Region = CT Div 2               
   Nickname = T Falcons              Coach  =   Pat Semancik          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   77.3163910    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 407 H East Lyme              CT Div 1      (14- 3, 85.9)     1-15   
 410 A Stonington             CT Div 2      (15- 3, 78.6)     6-11   
 414 H Norwich Free Academy   CT Div 1      ( 6- 8, 71.3)     9- 6   
 416 A Worcester Academy, MA  NE            ( 4- 7, 74.7)   
 421 A Morgan School          CT Div 2      ( 6- 8, 68.7)    11-13   
 423 A St. Bernard, CT        CT Div 2      ( 6- 9, 68.9)    10- 6   
 425 A North Branford         CT Div 2      ( 9- 6, 71.7)     7-10   
 426 A Ledyard                CT Div 2      ( 2-14, 63.0)    15- 6   
 430 A East Lyme              CT Div 1      (14- 3, 85.9)     5-17   
 503 H Stonington             CT Div 2      (15- 3, 78.6)     8-10   
 507 H Old Lyme               CT Div 2      (13- 3, 80.2)     5- 9   
 508 H Woodstock Academy      CT Div 2      ( 3- 7, 65.2)    12- 3   
 510 H Wheeler, CT            CT Div 2      ( 1- 9, 61.8)    10- 7   
 511 A Norwich Free Academy   CT Div 1      ( 6- 8, 71.3)     8- 9   
 515 H St. Bernard, CT        CT Div 2      ( 6- 9, 68.9)     9- 7   
 522 A East Lyme              CT Div 1      (14- 3, 85.9)     3-18   
 525 H Ledyard                CT Div 2      ( 2-14, 63.0)    16- 6   
 531 A Valley Regional        CT Div 2      ( 8- 8, 67.4)    12-10   
 606 A Stonington             CT Div 2      (15- 3, 78.6)     5- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 H East Lyme               1-15     -14   -14           0.00
   410 A Stonington              6-11      -5    -8    +      3.11
   414 H Norwich Free Academy    9- 6       3     0    +      2.66
   421 A Morgan School          11-13      -2     1    -     -3.79
   423 A St. Bernard, CT        10- 6       4     1    +      2.41
   425 A North Branford          7-10      -3    -1          -1.76
   426 A Ledyard                15- 6       9     7           1.52
   430 A East Lyme               5-17     -12   -15           0.00
   503 H Stonington              8-10      -2    -6    ++     4.94
   507 H Old Lyme                5- 9      -4    -8    ++     4.54
   508 H Woodstock Academy      12- 3       9     6    +      2.57
   510 H Wheeler, CT            10- 7       3     9    ---   -6.84
   511 A Norwich Free Academy    8- 9      -1     0          -0.17
   515 H St. Bernard, CT         9- 7       2     2          -0.75
   522 A East Lyme               3-18     -15   -15           0.00
   525 H Ledyard                16- 6      10     8           1.35
   531 A Valley Regional        12-10       2     3          -1.10
   606 A Stonington              5- 9      -4    -8    ++     4.11

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   510 H Wheeler, CT            10- 7       3     9    ---   -6.84
   421 A Morgan School          11-13      -2     1    -     -3.79

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   503 H Stonington              8-10      -2    -6    ++     4.94
   507 H Old Lyme                5- 9      -4    -8    ++     4.54
   606 A Stonington              5- 9      -4    -8    ++     4.11
   410 A Stonington              6-11      -5    -8    +      3.11
   414 H Norwich Free Academy    9- 6       3     0    +      2.66
   423 A St. Bernard, CT        10- 6       4     1    +      2.41
   508 H Woodstock Academy      12- 3       9     6    +      2.57
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 71.05 Local Power Rank...........    44
 Local SOS Rating......... 46.61 Local SOS Rank.............    42
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.49 Local RPI Rank.............    33
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    21
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    47
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -13.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -11.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.7
/