Conf =  MC                        Region = NY A  Sec 5            
   Nickname = Y Patriots             Coach  =   Wayne Smith           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   97.0919189    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 329 N Brighton, NY           NY B  Sec 5   (18- 2, 99.9)     8-12   
 331 N Webster Thomas         NY B  Sec 5   (13- 5, 92.1)     7- 5   
 404 A Irondequoit            NY B  Sec 5   ( 7- 8, 82.6)    14- 5   
 413 A Holy Child, DC         DC ISL AA     ( 8- 8, 75.9)    12- 3   
 419 N Honeoye Falls-Lima     NY C  Sec 5   (14- 4, 92.8)    15- 8   
 421 H Spencerport            NY A  Sec 5   ( 4-13, 75.4)    15- 5   
 423 A East Rochester         NY C  Sec 5   (16- 5, 93.5)    16- 9   
 425 A Cicero-North Syracuse  NY A  Sec 3   (11- 7, 84.9)    11-10   
 427 A Fairport               NY A  Sec 5   (10- 8, 86.4)    16- 6   
 502 H Churchville-Chili      NY A  Sec 5   ( 1-15, 69.3)    19- 2   
 504 H Arcadia-Olympia        NY A  Sec 5   ( 0-17, 67.6)    14- 1   
 508 A Webster Schroeder      NY A  Sec 5   ( 6-12, 76.8)    16- 4   
 511 H Rush-Henrietta         NY A  Sec 5   (12- 7, 93.1)     8- 4   
 512 H Irondequoit            NY B  Sec 5   ( 7- 8, 82.6)    16- 4   
 515 H Gates-Chili            NY A  Sec 5   (12- 6, 87.8)    16- 2   
 517 A Pittsford-Mendon       NY A  Sec 5   ( 8- 9, 83.1)    16- 5   
 523 H Spencerport            NY A  Sec 5   ( 4-13, 75.4)    19- 2   
 529 N Fairport               NY A  Sec 5   (10- 8, 86.4)    11- 3   
 531 N Rush-Henrietta         NY A  Sec 5   (12- 7, 93.1)     9- 7   
 602 N Lancaster, NY          NY A  Sec 6   (16- 4, 94.9)    15- 1   
 608 N Farmingdale            NY A  Sec 8   (16- 4, 96.1)     5- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 N Brighton, NY            8-12      -4    -2          -1.35
   331 N Webster Thomas          7- 5       2     5    -     -3.17
   404 A Irondequoit            14- 5       9    13          -1.00
   413 A Holy Child, DC         12- 3       9    20          n/a  
   419 N Honeoye Falls-Lima     15- 8       7     4    +      2.59
   421 H Spencerport            15- 5      10    22           0.00
   423 A East Rochester         16- 9       7     3    +      3.96
   425 A Cicero-North Syracuse  11-10       1    11          n/a  
   427 A Fairport               16- 6      10    10           0.00
   502 H Churchville-Chili      19- 2      17    28           0.00
   504 H Arcadia-Olympia        14- 1      13    30           0.00
   508 A Webster Schroeder      16- 4      12    19           0.00
   511 H Rush-Henrietta          8- 4       4     4          -0.87
   512 H Irondequoit            16- 4      12    15           0.00
   515 H Gates-Chili            16- 2      14    10           0.00
   517 A Pittsford-Mendon       16- 5      11    13           0.00
   523 H Spencerport            19- 2      17    22           0.00
   529 N Fairport               11- 3       8    10    -     -2.00
   531 N Rush-Henrietta          9- 7       2     4    -     -2.20
   602 N Lancaster, NY          15- 1      14     2          n/a  
   608 N Farmingdale             5- 8      -3     1          n/a  

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   425 A Cicero-North Syracuse  11-10       1    11    ---        
   608 N Farmingdale             5- 8      -3     1    --         
   331 N Webster Thomas          7- 5       2     5    -     -3.17
   529 N Fairport               11- 3       8    10    -     -2.00
   531 N Rush-Henrietta          9- 7       2     4    -     -2.20

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   602 N Lancaster, NY          15- 1      14     2    +++        
   419 N Honeoye Falls-Lima     15- 8       7     4    +      2.59
   423 A East Rochester         16- 9       7     3    +      3.96
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 97.25 Local Power Rank...........     2
 Local SOS Rating......... 68.42 Local SOS Rank.............    10
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.64 Local RPI Rank.............     3
 Championship Probability .   18.0 Championship Rank .......     2
 Local Quality Win Rating.225.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     2
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 19- 2 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    8.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    1.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  5- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    3.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 11- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    6.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.3
/