, 81.9)    10- 7   
 413 H Connetquot             NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 8, 78.0)    18- 4   
 417 A West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (12- 6, 88.6)    17-13   
 419 H Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  (13- 6, 92.1)    15-13   
 421 H East Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (13- 5, 93.4)    11-10   
 423 H Commack                NY A  Sec 11  ( 8-10, 83.8)    12- 6   
 425 A Northport              NY A  Sec 11  (17- 3, 96.9)    10-17   
 427 A West Babylon           NY A  Sec 11  (11- 8, 89.6)    16-13   
 428 A Yorktown, NY           NY B  Sec 1   (15- 7, 92.4)    15-13   
 501 A Longwood               NY A  Sec 11  ( 5- 9, 76.0)    19- 5   
 503 H Sachem East            NY A  Sec 11  (10- 8, 87.7)    14-13   
 507 H North Babylon          NY A  Sec 11  (11- 6, 90.1)    19-18   
 511 H Lindenhurst            NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-10, 81.8)    19- 6   
 515 A Walt Whitman, NY       NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-11, 74.7)    22-12   
 517 A Patchogue-Medford      NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-11, 72.0)    21- 7   
 522 H Commack                NY A  Sec 11  ( 8-10, 83.8)    17-11   
 524 H East Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (13- 5, 93.4)    15-13   
 530 N Northport              NY A  Sec 11  (17- 3, 96.9)    11- 7   
 603 N Farmingdale            NY A  Sec 8   (16- 4, 96.1)    11-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 A Huntington             12- 6       6     3    +      2.18
   411 A Smithtown East         10- 7       3    12    ---   -7.00
   413 H Connetquot             18- 4      14    18           0.00
   417 A West Islip             17-13       4     5          -1.98
   419 H Bay Shore              15-13       2     4    -     -2.21
   421 H East Islip             11-10       1     2          -1.92
   423 H Commack                12- 6       6    12    --    -4.00
   425 A Northport              10-17      -7    -2    --    -4.66
   427 A West Babylon           16-13       3     5    -     -2.03
   428 A Yorktown, NY           15-13       2     2          n/a  
   501 A Longwood               19- 5      14    18           0.00
   503 H Sachem East            14-13       1     8    ---   -7.58
   507 H North Babylon          19-18       1     6    --    -5.18
   511 H Lindenhurst            19- 6      13    14           0.00
   515 A Walt Whitman, NY       22-12      10    19           0.00
   517 A Patchogue-Medford      21- 7      14    22           0.00
   522 H Commack                17-11       6    12    --    -4.00
   524 H East Islip             15-13       2     2          -0.92
   530 N Northport              11- 7       4    -1    ++     5.47
   603 N Farmingdale            11-14      -3     0          n/a  

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 A Smithtown East         10- 7       3    12    ---   -7.00
   503 H Sachem East            14-13       1     8    ---   -7.58
   423 H Commack                12- 6       6    12    --    -4.00
   425 A Northport              10-17      -7    -2    --    -4.66
   507 H North Babylon          19-18       1     6    --    -5.18
   522 H Commack                17-11       6    12    --    -4.00
   419 H Bay Shore              15-13       2     4    -     -2.21
   427 A West Babylon           16-13       3     5    -     -2.03
   603 N Farmingdale            11-14      -3     0    -          

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   530 N Northport              11- 7       4    -1    ++     5.47
   404 A Huntington             12- 6       6     3    +      2.18
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 95.45 Local Power Rank...........     4
 Local SOS Rating......... 71.54 Local SOS Rank.............     3
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.69 Local RPI Rank.............     2
 Championship Probability .   11.0 Championship Rank .......     3
 Local Quality Win Rating.255.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     1
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   15.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 18- 2 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  3- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    0.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  7- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    1.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 12- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    2.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.0
/