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Region = VA NW AA Nickname = A Mustangs Coach = Kara HanoverGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 79.8912201 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 321 H Wakefield HS, VA VA Natl ( 0-13, 60.5) 18- 2 322 H Loudoun County VA NW AA ( 6- 8, 76.4) 7- 6 326 A Freedom-South Riding VA NW AA ( 4-10, 69.5) 9- 8 328 H Washington-Lee VA Natl ( 4-10, 72.7) 8- 6 o 329 H Park View VA NW AA ( 0-10, 61.0) 15- 0 411 A Brentsville District VA NW AA ( 1- 8, 66.2) 8- 2 412 A Potomac Falls VA NW AA ( 8- 7, 78.5) 6- 4 417 A T.C. Williams VA Pat ( 8- 7, 80.7) 4-11 419 A Briar Woods VA NW AA ( 2-12, 67.4) 9- 8 423 A Dominion VA NW AA (11- 7, 85.7) 2-12 426 H Liberty-Bealton, VA VA NW AA ( 9- 5, 79.2) 5- 8 503 H Broad Run VA NW AA (16- 2, 90.0) 3-11 504 A Georgetown Day School DC ISL AA ( 2- 9, 66.4) 1- 9 510 H Potomac Falls VA NW AA ( 8- 7, 78.5) 5- 6 oPREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 321 H Wakefield HS, VA 18- 2 16 16 0.00 322 H Loudoun County 7- 6 1 0 0.10 326 A Freedom-South Riding 9- 8 1 6 -- -5.44 328 H Washington-Lee 8- 6 o 2 4 - -2.60 329 H Park View 15- 0 15 16 0.00 411 A Brentsville District 8- 2 6 9 - -3.69 412 A Potomac Falls 6- 4 2 -2 ++ 4.60 417 A T.C. Williams 4-11 -7 -4 - -2.22 419 A Briar Woods 9- 8 1 8 --- -7.54 423 A Dominion 2-12 -10 -9 -0.18 426 H Liberty-Bealton, VA 5- 8 -3 -1 -1.18 503 H Broad Run 3-11 -8 -12 + 2.00 504 A Georgetown Day School 1- 9 -8 9 n/a 510 H Potomac Falls 5- 6 o -1 -1 0.17UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 419 A Briar Woods 9- 8 1 8 --- -7.54 504 A Georgetown Day School 1- 9 -8 9 --- 326 A Freedom-South Riding 9- 8 1 6 -- -5.44 328 H Washington-Lee 8- 6 o 2 4 - -2.60 411 A Brentsville District 8- 2 6 9 - -3.69 417 A T.C. Williams 4-11 -7 -4 - -2.22OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 412 A Potomac Falls 6- 4 2 -2 ++ 4.60 503 H Broad Run 3-11 -8 -12 + 2.00/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 76.63 Local Power Rank........... 43 Local SOS Rating......... 47.95 Local SOS Rank............. 76 Local RPI Rating......... 0.47 Local RPI Rank............. 47 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 35 Local Quality Win Rating.-75.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 55 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 7.1 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 6.6 Wins/Losses(all )...... 8- 6 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 0.5 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -8.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -5.7