Northwest                     5 - 6


 
                                     Region = MD 3A                  
   Nickname = D Jaguars              Coach  =   Corrine Norren        



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   68.4665222    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 322 A Magruder               MD 4A         ( 4- 6, 64.9)     9-10  o
 324 H Seneca Valley, MD      MD 3A         ( 1- 7, 57.3)    11- 6   
 327 A Clarksburg                                            12- 0                                     
 329 A Watkins Mill           MD 4A         ( 0- 9, 57.4)    11- 6   
 411 H Walt Whitman, MD       MD 4A         ( 6- 9, 67.3)    12- 8   
 413 A Richard Montgomery     MD 4A         ( 0- 8, 55.0)     9- 7   
 419 H Walter Johnson         MD 4A         ( 0- 8, 62.1)   
 425 A Churchill              MD 4A         ( 3- 9, 64.7)     6-13   
 427 H Quince Orchard         MD 4A         ( 9- 3, 74.1)     5-13   
 502 A Montgomery Blair, MD   MD 4A         ( 6- 8, 63.9)     7-15   
 504 H Wootton                MD 4A         (11- 3, 75.1)     1-11   
 507 H Poolesville            MD 1A         (13- 1, 78.6)     5-15   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   322 A Magruder                9-10  o   -1    -2           1.30
   324 H Seneca Valley, MD      11- 6       5     6          -1.90
   329 A Watkins Mill           11- 6       5     5          -0.26
   411 H Walt Whitman, MD       12- 8       4    -3    +++    7.05
   413 A Richard Montgomery      9- 7       2     7    --    -5.66
   425 A Churchill               6-13      -7    -2    --    -4.88
   427 H Quince Orchard          5-13      -8    -9           1.88
   502 A Montgomery Blair, MD    7-15      -8    -1    ---   -6.69
   504 H Wootton                 1-11     -10   -10           0.00
   507 H Poolesville             5-15     -10   -14           0.00


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   502 A Montgomery Blair, MD    7-15      -8    -1    ---   -6.69
   413 A Richard Montgomery      9- 7       2     7    --    -5.66
   425 A Churchill               6-13      -7    -2    --    -4.88


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 H Walt Whitman, MD       12- 8       4    -3    +++    7.05




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 63.41 Local Power Rank...........    87
 Local SOS Rating......... 36.05 Local SOS Rank.............    93
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.43 Local RPI Rank.............    90
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    74
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    85
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(2nd 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....      
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -9.3


  
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