Region = NC W Cen               
   Nickname = C Falcons              Coach  =   Kelley Routh          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   85.4108276    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 227 A Apex                   NC E Cen      (16- 3, 99.9)     5-18   
 228 H Western Guilford       NC W Cen      (14- 5, 94.2)     3-12   
 305 H Grimsley               NC W Cen      (10- 6, 87.5)     5-12   
 306 H W.H. Page              NC W Cen      ( 4-10, 81.2)     4- 5   
 308 H Durham Academy         NC E Cen      (12- 8, 91.5)     7-14   
 312 A West Forsyth           NC W Cen      ( 1-15, 76.7)    16- 6   
 313 A Chapel Hill            NC E Cen      ( 9- 8, 90.1)     2-12   
 322 A Northwest Guilford     NC W Cen      ( 9- 5, 87.5)     7-14   
 327 A Ragsdale               NC W Cen      ( 9- 5, 88.6)     7-15   
 328 A East Chapel Hill       NC E Cen      (19- 4, 96.6)     3-14   
 410 H West Forsyth           NC W Cen      ( 1-15, 76.7)     8- 7   
 414 H Green Hope             NC E Cen      (17- 5, 96.7)     6-18   
 416 A Grimsley               NC W Cen      (10- 6, 87.5)     9-14   
 417 H Northwest Guilford     NC W Cen      ( 9- 5, 87.5)    11-14   
 418 H Ragsdale               NC W Cen      ( 9- 5, 88.6)     7-11   
 423 A W.H. Page              NC W Cen      ( 4-10, 81.2)     6-11   
 424 A Western Guilford       NC W Cen      (14- 5, 94.2)     1-21   
 428 A Greensboro Day School  NC W Cen      (14- 4, 93.2)     6-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   227 A Apex                    5-18     -13   -23           0.00
   228 H Western Guilford        3-12      -9   -16           1.00
   305 H Grimsley                5-12      -7    -9    +      2.39
   306 H W.H. Page               4- 5      -1    -3    +      2.05
   308 H Durham Academy          7-14      -7   -13    +      3.00
   312 A West Forsyth           16- 6      10     0    +++    9.93
   313 A Chapel Hill             2-12     -10   -13           0.00
   322 A Northwest Guilford      7-14      -7   -10    +      3.00
   327 A Ragsdale                7-15      -8   -11    +      2.00
   328 A East Chapel Hill        3-14     -11   -19           0.00
   410 H West Forsyth            8- 7       1     1          -0.42
   414 H Green Hope              6-18     -12   -18           0.00
   416 A Grimsley                9-14      -5   -10    ++     5.00
   417 H Northwest Guilford     11-14      -3    -9    +++    6.38
   418 H Ragsdale                7-11      -4   -10    +++    6.00
   423 A W.H. Page               6-11      -5    -4          -0.60
   424 A Western Guilford        1-21     -20   -17           0.00
   428 A Greensboro Day School   6-15      -9   -16           1.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   312 A West Forsyth           16- 6      10     0    +++    9.93
   417 H Northwest Guilford     11-14      -3    -9    +++    6.38
   418 H Ragsdale                7-11      -4   -10    +++    6.00
   416 A Grimsley                9-14      -5   -10    ++     5.00
   305 H Grimsley                5-12      -7    -9    +      2.39
   306 H W.H. Page               4- 5      -1    -3    +      2.05
   308 H Durham Academy          7-14      -7   -13    +      3.00
   322 A Northwest Guilford      7-14      -7   -10    +      3.00
   327 A Ragsdale                7-15      -8   -11    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 77.46 Local Power Rank...........    34
 Local SOS Rating......... 75.15 Local SOS Rank.............     7
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.43 Local RPI Rank.............    28
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    38
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    41
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  2-16 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -6.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -11.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0-14 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -8.9
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....  -11.3
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