Region = PA PAC                 
   Nickname = A Bears                Coach  =   P. Wernersbach        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   95.7874756    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 326 H Pennridge              PA Sub N      ( 9-11, 79.2)    17- 5   
 328 A North Penn             PA Sub N      (13- 6, 93.0)    12-12   
 330 A Owen J. Roberts        PA PAC        ( 8-12, 75.8)    18- 4   
 402 A Upper Dublin           PA Sub A      (10- 9, 83.5)    19- 8   
 413 A Perkiomen Valley       PA PAC        ( 9- 6, 78.8)    15- 6   
 416 H Upper Perkiomen        PA PAC        ( 1-13, 65.9)    20- 2   
 418 A Pottsgrove             PA PAC        ( 2-10, 71.0)    21- 6   
 420 H Phoenixville           PA PAC        ( 7- 8, 75.6)    24- 4   
 424 A Pottstown              PA PAC        (13- 4, 87.0)    12- 7   
 426 H Lansdale Catholic      PA PAC        ( 9-10, 77.2)    23- 6   
 501 H Great Valley           PA SCCL       (18- 3, 95.1)    10-12   
 503 A Spring-Ford            PA PAC        (10- 8, 81.2)    14- 1   
 504 H Owen J. Roberts        PA PAC        ( 8-12, 75.8)    23- 5   
 507 H Spring-Ford            PA PAC        (10- 8, 81.2)    16- 6   
 509 A Methacton              PA Sub C      ( 5-11, 73.9)    18- 3   
 511 H Perkiomen Valley       PA PAC        ( 9- 6, 78.8)    19- 4   
 512 A Downingtown West       PA CML        (15- 7, 92.2)    16-10   
 515 H Lansdale Catholic      PA PAC        ( 9-10, 77.2)    21- 7   
 517 N Spring-Ford            PA PAC        (10- 8, 81.2)    14- 3   
 519 H Archbishop Carroll, PA PA Cath       (18- 1, 93.1)     8-10   
 523 H Downingtown East       PA CML        (11- 9, 89.1)    10- 7   
 529 H Conestoga              PA Centrl     (11- 9, 91.4)    10- 8   
 601 A West Chester East      PA CML        (21- 2, 99.9)     2-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 H Pennridge              17- 5      12    16           0.00
   328 A North Penn             12-12       0     1          -1.17
   330 A Owen J. Roberts        18- 4      14    18           0.00
   402 A Upper Dublin           19- 8      11    10           0.00
   413 A Perkiomen Valley       15- 6       9    15          -1.00
   416 H Upper Perkiomen        20- 2      18    29           0.00
   418 A Pottsgrove             21- 6      15    23           0.00
   420 H Phoenixville           24- 4      20    19           0.00
   424 A Pottstown              12- 7       5     7    -     -2.13
   426 H Lansdale Catholic      23- 6      17    18           0.00
   501 H Great Valley           10-12      -2     0    -     -2.48
   503 A Spring-Ford            14- 1      13    12           0.00
   504 H Owen J. Roberts        23- 5      18    19           0.00
   507 H Spring-Ford            16- 6      10    14           0.00
   509 A Methacton              18- 3      15    20           0.00
   511 H Perkiomen Valley       19- 4      15    16           0.00
   512 A Downingtown West       16-10       6     1    ++     4.04
   515 H Lansdale Catholic      21- 7      14    18           0.00
   517 N Spring-Ford            14- 3      11    13           0.00
   519 H Archbishop Carroll, PA  8-10      -2     2    --    -4.49
   523 H Downingtown East       10- 7       3     6    -     -3.52
   529 H Conestoga              10- 8       2     4    -     -2.26
   601 A West Chester East       2-11      -9    -5    -     -3.28

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   519 H Archbishop Carroll, PA  8-10      -2     2    --    -4.49
   424 A Pottstown              12- 7       5     7    -     -2.13
   501 H Great Valley           10-12      -2     0    -     -2.48
   523 H Downingtown East       10- 7       3     6    -     -3.52
   529 H Conestoga              10- 8       2     4    -     -2.26
   601 A West Chester East       2-11      -9    -5    -     -3.28

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   512 A Downingtown West       16-10       6     1    ++     4.04
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 94.90 Local Power Rank...........     8
 Local SOS Rating......... 63.02 Local SOS Rank.............    40
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.64 Local RPI Rank.............     6
 Championship Probability .    6.0 Championship Rank .......     4
 Local Quality Win Rating. 95.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     8
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   15.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 19- 3 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    9.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -9.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.3
/