Region = VA NW AA               
   Nickname = A Spartans             Coach  =   Jen Melhuish          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.0996246    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 322 A Park View              VA NW AA      ( 0-10, 61.0)    15- 1   
 329 A Potomac Falls          VA NW AA      ( 8- 7, 78.5)    15- 4   
 409 H Heritage               VA NW AA      ( 7- 5, 79.6)    12- 6   
 412 A Loudoun County         VA NW AA      ( 6- 8, 76.4)    13- 8   
 414 H Monticello, VA         VA NW AA      ( 1-10, 69.9)    11- 6   
 419 H Freedom-South Riding   VA NW AA      ( 4-10, 69.5)    14- 2   
 421 H Dominion               VA NW AA      (11- 7, 85.7)    11- 2   
 423 A Loudoun Valley         VA Natl       (17- 3, 92.8)     7-13   
 426 H Briar Woods            VA NW AA      ( 2-12, 67.4)    17- 3   
 430 A Liberty-Bealton, VA    VA NW AA      ( 9- 5, 79.2)    10- 3   
 503 A George Mason           VA NW AA      ( 8- 6, 76.6)    11- 3   
 510 H Briar Woods            VA NW AA      ( 2-12, 67.4)    17- 0   
 514 N Potomac Falls          VA NW AA      ( 8- 7, 78.5)    14- 2   
 518 A Dominion               VA NW AA      (11- 7, 85.7)    12- 9   
 519 H Salem, VA              VA NW AA      ( 7- 2, 86.5)    13-12   
 523 H Western Albemarle      VA NW AA      (13- 3, 88.7)    12- 8   
 529 H Forest Park            VA NW AAA     (10- 4, 78.9)    18- 6   
 531 N Oakton                 VA Cncrd      (17- 1, 99.9)    10-19   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   322 A Park View              15- 1      14    28           0.00
   329 A Potomac Falls          15- 4      11    10           0.00
   409 H Heritage               12- 6       6    11    --    -4.00
   412 A Loudoun County         13- 8       5    12    --    -5.00
   414 H Monticello, VA         11- 6       5    20    --    -5.00
   419 H Freedom-South Riding   14- 2      12    21           0.00
   421 H Dominion               11- 2       9     4    ++     4.06
   423 A Loudoun Valley          7-13      -6    -3    -     -2.46
   426 H Briar Woods            17- 3      14    23           0.00
   430 A Liberty-Bealton, VA    10- 3       7    10    -     -3.00
   503 A George Mason           11- 3       8    12    -     -2.00
   510 H Briar Woods            17- 0      17    23           0.00
   514 N Potomac Falls          14- 2      12    11           0.00
   518 A Dominion               12- 9       3     3          -0.51
   519 H Salem, VA              13-12       1     4    -     -3.21
   523 H Western Albemarle      12- 8       4     1    +      2.00
   529 H Forest Park            18- 6      12    11           0.00
   531 N Oakton                 10-19      -9    -9           0.93

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 H Heritage               12- 6       6    11    --    -4.00
   412 A Loudoun County         13- 8       5    12    --    -5.00
   414 H Monticello, VA         11- 6       5    20    --    -5.00
   423 A Loudoun Valley          7-13      -6    -3    -     -2.46
   430 A Liberty-Bealton, VA    10- 3       7    10    -     -3.00
   503 A George Mason           11- 3       8    12    -     -2.00
   519 H Salem, VA              13-12       1     4    -     -3.21

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   421 H Dominion               11- 2       9     4    ++     4.06
   523 H Western Albemarle      12- 8       4     1    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 89.97 Local Power Rank...........    12
 Local SOS Rating......... 57.03 Local SOS Rank.............    47
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.64 Local RPI Rank.............     4
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    15
 Local Quality Win Rating. 80.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    10
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 16- 2 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    6.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.3
/