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Region = CT Div 2 Nickname = T Bears Coach = Al MorgenthalerGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 78.9882050 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 405 A Shelton CT Div 2 ( 1-14, 60.9) 13- 6 411 A Brien McMahon CT Div 2 (14- 7, 82.9) 3-13 414 H St. Joseph, CT CT Div 2 ( 7- 9, 77.6) 6-11 417 A Trumbull CT Div 2 ( 3-13, 73.0) 8-14 421 H Ridgefield CT Div 2 (11- 7, 82.1) 6-15 424 H Greenwich HS CT Div 1 (15- 5, 93.3) 1-16 426 A Fairfield Ludlowe CT Div 2 (10- 8, 79.2) 10-12 504 A Staples CT Div 2 ( 7- 9, 75.6) 6- 8 505 H Housatonic Valley CT Div 2 ( 0-11, 54.7) 16- 4 508 H Wilton CT Div 1 (17- 4, 93.8) 3-19 512 A Danbury CT Div 2 ( 7- 9, 77.7) 7-11 514 H Shelton CT Div 2 ( 1-14, 60.9) 16- 2 516 H Staples CT Div 2 ( 7- 9, 75.6) 11-15 518 H Fairfield Ludlowe CT Div 2 (10- 8, 79.2) 7-17 521 H West Haven CT Div 2 ( 7- 9, 72.8) 11- 9PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 405 A Shelton 13- 6 7 9 - -2.37 411 A Brien McMahon 3-13 -10 -12 0.00 414 H St. Joseph, CT 6-11 -5 -6 1.15 417 A Trumbull 8-14 -6 -2 - -3.26 421 H Ridgefield 6-15 -9 -10 1.00 424 H Greenwich HS 1-16 -15 -21 0.00 426 A Fairfield Ludlowe 10-12 -2 -8 +++ 6.93 504 A Staples 6- 8 -2 -5 + 3.37 505 H Housatonic Valley 16- 4 12 16 0.00 508 H Wilton 3-19 -16 -22 0.00 512 A Danbury 7-11 -4 -7 + 3.43 514 H Shelton 16- 2 14 10 0.00 516 H Staples 11-15 -4 -4 0.20 518 H Fairfield Ludlowe 7-17 -10 -7 - -2.23 521 H West Haven 11- 9 2 -1 + 3.39UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 405 A Shelton 13- 6 7 9 - -2.37 417 A Trumbull 8-14 -6 -2 - -3.26 518 H Fairfield Ludlowe 7-17 -10 -7 - -2.23OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 426 A Fairfield Ludlowe 10-12 -2 -8 +++ 6.93 504 A Staples 6- 8 -2 -5 + 3.37 512 A Danbury 7-11 -4 -7 + 3.43 521 H West Haven 11- 9 2 -1 + 3.39/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 70.83 Local Power Rank........... 45 Local SOS Rating......... 52.06 Local SOS Rank............. 29 Local RPI Rating......... 0.40 Local RPI Rank............. 54 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 43 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 51 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 8.3 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 11.5 Wins/Losses(all )...... 4-11 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -3.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -15.5 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -15.5 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -12.5 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -4.0