Conf =  ECIC                      Region = NY B  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Falcons              Coach  =   Kim Abrams            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   92.1166534    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 402 A Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (16- 2, 97.4)     3- 7   
 403 H Lancaster, NY          NY A  Sec 6   (16- 4, 94.9)    12-11   
 418 H West Seneca East       NY B  Sec 6   ( 5-10, 87.0)    12- 4   
 420 H Sweet Home             NY B  Sec 6   ( 5- 7, 87.5)    16- 7   
 421 H Williamsville East     NY B  Sec 6   ( 9- 7, 90.6)     7-14   
 423 A Grand Island           NY B  Sec 6   ( 6- 9, 85.6)    14-15   
 425 A Lake Shore             NY B  Sec 6   ( 7- 8, 88.6)    14-10   
 427 A West Seneca West       NY B  Sec 6   ( 2-12, 83.0)    14- 8   
 428 H Williamsville North    NY A  Sec 6   ( 3-11, 83.8)    17-10   
 502 H West Seneca West       NY B  Sec 6   ( 2-12, 83.0)    15- 4   
 504 A West Seneca East       NY B  Sec 6   ( 5-10, 87.0)    10- 8   
 505 H Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (16- 2, 97.4)     7-10   
 507 A Sweet Home             NY B  Sec 6   ( 5- 7, 87.5)    10- 6   
 510 H Grand Island           NY B  Sec 6   ( 6- 9, 85.6)    16- 3   
 511 H Lake Shore             NY B  Sec 6   ( 7- 8, 88.6)    16-13   
 515 H Frontier               NY A  Sec 6   (11- 8, 91.1)     9- 6   
 522 H Iroquois               NY B  Sec 6   ( 8-10, 87.3)    11- 9   
 524 H Williamsville East     NY B  Sec 6   ( 9- 7, 90.6)     8- 4   
 531 N Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (16- 2, 97.4)     9-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 A Hamburg                 3- 7      -4    -4           0.04
   403 H Lancaster, NY          12-11       1     0           0.10
   418 H West Seneca East       12- 4       8     8          -0.84
   420 H Sweet Home             16- 7       9     8           0.70
   421 H Williamsville East      7-14      -7     5    ---  -12.21
   423 A Grand Island           14-15      -1     7    ---   -8.72
   425 A Lake Shore             14-10       4     4          -0.73
   427 A West Seneca West       14- 8       6    10    --    -4.00
   428 H Williamsville North    17-10       7    12    -     -3.00
   502 H West Seneca West       15- 4      11    12           0.00
   504 A West Seneca East       10- 8       2     6    --    -4.35
   505 H Hamburg                 7-10      -3    -1          -1.45
   507 A Sweet Home             10- 6       4     5          -1.81
   510 H Grand Island           16- 3      13    10           0.00
   511 H Lake Shore             16-13       3     7    --    -4.22
   515 H Frontier                9- 6       3     4          -1.79
   522 H Iroquois               11- 9       2     8    ---   -6.52
   524 H Williamsville East      8- 4       4     5          -1.21
   531 N Hamburg                 9-12      -3    -2          -0.21

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   421 H Williamsville East      7-14      -7     5    ---  -12.21
   423 A Grand Island           14-15      -1     7    ---   -8.72
   522 H Iroquois               11- 9       2     8    ---   -6.52
   427 A West Seneca West       14- 8       6    10    --    -4.00
   504 A West Seneca East       10- 8       2     6    --    -4.35
   511 H Lake Shore             16-13       3     7    --    -4.22
   428 H Williamsville North    17-10       7    12    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 94.59 Local Power Rank...........     5
 Local SOS Rating......... 75.43 Local SOS Rank.............    11
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.58 Local RPI Rank.............     4
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    22
 Local Quality Win Rating.180.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     5
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -2.2
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  5- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -0.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 14- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    3.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.0
/