Region = CT Div 1               
   Nickname = T Falcons              Coach  =   Cori Distler          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   84.2452393    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 407 A Daniel Hand            CT Div 1      (16- 4, 89.8)     1-14   
 410 H Newtown                CT Div 1      (16- 3, 87.5)     7-13   
 412 H Lauralton Hall         CT Div 2      ( 9- 8, 71.8)    11- 4   
 413 A Bethel                 CT Div 2      ( 4-12, 64.1)    12- 2   
 414 A Danbury                CT Div 2      ( 7- 9, 77.7)    12-10  o
 417 A New Fairfield          CT Div 1      (10- 8, 78.3)     7- 6   
 424 A Brookfield, CT         CT Div 2      (19- 3, 85.2)     8-11   
 426 A Pomperaug              CT Div 2      (10- 8, 73.5)    10- 6   
 428 A Fairfield Ludlowe      CT Div 2      (10- 8, 79.2)     9- 6   
 501 H Notre Dame Catholic    CT Div 2      ( 0-16, 57.1)    15- 3   
 503 A Masuk                  CT Div 1      ( 5-11, 68.3)    12- 6   
 508 H New Milford            CT Div 2      (11- 8, 76.7)    13-14   
 510 A Immaculate             CT Div 2      ( 5-10, 66.4)    15- 8   
 512 H Ridgefield             CT Div 2      (11- 7, 82.1)     8- 7   
 513 A Branford               CT Div 1      (12- 8, 82.1)     5- 8   
 517 H Weston, CT             CT Div 2      ( 2-13, 61.9)    15- 8   
 524 A Newtown                CT Div 1      (16- 3, 87.5)     7-10   
 531 H Simsbury               CT Div 1      ( 6- 9, 79.0)    11- 7   
 602 A Newtown                CT Div 1      (16- 3, 87.5)     8- 7   
 605 A Daniel Hand            CT Div 1      (16- 4, 89.8)     5-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 A Daniel Hand             1-14     -13   -10           0.00
   410 H Newtown                 7-13      -6    -6           0.78
   412 H Lauralton Hall         11- 4       7     8          -1.94
   413 A Bethel                 12- 2      10    15           0.00
   414 A Danbury                12-10  o    2     1           0.08
   417 A New Fairfield           7- 6       1     1          -0.28
   424 A Brookfield, CT          8-11      -3    -5    +      2.57
   426 A Pomperaug              10- 6       4     6    -     -2.05
   428 A Fairfield Ludlowe       9- 6       3     0    +      2.59
   501 H Notre Dame Catholic    15- 3      12    23           0.00
   503 A Masuk                  12- 6       6    11    --    -4.00
   508 H New Milford            13-14      -1     4    --    -5.02
   510 A Immaculate             15- 8       7    13    -     -3.00
   512 H Ridgefield              8- 7       1    -1    +      2.32
   513 A Branford                5- 8      -3    -2          -0.48
   517 H Weston, CT             15- 8       7    18    -     -3.00
   524 A Newtown                 7-10      -3    -7    ++     4.95
   531 H Simsbury               11- 7       4     1    +      2.21
   602 A Newtown                 8- 7       1    -7    +++    8.95
   605 A Daniel Hand             5-10      -5   -10    ++     5.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   503 A Masuk                  12- 6       6    11    --    -4.00
   508 H New Milford            13-14      -1     4    --    -5.02
   426 A Pomperaug              10- 6       4     6    -     -2.05
   510 A Immaculate             15- 8       7    13    -     -3.00
   517 H Weston, CT             15- 8       7    18    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   602 A Newtown                 8- 7       1    -7    +++    8.95
   524 A Newtown                 7-10      -3    -7    ++     4.95
   605 A Daniel Hand             5-10      -5   -10    ++     5.00
   424 A Brookfield, CT          8-11      -3    -5    +      2.57
   428 A Fairfield Ludlowe       9- 6       3     0    +      2.59
   512 H Ridgefield              8- 7       1    -1    +      2.32
   531 H Simsbury               11- 7       4     1    +      2.21
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 80.17 Local Power Rank...........    20
 Local SOS Rating......... 53.97 Local SOS Rank.............    24
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.57 Local RPI Rank.............    17
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    29
 Local Quality Win Rating. 25.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    14
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -5.2
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.9
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.0
/