Emma Willard                  5 - 2


 
   Conf =  B/C                       Region = NY C  Sec 2            
   Nickname = Y Jesters              Coach  =   Liz Parry             



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   85.9715805    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 402 A Holy Names Academy, NY NY B  Sec 2   ( 6- 2, 88.2)     7-18   
 404 A Johnstown              NY C  Sec 2   ( 0- 7, 64.5)   
 405 A Cohoes                 NY C  Sec 2   ( 0- 3, 61.6)   
 412 H Albany Academy SG      NY C  Sec 2   ( 1- 2, 81.9)   
 416 A Schenectady            NY A  Sec 2   ( 2- 4, 74.6)   
 418 H Queensbury                                            11- 8                                     
 425 H Scotia-Glenville       NY B  Sec 2   ( 3- 4, 76.9)    16- 9   
 427 H Holy Names Academy, NY NY B  Sec 2   ( 6- 2, 88.2)    13-10   
 430 H Cohoes                 NY C  Sec 2   ( 0- 3, 61.6)   
 501 A South Glens Falls      NY B  Sec 2   ( 3- 4, 76.8)   
 503 H Schenectady            NY A  Sec 2   ( 2- 4, 74.6)   
 507 A Albany Academy SG      NY C  Sec 2   ( 1- 2, 81.9)   
 509 A Glens Falls            NY C  Sec 2   ( 6- 7, 78.0)   
 522 H Glens Falls            NY C  Sec 2   ( 6- 7, 78.0)    12- 7   
 531 H Holy Names Academy, NY NY B  Sec 2   ( 6- 2, 88.2)    13-12   
 603 N Nanuet                 NY C  Sec 1   ( 9- 6, 84.8)     4-15   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 A Holy Names Academy, NY  7-18     -11    -4    --    -5.63
   425 H Scotia-Glenville       16- 9       7     7          -0.99
   427 H Holy Names Academy, NY 13-10       3    -3    +++    6.28
   522 H Glens Falls            12- 7       5     6          -1.88
   531 H Holy Names Academy, NY 13-12       1    -3    ++     4.28
   603 N Nanuet                  4-15     -11     0          n/a  


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   603 N Nanuet                  4-15     -11     0    ---        
   402 A Holy Names Academy, NY  7-18     -11    -4    --    -5.63


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   427 H Holy Names Academy, NY 13-10       3    -3    +++    6.28
   531 H Holy Names Academy, NY 13-12       1    -3    ++     4.28




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 84.37 Local Power Rank...........    10
 Local SOS Rating......... 65.17 Local SOS Rank.............    13
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.75 Local RPI Rank.............     1
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    14
 Local Quality Win Rating. 60.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     7
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5- 2 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.7


  
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