Region = CT Div 2               
   Nickname = T Bears                Coach  =   Al Morgenthaler       

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   78.9882050    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 405 A Shelton                CT Div 2      ( 1-14, 60.9)    13- 6   
 411 A Brien McMahon          CT Div 2      (14- 7, 82.9)     3-13   
 414 H St. Joseph, CT         CT Div 2      ( 7- 9, 77.6)     6-11   
 417 A Trumbull               CT Div 2      ( 3-13, 73.0)     8-14   
 421 H Ridgefield             CT Div 2      (11- 7, 82.1)     6-15   
 424 H Greenwich HS           CT Div 1      (15- 5, 93.3)     1-16   
 426 A Fairfield Ludlowe      CT Div 2      (10- 8, 79.2)    10-12   
 504 A Staples                CT Div 2      ( 7- 9, 75.6)     6- 8   
 505 H Housatonic Valley      CT Div 2      ( 0-11, 54.7)    16- 4   
 508 H Wilton                 CT Div 1      (17- 4, 93.8)     3-19   
 512 A Danbury                CT Div 2      ( 7- 9, 77.7)     7-11   
 514 H Shelton                CT Div 2      ( 1-14, 60.9)    16- 2   
 516 H Staples                CT Div 2      ( 7- 9, 75.6)    11-15   
 518 H Fairfield Ludlowe      CT Div 2      (10- 8, 79.2)     7-17   
 521 H West Haven             CT Div 2      ( 7- 9, 72.8)    11- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 A Shelton                13- 6       7     9    -     -2.37
   411 A Brien McMahon           3-13     -10   -12           0.00
   414 H St. Joseph, CT          6-11      -5    -6           1.15
   417 A Trumbull                8-14      -6    -2    -     -3.26
   421 H Ridgefield              6-15      -9   -10           1.00
   424 H Greenwich HS            1-16     -15   -21           0.00
   426 A Fairfield Ludlowe      10-12      -2    -8    +++    6.93
   504 A Staples                 6- 8      -2    -5    +      3.37
   505 H Housatonic Valley      16- 4      12    16           0.00
   508 H Wilton                  3-19     -16   -22           0.00
   512 A Danbury                 7-11      -4    -7    +      3.43
   514 H Shelton                16- 2      14    10           0.00
   516 H Staples                11-15      -4    -4           0.20
   518 H Fairfield Ludlowe       7-17     -10    -7    -     -2.23
   521 H West Haven             11- 9       2    -1    +      3.39

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 A Shelton                13- 6       7     9    -     -2.37
   417 A Trumbull                8-14      -6    -2    -     -3.26
   518 H Fairfield Ludlowe       7-17     -10    -7    -     -2.23

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   426 A Fairfield Ludlowe      10-12      -2    -8    +++    6.93
   504 A Staples                 6- 8      -2    -5    +      3.37
   512 A Danbury                 7-11      -4    -7    +      3.43
   521 H West Haven             11- 9       2    -1    +      3.39
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 70.83 Local Power Rank...........    45
 Local SOS Rating......... 52.06 Local SOS Rank.............    29
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.40 Local RPI Rank.............    54
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    43
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    51
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  4-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -15.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -15.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -12.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.0
/