Region = DC WCAC                
   Nickname = D Tartans              Coach  =   Susan Decker          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   91.2514648    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 315 H Georgetown Visitation  DC ISL A      (11- 6, 84.9)    10- 7   
 320 H St. John's College, DC DC WCAC       ( 2-11, 68.6)    17- 5   
 322 A St. Mary's Ryken       DC WCAC       ( 2- 9, 68.0)    19- 5   
 323 A Stone Ridge CDS        DC ISL A      ( 6- 8, 80.1)    11-10   
 329 A Good Counsel           DC WCAC       (17- 3, 90.8)     7-11   
 331 N Harrison, GA           GA A5         (13- 5, 90.8)    15-11   
 401 N Princeton HS           NJ CJ Bdm     (10- 6, 82.5)    17-12   
 402 N East Chapel Hill       NC E Cen      (19- 4, 96.6)    16- 4   
 403 N Glen Cove              NY B  Sec 8   ( 2-11, 67.7)    20- 2   
 413 H Holton-Arms School     DC ISL A      (11- 7, 86.0)    12-10   
 417 H Elizabeth Seton        DC WCAC       (15- 7, 82.5)    14- 8   
 419 H Sidwell Friends        DC ISL AA     (12- 8, 76.9)    20- 8   
 420 A Bishop O'Connell       DC WCAC       ( 8- 9, 80.9)    11- 5   
 424 H Paul VI Catholic, VA   DC WCAC       ( 5-10, 75.7)    14- 7   
 426 A Bishop Ireton          DC WCAC       (13- 9, 83.4)    10- 6   
 504 A Episcopal, VA          DC ISL A      ( 5-13, 76.1)    15- 9   
 505 H Holy Child, DC         DC ISL AA     ( 8- 8, 75.9)    12- 4   
 508 H St. John's College, DC DC WCAC       ( 2-11, 68.6)    15- 3   
 510 H Bishop Ireton          DC WCAC       (13- 9, 83.4)    11- 7   
 514 N Good Counsel           DC WCAC       (17- 3, 90.8)    10-11 2o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   315 H Georgetown Visitation  10- 7       3     5    -     -2.87
   320 H St. John's College, DC 17- 5      12    22           0.00
   322 A St. Mary's Ryken       19- 5      14    19           0.00
   323 A Stone Ridge CDS        11-10       1     7    ---   -6.91
   329 A Good Counsel            7-11      -4    -2          -1.20
   331 N Harrison, GA           15-11       4    -1          n/a  
   401 N Princeton HS           17-12       5     6          n/a  
   402 N East Chapel Hill       16- 4      12    -7          n/a  
   403 N Glen Cove              20- 2      18    21          n/a  
   413 H Holton-Arms School     12-10       2     4    -     -2.76
   417 H Elizabeth Seton        14- 8       6     8    -     -2.31
   419 H Sidwell Friends        20- 8      12    13           0.00
   420 A Bishop O'Connell       11- 5       6     7          -1.12
   424 H Paul VI Catholic, VA   14- 7       7    15    -     -3.00
   426 A Bishop Ireton          10- 6       4     4          -0.60
   504 A Episcopal, VA          15- 9       6    11    --    -4.00
   505 H Holy Child, DC         12- 4       8    14    -     -2.00
   508 H St. John's College, DC 15- 3      12    22           0.00
   510 H Bishop Ireton          11- 7       4     7    -     -3.38
   514 N Good Counsel           10-11 2o   -1    -1           0.41

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   323 A Stone Ridge CDS        11-10       1     7    ---   -6.91
   504 A Episcopal, VA          15- 9       6    11    --    -4.00
   315 H Georgetown Visitation  10- 7       3     5    -     -2.87
   413 H Holton-Arms School     12-10       2     4    -     -2.76
   417 H Elizabeth Seton        14- 8       6     8    -     -2.31
   424 H Paul VI Catholic, VA   14- 7       7    15    -     -3.00
   505 H Holy Child, DC         12- 4       8    14    -     -2.00
   510 H Bishop Ireton          11- 7       4     7    -     -3.38

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 N East Chapel Hill       16- 4      12    -7    +++        
   331 N Harrison, GA           15-11       4    -1    ++         
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 89.38 Local Power Rank...........     3
 Local SOS Rating......... 59.28 Local SOS Rank.............    14
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.62 Local RPI Rank.............     4
 Championship Probability .    4.0 Championship Rank .......     3
 Local Quality Win Rating.195.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     3
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 18- 2 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    6.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    0.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  5- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    2.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 11- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    4.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    5.0
/