North Middlesex              11 - 7


 
                                     Region = MA Cen D1              
   Nickname = A Patriots             Coach  =   Rich Murphy           



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   86.0601501    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 410 H Algonquin              MA Cen D1     (13- 6, 87.0)     7-10   
 419 A Groton-Dunstable       MA Cen D1     ( 2-11, 66.1)   
 424 H Shrewsbury             MA Cen D1     (13- 2, 87.1)     9-10   
 426 A Westborough            MA Cen D1     ( 9- 5, 85.8)     8- 6   
 503 A Algonquin              MA Cen D1     (13- 6, 87.0)     8- 9   
 504 A Nipmuc                 MA Cen D1     ( 6- 8, 71.5)    10- 0   
 506 A Acton-Boxborough       MA No D1      (13- 7, 88.6)     4-15   
 507 A Wachusett              MA Cen D1     ( 4- 8, 75.3)    16- 7   
 510 A Marlborough            MA Cen D1     ( 1-12, 62.9)    18- 4   
 514 H Groton-Dunstable       MA Cen D1     ( 2-11, 66.1)    16- 6   
 515 A Shrewsbury             MA Cen D1     (13- 2, 87.1)    11-12   
 517 H Westborough            MA Cen D1     ( 9- 5, 85.8)     4-16   
 522 H St. Peter-Marian       MA Cen D1     ( 3- 9, 68.5)    15- 5   
 523 H Wachusett              MA Cen D1     ( 4- 8, 75.3)    11- 6   
 524 H Nipmuc                 MA Cen D1     ( 6- 8, 71.5)    15- 5   
 526 H Grafton Memorial       MA Cen D1     ( 7- 6, 71.4)    16- 6   
 530 A St. Peter-Marian       MA Cen D1     ( 3- 9, 68.5)    18- 5   
 606 H Nipmuc                 MA Cen D1     ( 6- 8, 71.5)    14- 2   
 607 A Shrewsbury             MA Cen D1     (13- 2, 87.1)     9-12   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   410 H Algonquin               7-10      -3    -3           0.19
   424 H Shrewsbury              9-10      -1    -3    +      2.30
   426 A Westborough             8- 6       2    -4    +++    6.07
   503 A Algonquin               8- 9      -1    -5    ++     4.25
   504 A Nipmuc                 10- 0      10    10           0.00
   506 A Acton-Boxborough        4-15     -11    -6    -     -3.11
   507 A Wachusett              16- 7       9     6    +      2.58
   510 A Marlborough            18- 4      14    18           0.00
   514 H Groton-Dunstable       16- 6      10    17           0.00
   515 A Shrewsbury             11-12      -1    -5    ++     4.37
   517 H Westborough             4-16     -12    -2    ---   -8.00
   522 H St. Peter-Marian       15- 5      10    15           0.00
   523 H Wachusett              11- 6       5     8    -     -3.48
   524 H Nipmuc                 15- 5      10    12           0.00
   526 H Grafton Memorial       16- 6      10    12           0.00
   530 A St. Peter-Marian       18- 5      13    13           0.00
   606 H Nipmuc                 14- 2      12    12           0.00
   607 A Shrewsbury              9-12      -3    -5    +      2.37


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   517 H Westborough             4-16     -12    -2    ---   -8.00
   506 A Acton-Boxborough        4-15     -11    -6    -     -3.11
   523 H Wachusett              11- 6       5     8    -     -3.48


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   426 A Westborough             8- 6       2    -4    +++    6.07
   503 A Algonquin               8- 9      -1    -5    ++     4.25
   515 A Shrewsbury             11-12      -1    -5    ++     4.37
   424 H Shrewsbury              9-10      -1    -3    +      2.30
   507 A Wachusett              16- 7       9     6    +      2.58
   607 A Shrewsbury              9-12      -3    -5    +      2.37




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 82.77 Local Power Rank...........    44
 Local SOS Rating......... 54.44 Local SOS Rank.............    82
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.55 Local RPI Rank.............    32
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    96
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    65
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -11.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    7.3


  
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