Region = MD IAAM A              
   Nickname = D Patriots             Coach  =   John Hughes           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   97.5030365    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 320 A Seton Keough           MD IAAM A     ( 7- 9, 88.5)     9- 7  o
 322 H Roland Park CS         MD IAAM A     ( 9- 7, 92.2)    12- 9   
 326 A St. Paul's SG, MD      MD IAAM A     (10- 8, 92.2)    10- 8   
 327 H St. Mary's, MD         MD IAAM A     (11-11, 92.0)    10- 9  o
 329 A Archbishop Spalding    MD IAAM A     ( 5-13, 85.3)    11- 5   
 403 H Severn School          MD IAAM A     (12- 8, 92.9)    10- 6   
 404 A North Harford          MD 2A         (17- 2, 92.1)    10- 9   
 412 H Bryn Mawr SG           MD IAAM A     (14- 3, 98.7)     7- 8   
 417 A Maryvale Prep          MD IAAM A     ( 5-10, 86.5)     9-10   
 419 H Mt. de Sales Academy   MD IAAM A     ( 8- 9, 89.4)    12- 9   
 424 A Mercy, MD              MD IAAM A     ( 5-12, 86.4)    14- 6   
 426 H Notre Dame Prep, MD    MD IAAM A     ( 8-11, 90.5)     8- 5   
 430 H McDonogh School        MD IAAM A     (19- 2, 99.9)     6- 9   
 501 A Fallston               MD 3A         ( 7- 7, 83.4)    14- 6   
 508 H St. Paul's SG, MD      MD IAAM A     (10- 8, 92.2)    10- 7   
 510 H St. Mary's, MD         MD IAAM A     (11-11, 92.0)     9- 8 2o
 513 N Severn School          MD IAAM A     (12- 8, 92.9)    10- 9  o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 A Seton Keough            9- 7  o    2     7    --    -5.34
   322 H Roland Park CS         12- 9       3     5    -     -2.27
   326 A St. Paul's SG, MD      10- 8       2     3          -1.71
   327 H St. Mary's, MD         10- 9  o    1     5    --    -4.50
   329 A Archbishop Spalding    11- 5       6    10    --    -4.00
   403 H Severn School          10- 6       4     4          -0.58
   404 A North Harford          10- 9       1     3          n/a  
   412 H Bryn Mawr SG            7- 8      -1    -1           0.26
   417 A Maryvale Prep           9-10      -1     9    ---  -10.34
   419 H Mt. de Sales Academy   12- 9       3     8    --    -5.02
   424 A Mercy, MD              14- 6       8     9          -1.48
   426 H Notre Dame Prep, MD     8- 5       3     6    -     -3.97
   430 H McDonogh School         6- 9      -3    -2          -0.56
   501 A Fallston               14- 6       8    12          n/a  
   508 H St. Paul's SG, MD      10- 7       3     5    -     -2.29
   510 H St. Mary's, MD          9- 8 2o    1     5    --    -4.50
   513 N Severn School          10- 9  o    1     3    -     -2.79

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   417 A Maryvale Prep           9-10      -1     9    ---  -10.34
   320 A Seton Keough            9- 7  o    2     7    --    -5.34
   327 H St. Mary's, MD         10- 9  o    1     5    --    -4.50
   329 A Archbishop Spalding    11- 5       6    10    --    -4.00
   419 H Mt. de Sales Academy   12- 9       3     8    --    -5.02
   510 H St. Mary's, MD          9- 8 2o    1     5    --    -4.50
   322 H Roland Park CS         12- 9       3     5    -     -2.27
   404 A North Harford          10- 9       1     3    -          
   426 H Notre Dame Prep, MD     8- 5       3     6    -     -3.97
   501 A Fallston               14- 6       8    12    -          
   508 H St. Paul's SG, MD      10- 7       3     5    -     -2.29
   513 N Severn School          10- 9  o    1     3    -     -2.79

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 96.67 Local Power Rank...........     3
 Local SOS Rating......... 79.31 Local SOS Rank.............     8
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.59 Local RPI Rank.............     2
 Championship Probability .    8.0 Championship Rank .......     5
 Local Quality Win Rating.225.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     2
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14- 3 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  3- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    0.8
 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 10- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    1.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 12- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    2.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.7
/