Conf =  ECIC                      Region = NY A  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Red Devils           Coach  =   Doug Kohler           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.1014175    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 402 H North Tonawanda Club   NY Club       ( 0- 8, 72.0)    23- 3   
 404 A Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   (14- 4, 96.0)     5-11   
 418 A Lockport               NY A  Sec 6   ( 1-13, 77.1)    11- 5   
 419 A Nichols School         NY Martin     ( 2- 9, 86.6)    10- 8   
 420 H Williamsville North    NY A  Sec 6   ( 3-11, 83.8)    14- 9   
 421 H Frontier               NY A  Sec 6   (11- 8, 91.1)     4- 8   
 423 H Lancaster, NY          NY A  Sec 6   (16- 4, 94.9)     7- 8   
 427 A North Tonawanda Club   NY Club       ( 0- 8, 72.0)    13- 2   
 430 H Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   (14- 4, 96.0)     8-11   
 501 H Webster Thomas         NY B  Sec 5   (13- 5, 92.1)     4-14   
 502 A Frontier               NY A  Sec 6   (11- 8, 91.1)     8- 4   
 504 H Lockport               NY A  Sec 6   ( 1-13, 77.1)    11- 4   
 507 A Williamsville North    NY A  Sec 6   ( 3-11, 83.8)     5-11   
 509 A Lancaster, NY          NY A  Sec 6   (16- 4, 94.9)     3-10   
 512 A Baldwinsville          NY A  Sec 3   (16- 5, 88.5)     2-21   
 516 A Amherst                NY C  Sec 6   (16- 4, 99.9)     3-16   
 522 H Williamsville North    NY A  Sec 6   ( 3-11, 83.8)     6- 7   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 H North Tonawanda Club   23- 3      20    16           0.00
   404 A Orchard Park            5-11      -6    -9    +      3.99
   418 A Lockport               11- 5       6     8    -     -2.88
   419 A Nichols School         10- 8       2     0    +      2.54
   420 H Williamsville North    14- 9       5     4           0.29
   421 H Frontier                4- 8      -4    -2          -1.45
   423 H Lancaster, NY           7- 8      -1    -6    ++     5.44
   427 A North Tonawanda Club   13- 2      11    14           0.00
   430 H Orchard Park            8-11      -3    -7    ++     4.50
   501 H Webster Thomas          4-14     -10    -3          n/a  
   502 A Frontier                8- 4       4    -5    +++    9.04
   504 H Lockport               11- 4       7    11    -     -3.00
   507 A Williamsville North     5-11      -6     2    ---   -8.22
   509 A Lancaster, NY           3-10      -7    -8           1.92
   512 A Baldwinsville           2-21     -19    -2          n/a  
   516 A Amherst                 3-16     -13   -13           0.00
   522 H Williamsville North     6- 7      -1     4    --    -5.71

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   501 H Webster Thomas          4-14     -10    -3    ---        
   507 A Williamsville North     5-11      -6     2    ---   -8.22
   512 A Baldwinsville           2-21     -19    -2    ---        
   522 H Williamsville North     6- 7      -1     4    --    -5.71
   418 A Lockport               11- 5       6     8    -     -2.88
   504 H Lockport               11- 4       7    11    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   502 A Frontier                8- 4       4    -5    +++    9.04
   423 H Lancaster, NY           7- 8      -1    -6    ++     5.44
   430 H Orchard Park            8-11      -3    -7    ++     4.50
   404 A Orchard Park            5-11      -6    -9    +      3.99
   419 A Nichols School         10- 8       2     0    +      2.54
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 87.26 Local Power Rank...........    13
 Local SOS Rating......... 72.02 Local SOS Rank.............    16
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.46 Local RPI Rank.............    17
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......     6
 Local Quality Win Rating.  5.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    11
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....  -11.0
/