Conf =  MC                        Region = NY A  Sec 5            
   Nickname = Y Red Raiders          Coach  =   Geoff McMurtry        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.7484894    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 329 A Irondequoit            NY B  Sec 5   ( 7- 8, 82.6)     5- 7   
 403 N Livonia                NY C  Sec 5   ( 4-12, 74.4)    10- 5   
 404 A Churchville-Chili      NY A  Sec 5   ( 1-15, 69.3)    11- 1   
 412 A Amherst                NY C  Sec 6   (16- 4, 99.9)    11- 7   
 414 N Webster Thomas         NY B  Sec 5   (13- 5, 92.1)     6- 8   
 419 A Gates-Chili            NY A  Sec 5   (12- 6, 87.8)    10- 4   
 424 A Honeoye Falls-Lima     NY C  Sec 5   (14- 4, 92.8)     5- 7   
 427 H Penfield               NY A  Sec 5   (19- 2, 97.3)     6-16   
 428 H Our Lady of Mercy, NY  NY C  Sec 5   (12- 7, 84.6)     7- 4   
 430 H Canandaigua Academy    NY B  Sec 5   (16- 4, 93.5)     5- 6   
 502 H East Rochester         NY C  Sec 5   (16- 5, 93.5)    10-11   
 508 H Pittsford-Mendon       NY A  Sec 5   ( 8- 9, 83.1)    10- 5   
 511 A Webster Schroeder      NY A  Sec 5   ( 6-12, 76.8)    11- 6   
 515 H Spencerport            NY A  Sec 5   ( 4-13, 75.4)     8- 7   
 518 A Arcadia-Olympia        NY A  Sec 5   ( 0-17, 67.6)    13- 7   
 519 A Rush-Henrietta         NY A  Sec 5   (12- 7, 93.1)     7-17   
 523 H Pittsford-Mendon       NY A  Sec 5   ( 8- 9, 83.1)    10- 8   
 529 N Penfield               NY A  Sec 5   (19- 2, 97.3)     3-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 A Irondequoit             5- 7      -2     3    --    -5.09
   403 N Livonia                10- 5       5    11    --    -5.00
   404 A Churchville-Chili      11- 1      10    16           0.00
   412 A Amherst                11- 7       4   -14          n/a  
   414 N Webster Thomas          6- 8      -2    -5    +      3.68
   419 A Gates-Chili            10- 4       6    -2    +++    8.06
   424 A Honeoye Falls-Lima      5- 7      -2    -7    ++     5.11
   427 H Penfield                6-16     -10   -10           0.00
   428 H Our Lady of Mercy, NY   7- 4       3     2           0.57
   430 H Canandaigua Academy     5- 6      -1    -6    ++     5.46
   502 H East Rochester         10-11      -1    -6    ++     5.46
   508 H Pittsford-Mendon       10- 5       5     3           1.03
   511 A Webster Schroeder      11- 6       5     8    -     -3.98
   515 H Spencerport             8- 7       1    11    ---   -9.00
   518 A Arcadia-Olympia        13- 7       6    18    --    -4.00
   519 A Rush-Henrietta          7-17     -10    -7    -     -2.68
   523 H Pittsford-Mendon       10- 8       2     3          -1.97
   529 N Penfield                3-11      -8   -10    +      2.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   515 H Spencerport             8- 7       1    11    ---   -9.00
   329 A Irondequoit             5- 7      -2     3    --    -5.09
   403 N Livonia                10- 5       5    11    --    -5.00
   518 A Arcadia-Olympia        13- 7       6    18    --    -4.00
   511 A Webster Schroeder      11- 6       5     8    -     -3.98
   519 A Rush-Henrietta          7-17     -10    -7    -     -2.68

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 A Amherst                11- 7       4   -14    +++        
   419 A Gates-Chili            10- 4       6    -2    +++    8.06
   424 A Honeoye Falls-Lima      5- 7      -2    -7    ++     5.11
   430 H Canandaigua Academy     5- 6      -1    -6    ++     5.46
   502 H East Rochester         10-11      -1    -6    ++     5.46
   414 N Webster Thomas          6- 8      -2    -5    +      3.68
   529 N Penfield                3-11      -8   -10    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.41 Local Power Rank...........    12
 Local SOS Rating......... 69.78 Local SOS Rank.............     7
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.53 Local RPI Rank.............    11
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    14
 Local Quality Win Rating. 20.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    12
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -5.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.9
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -5.3
/