Region = VA NW AAA              
   Nickname = A Patriots             Coach  =   Dave Sloan            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.9847260    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 314 A Rockbridge County      VA NW AA      ( 9- 5, 82.6)    11- 6   
 320 H St. Anne's-Belfield    VA LIS        (15- 6, 92.4)     6-10   
 323 A St. Catherine's School VA LIS        (10- 7, 90.1)     7-13   
 329 H Covenant School        VA LIS        ( 2- 8, 75.6)    15- 5   
 409 A Monticello, VA         VA NW AA      ( 1-10, 69.9)    15- 3   
 412 H St. Catherine's School VA LIS        (10- 7, 90.1)     8-12   
 417 H Rockbridge County      VA NW AA      ( 9- 5, 82.6)     9- 4   
 419 H Monticello, VA         VA NW AA      ( 1-10, 69.9)    20- 7   
 424 H Collegiate School      VA LIS        (18- 4, 95.3)    10-17   
 426 H Western Albemarle      VA NW AA      (13- 3, 88.7)     6- 8   
 501 H Charlottesville        VA NW AA      ( 2- 6, 76.4)     6- 7   
 504 A Collegiate School      VA LIS        (18- 4, 95.3)     6-17   
 508 A Charlottesville        VA NW AA      ( 2- 6, 76.4)     8- 5   
 511 A Western Albemarle      VA NW AA      (13- 3, 88.7)    10-12   
 522 H C.D. Hylton            VA NW AAA     ( 5- 4, 71.4)    19- 3   
 523 A Osbourn Park           VA NW AAA     (14- 5, 85.2)    11- 9   
 525 A Forest Park            VA NW AAA     (10- 4, 78.9)    10- 5   
 529 H W.T. Woodson           VA Lbrty      (14- 7, 91.5)    10-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   314 A Rockbridge County      11- 6       5     1    +      3.61
   320 H St. Anne's-Belfield     6-10      -4    -6    +      2.94
   323 A St. Catherine's School  7-13      -6    -6           0.04
   329 H Covenant School        15- 5      10     9           0.17
   409 A Monticello, VA         15- 3      12    14           0.00
   412 H St. Catherine's School  8-12      -4    -4           0.62
   417 H Rockbridge County       9- 4       5     2    +      2.18
   419 H Monticello, VA         20- 7      13    15           0.00
   424 H Collegiate School      10-17      -7    -9    +      2.90
   426 H Western Albemarle       6- 8      -2    -3           1.23
   501 H Charlottesville         6- 7      -1     9    ---  -10.10
   504 A Collegiate School       6-17     -11   -11           0.00
   508 A Charlottesville         8- 5       3     7    --    -4.67
   511 A Western Albemarle      10-12      -2    -4    +      2.66
   522 H C.D. Hylton            19- 3      16    14           0.00
   523 A Osbourn Park           11- 9       2    -1    +      3.22
   525 A Forest Park            10- 5       5     5          -0.10
   529 H W.T. Woodson           10-16      -6    -6           0.04

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   501 H Charlottesville         6- 7      -1     9    ---  -10.10
   508 A Charlottesville         8- 5       3     7    --    -4.67

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   314 A Rockbridge County      11- 6       5     1    +      3.61
   320 H St. Anne's-Belfield     6-10      -4    -6    +      2.94
   417 H Rockbridge County       9- 4       5     2    +      2.18
   424 H Collegiate School      10-17      -7    -9    +      2.90
   511 A Western Albemarle      10-12      -2    -4    +      2.66
   523 A Osbourn Park           11- 9       2    -1    +      3.22
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 84.74 Local Power Rank...........    25
 Local SOS Rating......... 64.70 Local SOS Rank.............    20
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.56 Local RPI Rank.............    21
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    11
 Local Quality Win Rating.-65.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    47
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -9.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.3
/