Conf =  ECIC                      Region = NY B  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Chiefs               Coach  =   Mark Dubel            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.0270081    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 329 A Lockport               NY A  Sec 6   ( 1-13, 77.1)    12- 4   
 330 H West Seneca West       NY B  Sec 6   ( 2-12, 83.0)     8- 7   
 403 H Williamsville East     NY B  Sec 6   ( 9- 7, 90.6)     7-14   
 405 A Amherst                NY C  Sec 6   (16- 4, 99.9)     5-20   
 418 A Frontier               NY A  Sec 6   (11- 8, 91.1)     5-14   
 419 A East Aurora            NY C  Sec 6   (13- 4, 94.1)    11-20   
 421 H West Seneca East       NY B  Sec 6   ( 5-10, 87.0)     6- 7   
 423 H Eden Club              NY Club       ( 0- 9, 74.6)    16- 0   
 424 A Williamsville South    NY B  Sec 6   ( 0-10, 76.7)    14- 7   
 426 H Williamsville East     NY B  Sec 6   ( 9- 7, 90.6)     9-12   
 501 H Amherst                NY C  Sec 6   (16- 4, 99.9)     5-15   
 503 A Eden Club              NY Club       ( 0- 9, 74.6)    14- 0   
 504 A Sweet Home             NY B  Sec 6   ( 5- 7, 87.5)     6- 7   
 507 H Mt. Mercy Academy      NY Martin     ( 0- 4, 71.3)    15- 4   
 508 H East Aurora            NY C  Sec 6   (13- 4, 94.1)     7- 9   
 510 H Williamsville South    NY B  Sec 6   ( 0-10, 76.7)    12- 4   
 518 H Williamsville South    NY B  Sec 6   ( 0-10, 76.7)    13- 5   
 522 A Niagara-Wheatfield     NY B  Sec 6   (14- 5, 94.6)     9-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 A Lockport               12- 4       8     8          -0.94
   330 H West Seneca West        8- 7       1     5    --    -4.56
   403 H Williamsville East      7-14      -7    -2    --    -4.94
   405 A Amherst                 5-20     -15   -13           0.00
   418 A Frontier                5-14      -9    -4    --    -4.02
   419 A East Aurora            11-20      -9    -7          -1.01
   421 H West Seneca East        6- 7      -1     1    -     -2.57
   423 H Eden Club              16- 0      16    13           0.00
   424 A Williamsville South    14- 7       7     9    -     -2.38
   426 H Williamsville East      9-12      -3    -2          -0.94
   501 H Amherst                 5-15     -10   -11           0.00
   503 A Eden Club              14- 0      14    11           0.00
   504 A Sweet Home              6- 7      -1    -1           0.46
   507 H Mt. Mercy Academy      15- 4      11    17           0.00
   508 H East Aurora             7- 9      -2    -5    +      3.50
   510 H Williamsville South    12- 4       8    11    -     -2.00
   518 H Williamsville South    13- 5       8    11    -     -2.00
   522 A Niagara-Wheatfield      9-11      -2    -8    +++    6.52

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 H West Seneca West        8- 7       1     5    --    -4.56
   403 H Williamsville East      7-14      -7    -2    --    -4.94
   418 A Frontier                5-14      -9    -4    --    -4.02
   421 H West Seneca East        6- 7      -1     1    -     -2.57
   424 A Williamsville South    14- 7       7     9    -     -2.38
   510 H Williamsville South    12- 4       8    11    -     -2.00
   518 H Williamsville South    13- 5       8    11    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   522 A Niagara-Wheatfield      9-11      -2    -8    +++    6.52
   508 H East Aurora             7- 9      -2    -5    +      3.50
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 87.32 Local Power Rank...........    12
 Local SOS Rating......... 69.14 Local SOS Rank.............    22
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.43 Local RPI Rank.............    20
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    11
 Local Quality Win Rating.-50.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    23
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -9.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.1
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2-10 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.7
/