Monticello, VA                1 -10


 
                                     Region = VA NW AA               
   Nickname = A Mustangs             Coach  =   Elaine Kirby          



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   77.2814636    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 324 H Patrick Henry, VA      VA NW AAA     ( 7-14, 74.2)     4- 9   
 326 A Rockbridge County      VA NW AA      ( 9- 5, 82.6)     3-12   
 402 H Liberty-Bealton, VA    VA NW AA      ( 9- 5, 79.2)     4- 7   
 409 H Albemarle              VA NW AAA     ( 9- 9, 84.7)     3-15   
 414 A Broad Run              VA NW AA      (16- 2, 90.0)     6-11   
 419 A Albemarle              VA NW AAA     ( 9- 9, 84.7)     7-20   
 421 H Salem, VA              VA NW AA      ( 7- 2, 86.5)     5-14   
 424 H Western Albemarle      VA NW AA      (13- 3, 88.7)     2-11   
 428 H Charlottesville        VA NW AA      ( 2- 6, 76.4)    10-11   
 503 A Western Albemarle      VA NW AA      (13- 3, 88.7)     2-16   
 508 H Tandem Friends School  VA Indep      ( 1- 5, 69.3)    12-11  o


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 H Patrick Henry, VA       4- 9      -5    -3          -1.42
   326 A Rockbridge County       3-12      -9   -13           1.00
   402 H Liberty-Bealton, VA     4- 7      -3    -8    ++     5.60
   409 H Albemarle               3-15     -12   -14           0.00
   414 A Broad Run               6-11      -5   -20    ++     5.00
   419 A Albemarle               7-20     -13   -15           0.00
   421 H Salem, VA               5-14      -9   -15           1.00
   424 H Western Albemarle       2-11      -9   -18           1.00
   428 H Charlottesville        10-11      -1    -5    ++     4.78
   503 A Western Albemarle       2-16     -14   -19           0.00
   508 H Tandem Friends School  12-11  o    1     1          -0.23


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 H Liberty-Bealton, VA     4- 7      -3    -8    ++     5.60
   414 A Broad Run               6-11      -5   -20    ++     5.00
   428 H Charlottesville        10-11      -1    -5    ++     4.78




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 69.86 Local Power Rank...........    69
 Local SOS Rating......... 62.08 Local SOS Rank.............    26
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.42 Local RPI Rank.............    65
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    52
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    98
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    5.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  1-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -7.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -9.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.7


  
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