Region = MA West D1             
   Nickname = A Falcons              Coach  =   David Yelle           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.2690506    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 403 H South Hadley           MA West D1    (14- 3, 88.6)    10-10   
 405 H South Windsor          CT Div 1      (11- 7, 85.7)     5-11   
 410 H Amherst-Pelham         MA West D1    ( 9- 8, 83.1)    15-10   
 410 H Conard                 CT Div 1      (11- 5, 83.4)     6-16   
 417 A West Springfield, MA   MA West D1    ( 2- 9, 72.4)   
 424 A East Longmeadow        MA West D1    ( 2- 9, 76.0)    17-10   
 426 H Wilbraham & Monson     NE            ( 2- 6, 74.1)    13- 6   
 430 A Cathedral, MA          MA West D1    ( 0-13, 68.0)    17- 6   
 502 H Cathedral, MA          MA West D1    ( 0-13, 68.0)    14- 4   
 503 A Agawam                 MA West D1    (16- 7, 88.3)    10-12   
 508 H Longmeadow             MA West D1    (21- 2, 99.9)     2-18   
 511 A Northampton            MA West D1    ( 3- 8, 80.0)   
 518 H East Longmeadow        MA West D1    ( 2- 9, 76.0)    13- 8   
 521 A Westfield HS, MA       MA West D1    ( 5-11, 78.0)    16-11   
 522 H Agawam                 MA West D1    (16- 7, 88.3)    11- 5   
 525 A Longmeadow             MA West D1    (21- 2, 99.9)     1-13   
 529 H Northampton            MA West D1    ( 3- 8, 80.0)   
 529 H Westfield HS, MA       MA West D1    ( 5-11, 78.0)    18-11   
 531 A Westfield HS, MA       MA West D1    ( 5-11, 78.0)   
 606 H Amherst-Pelham         MA West D1    ( 9- 8, 83.1)    13-10   
 607 A Longmeadow             MA West D1    (21- 2, 99.9)     0-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 H South Hadley           10-10       0    -2    +      2.76
   405 H South Windsor           5-11      -6     0          n/a  
   410 H Amherst-Pelham         15-10       5     2    +      2.28
   410 H Conard                  6-16     -10     2          n/a  
   424 A East Longmeadow        17-10       7     7          -0.76
   426 H Wilbraham & Monson     13- 6       7    11          n/a  
   430 A Cathedral, MA          17- 6      11    15           0.00
   502 H Cathedral, MA          14- 4      10    17           0.00
   503 A Agawam                 10-12      -2    -4    +      2.62
   508 H Longmeadow              2-18     -16   -14           0.00
   518 H East Longmeadow        13- 8       5     9    --    -4.83
   521 A Westfield HS, MA       16-11       5     5          -0.69
   522 H Agawam                 11- 5       6    -2    +++    8.56
   525 A Longmeadow              1-13     -12   -16           0.00
   529 H Westfield HS, MA       18-11       7     7          -0.76
   606 H Amherst-Pelham         13-10       3     2           0.28
   607 A Longmeadow              0-13     -13   -16           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   410 H Conard                  6-16     -10     2    ---        
   405 H South Windsor           5-11      -6     0    --         
   518 H East Longmeadow        13- 8       5     9    --    -4.83
   426 H Wilbraham & Monson     13- 6       7    11    -          

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   522 H Agawam                 11- 5       6    -2    +++    8.56
   403 H South Hadley           10-10       0    -2    +      2.76
   410 H Amherst-Pelham         15-10       5     2    +      2.28
   503 A Agawam                 10-12      -2    -4    +      2.62
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 84.76 Local Power Rank...........    37
 Local SOS Rating......... 65.22 Local SOS Rank.............    29
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.55 Local RPI Rank.............    29
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    79
 Local Quality Win Rating. 15.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    17
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -13.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -13.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -6.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.0
/