Region = NY Ivy                 
   Nickname = Y Falcons              Coach  =   Carol Pouliot         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   93.0641937    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 328 A Hilton Head            SC SCLL       ( 8-10, 87.7)    14- 9   
 411 H Hackley School         NY Ivy        (15- 2, 99.9)     5- 7   
 413 A Fieldston School       NY Ivy        (14- 2, 98.4)     4-15   
 418 A Trinity School, NY     NY Ivy        ( 3- 9, 84.3)     8-10   
 420 A Dalton School          NY Ivy        ( 3-10, 81.7)    14- 8   
 423 H Brearley School        NY Indep      ( 1- 5, 79.4)    18- 6   
 426 A Poly Prep CDS          NY Ivy        ( 7- 8, 87.8)    14-12   
 430 A Hackley School         NY Ivy        (15- 2, 99.9)     6-10   
 502 H Fieldston School       NY Ivy        (14- 2, 98.4)     9-16   
 504 H Long Island Lutheran   NY Indep      ( 2- 4, 85.7)    16- 9   
 507 H Trinity School, NY     NY Ivy        ( 3- 9, 84.3)    11- 9   
 509 H Dalton School          NY Ivy        ( 3-10, 81.7)    12- 6   
 511 H Poly Prep CDS          NY Ivy        ( 7- 8, 87.8)    14-10   
 514 A Horace Mann School     NY Ivy        ( 6- 7, 89.5)    10-14   
 515 H Master's School, NY    NE            ( 0- 6, 67.3)    16- 3   
 517 H Horace Mann School     NY Ivy        ( 6- 7, 89.5)     9-10   
 520 A Horace Mann School     NY Ivy        ( 6- 7, 89.5)     7-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 A Hilton Head            14- 9       5     1          n/a  
   411 H Hackley School          5- 7      -2    -7    ++     5.81
   413 A Fieldston School        4-15     -11    -9          -0.10
   418 A Trinity School, NY      8-10      -2     4    ---   -6.26
   420 A Dalton School          14- 8       6     6          -0.87
   423 H Brearley School        18- 6      12    12           0.00
   426 A Poly Prep CDS          14-12       2     0           1.28
   430 A Hackley School          6-10      -4   -11    +++    6.00
   502 H Fieldston School        9-16      -7    -6          -0.64
   504 H Long Island Lutheran   16- 9       7     6           0.66
   507 H Trinity School, NY     11- 9       2     7    --    -5.80
   509 H Dalton School          12- 6       6    10    --    -4.00
   511 H Poly Prep CDS          14-10       4     4          -0.27
   514 A Horace Mann School     10-14      -4     0    -     -3.07
   515 H Master's School, NY    16- 3      13    24          n/a  
   517 H Horace Mann School      9-10      -1     2    -     -3.62
   520 A Horace Mann School      7-13      -6     0    --    -5.07

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   418 A Trinity School, NY      8-10      -2     4    ---   -6.26
   507 H Trinity School, NY     11- 9       2     7    --    -5.80
   509 H Dalton School          12- 6       6    10    --    -4.00
   520 A Horace Mann School      7-13      -6     0    --    -5.07
   514 A Horace Mann School     10-14      -4     0    -     -3.07
   517 H Horace Mann School      9-10      -1     2    -     -3.62

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   430 A Hackley School          6-10      -4   -11    +++    6.00
   411 H Hackley School          5- 7      -2    -7    ++     5.81
   328 A Hilton Head            14- 9       5     1    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 90.32 Local Power Rank...........     4
 Local SOS Rating......... 73.41 Local SOS Rank.............     7
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.49 Local RPI Rank.............    11
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    19
 Local Quality Win Rating. 75.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     6
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -5.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  7- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    0.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.0
/