Region = NC E Cen               
   Nickname = C Falcons              Coach  =   Heather Piper         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   97.5230255    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 227 A Panther Creek          NC E Cen      ( 0- 3, 71.0)    17- 1   
 302 A Broughton              NC East       (11- 8, 89.7)     6- 3   
 306 H Chapel Hill            NC E Cen      ( 9- 8, 90.1)    14-12   
 309 H Apex                   NC E Cen      (16- 3, 99.9)     9- 8   
 315 H Cardinal Gibbons, NC   NC East       ( 9- 8, 89.4)     9- 6   
 321 H W.G. Enloe             NC East       ( 5-13, 84.5)    10- 4   
 324 N Myers Park             NC West       (18- 6, 93.8)    11- 4   
 327 A Durham Academy         NC E Cen      (12- 8, 91.5)     8- 3   
 331 A Milton, GA             GA A6         (20- 1, 99.9)     6- 9   
 331 N Ravenwood              TN Centrl     (11- 7, 96.2)    10-11   
 410 A Wakefield, NC          NC East       (11- 5, 91.5)    15- 8   
 412 A East Chapel Hill       NC E Cen      (19- 4, 96.6)    10- 9   
 414 A Southeast Guilford     NC W Cen      ( 2-16, 77.5)    18- 6   
 417 A Apex                   NC E Cen      (16- 3, 99.9)     4- 9   
 419 A Chapel Hill            NC E Cen      ( 9- 8, 90.1)     9- 7   
 421 H Western Guilford       NC W Cen      (14- 5, 94.2)    10-11   
 424 H Middle Creek           NC East       ( 5- 8, 85.2)     8- 7   
 425 H Athens Drive           NC East       ( 8- 9, 89.0)    15- 8   
 427 H East Chapel Hill       NC E Cen      (19- 4, 96.6)    11-10   
 507 H Weddington             NC SW         (10- 7, 89.6)    15- 7   
 512 H Wakefield, NC          NC East       (11- 5, 91.5)    15- 8   
 519 N East Chapel Hill       NC E Cen      (19- 4, 96.6)     5-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   227 A Panther Creek          17- 1      16    25           0.00
   302 A Broughton               6- 3       3     6    -     -3.27
   306 H Chapel Hill            14-12       2     7    --    -5.28
   309 H Apex                    9- 8       1    -2    +      3.56
   315 H Cardinal Gibbons, NC    9- 6       3     7    --    -4.95
   321 H W.G. Enloe             10- 4       6    12    --    -4.00
   324 N Myers Park             11- 4       7     2    ++     4.10
   327 A Durham Academy          8- 3       5     4           0.54
   331 A Milton, GA              6- 9      -3    -4          n/a  
   331 N Ravenwood              10-11      -1     0          n/a  
   410 A Wakefield, NC          15- 8       7     4    +      2.53
   412 A East Chapel Hill       10- 9       1     0           1.64
   414 A Southeast Guilford     18- 6      12    18           0.00
   417 A Apex                    4- 9      -5    -3          -1.10
   419 A Chapel Hill             9- 7       2     5    -     -3.93
   421 H Western Guilford       10-11      -1     3    --    -4.19
   424 H Middle Creek            8- 7       1    12    ---   -9.00
   425 H Athens Drive           15- 8       7     8          -1.35
   427 H East Chapel Hill       11-10       1     0           0.30
   507 H Weddington             15- 7       8     7           0.24
   512 H Wakefield, NC          15- 8       7     5           1.18
   519 N East Chapel Hill        5-11      -6     0    ---   -6.03

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   424 H Middle Creek            8- 7       1    12    ---   -9.00
   519 N East Chapel Hill        5-11      -6     0    ---   -6.03
   306 H Chapel Hill            14-12       2     7    --    -5.28
   315 H Cardinal Gibbons, NC    9- 6       3     7    --    -4.95
   321 H W.G. Enloe             10- 4       6    12    --    -4.00
   421 H Western Guilford       10-11      -1     3    --    -4.19
   302 A Broughton               6- 3       3     6    -     -3.27
   419 A Chapel Hill             9- 7       2     5    -     -3.93

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 N Myers Park             11- 4       7     2    ++     4.10
   309 H Apex                    9- 8       1    -2    +      3.56
   410 A Wakefield, NC          15- 8       7     4    +      2.53
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 96.67 Local Power Rank...........     2
 Local SOS Rating......... 80.07 Local SOS Rank.............     1
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.67 Local RPI Rank.............     3
 Championship Probability .   17.0 Championship Rank .......     3
 Local Quality Win Rating.255.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     2
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 17- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  3- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -1.6
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  7- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    1.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 13- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    2.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.0
/