Region = VA NW AAA              
   Nickname = A Patriots             Coach  =   Mike Norton           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   79.1312561    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 319 H Douglas Freeman Rebels VA Indep      (10- 3, 86.3)     3-13   
 321 A Rockbridge County      VA NW AA      ( 9- 5, 82.6)     1- 8   
 323 H Virginia Episcopal     VA LIS        ( 3- 5, 72.8)   
 324 A Monticello, VA         VA NW AA      ( 1-10, 69.9)     9- 4   
 325 A Swift Creek            VA Indep      ( 8- 3, 84.6)     3-15   
 328 H St. Gertrude's         VA LIS        ( 0-14, 70.1)   
 329 H E.C. Glass             VA NW AAA     ( 5- 4, 70.2)    13- 3   
 329 H James River HS         VA Indep      ( 5- 3, 80.9)     2- 7   
 402 H Swift Creek            VA Indep      ( 8- 3, 84.6)     5-14   
 403 A Cave Spring            VA NW AA      ( 2- 4, 63.1)    10- 1   
 404 A Deep Run               VA Indep      ( 5- 5, 76.0)     4- 8   
 405 H East Rockingham Club   VA Indep      ( 0- 8, 55.3)   
 418 A Salem, VA              VA NW AA      ( 7- 2, 86.5)     2-13   
 420 H Trinity Episcopal      VA LIS        (13- 4, 87.0)     4-16   
 425 H Rockbridge County      VA NW AA      ( 9- 5, 82.6)     2-11   
 426 H Deep Run               VA Indep      ( 5- 5, 76.0)     6- 7   
 428 A Western Albemarle      VA NW AA      (13- 3, 88.7)     6-16   
 430 A James River HS         VA Indep      ( 5- 3, 80.9)   
 501 H Salem, VA              VA NW AA      ( 7- 2, 86.5)     9-14   
 501 A Steward School         VA LIS        ( 2- 8, 71.9)   
 504 A Trinity Episcopal      VA LIS        (13- 4, 87.0)     5- 0   
 510 A East Rockingham Club   VA Indep      ( 0- 8, 55.3)    16- 1   
 516 A E.C. Glass             VA NW AAA     ( 5- 4, 70.2)    18- 4   
 521 H Battlefield            VA NW AAA     ( 9- 7, 74.3)     8- 6   
 523 A Forest Park            VA NW AAA     (10- 4, 78.9)     5- 6   
 525 A Osbourn Park           VA NW AAA     (14- 5, 85.2)     0- 1   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   319 H Douglas Freeman Rebels  3-13     -10   -11           0.00
   321 A Rockbridge County       1- 8      -7    -9    +      2.20
   324 A Monticello, VA          9- 4       5     3           1.42
   325 A Swift Creek             3-15     -12   -11           0.00
   329 H E.C. Glass             13- 3      10     4    ++     5.37
   329 H James River HS          2- 7      -5    -6           1.06
   402 H Swift Creek             5-14      -9    -9           0.77
   403 A Cave Spring            10- 1       9    10          -1.00
   404 A Deep Run                4- 8      -4    -2          -1.48
   418 A Salem, VA               2-13     -11   -13           0.00
   420 H Trinity Episcopal       4-16     -12   -12           0.00
   425 H Rockbridge County       2-11      -9    -7          -1.23
   426 H Deep Run                6- 7      -1    -1           0.09
   428 A Western Albemarle       6-16     -10   -15           0.00
   501 H Salem, VA               9-14      -5   -11    ++     5.00
   504 A Trinity Episcopal       5- 0       5   -13    +++   15.00
   510 A East Rockingham Club   16- 1      15    18           0.00
   516 A E.C. Glass             18- 4      14     3    +++    6.80
   521 H Battlefield             8- 6       2     0           1.48
   523 A Forest Park             5- 6      -1    -5    ++     4.49

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   504 A Trinity Episcopal       5- 0       5   -13    +++   15.00
   516 A E.C. Glass             18- 4      14     3    +++    6.80
   329 H E.C. Glass             13- 3      10     4    ++     5.37
   501 H Salem, VA               9-14      -5   -11    ++     5.00
   523 A Forest Park             5- 6      -1    -5    ++     4.49
   321 A Rockbridge County       1- 8      -7    -9    +      2.20
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 74.15 Local Power Rank...........    56
 Local SOS Rating......... 56.52 Local SOS Rank.............    49
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.49 Local RPI Rank.............    41
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    60
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   102
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7-14 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -7.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    5.0
/