Region = NY A  Sec 4            
   Nickname = Y Patriots             Coach  =   Keri Stenta           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   94.5140991    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 331 H Cazenovia              NY C  Sec 3   (12- 9, 78.9)    12- 8   
 402 A Maine-Endwell          NY B  Sec 4   (12- 5, 93.0)    12-11   
 404 H Ithaca                 NY A  Sec 4   ( 9-11, 86.9)    12- 9   
 409 A Corning East           NY C  Sec 4   (18- 2, 99.9)     0-13   
 411 A Vestal                 NY A  Sec 4   ( 8-10, 84.0)     7- 8 2o
 418 H Union-Endicott         NY A  Sec 4   ( 4- 8, 80.7)    18- 4   
 421 H Seton Catholic Central NY C  Sec 4   ( 5- 9, 73.0)    16- 1   
 423 A Chenango Forks         NY C  Sec 4   ( 0-12, 65.8)    16- 1   
 424 H Owego Free Academy     NY C  Sec 4   ( 4-11, 75.9)    15- 4   
 427 H Horseheads             NY A  Sec 4   ( 7- 8, 86.9)    12- 5   
 502 H Corning West           NY A  Sec 4   (12- 6, 89.2)    16-10   
 504 A Johnson City           NY C  Sec 4   ( 2-14, 69.2)    13- 1   
 509 H Maine-Endwell          NY B  Sec 4   (12- 5, 93.0)     6- 7   
 512 H Vestal                 NY A  Sec 4   ( 8-10, 84.0)    12- 6   
 514 A Ithaca                 NY A  Sec 4   ( 9-11, 86.9)    10- 8   
 518 H Corning East           NY C  Sec 4   (18- 2, 99.9)    10-14   
 522 N Ithaca                 NY A  Sec 4   ( 9-11, 86.9)    11-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 H Cazenovia              12- 8       4    13          n/a  
   402 A Maine-Endwell          12-11       1    -2    +      3.34
   404 H Ithaca                 12- 9       3     5    -     -2.92
   409 A Corning East            0-13     -13    -9          -0.80
   411 A Vestal                  7- 8 2o   -1     6    ---   -7.74
   418 H Union-Endicott         18- 4      14    12           0.00
   421 H Seton Catholic Central 16- 1      15    19           0.00
   423 A Chenango Forks         16- 1      15    24           0.00
   424 H Owego Free Academy     15- 4      11    16           0.00
   427 H Horseheads             12- 5       7     5           1.15
   502 H Corning West           16-10       6     3    +      2.39
   504 A Johnson City           13- 1      12    21           0.00
   509 H Maine-Endwell           6- 7      -1     0          -0.76
   512 H Vestal                 12- 6       6     8    -     -2.83
   514 A Ithaca                 10- 8       2     3          -1.82
   518 H Corning East           10-14      -4    -7    +      3.11
   522 N Ithaca                 11-12      -1     4    --    -5.87

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 H Cazenovia              12- 8       4    13    ---        
   411 A Vestal                  7- 8 2o   -1     6    ---   -7.74
   522 N Ithaca                 11-12      -1     4    --    -5.87
   404 H Ithaca                 12- 9       3     5    -     -2.92
   512 H Vestal                 12- 6       6     8    -     -2.83

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 A Maine-Endwell          12-11       1    -2    +      3.34
   502 H Corning West           16-10       6     3    +      2.39
   518 H Corning East           10-14      -4    -7    +      3.11
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 91.75 Local Power Rank...........     3
 Local SOS Rating......... 66.88 Local SOS Rank.............     5
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.57 Local RPI Rank.............     4
 Championship Probability .    4.0 Championship Rank .......     4
 Local Quality Win Rating.190.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     4
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  3- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -0.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  9- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    3.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 11- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    4.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.0
/