Region = MA West D1             
   Nickname = A Brownies             Coach  =   Carla Warner          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.5167084    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 403 H West Springfield, MA   MA West D1    ( 2- 9, 72.4)    15- 2   
 405 H Westfield HS, MA       MA West D1    ( 5-11, 78.0)    17- 8   
 411 H South Hadley           MA West D1    (14- 3, 88.6)    10-11   
 419 A Westfield HS, MA       MA West D1    ( 5-11, 78.0)    15- 2   
 424 A Longmeadow             MA West D1    (21- 2, 99.9)     3-16   
 426 A South Hadley           MA West D1    (14- 3, 88.6)    14-11   
 430 H Northampton            MA West D1    ( 3- 8, 80.0)    15-10   
 503 H Minnechaug             MA West D1    (10- 6, 84.8)    12-10   
 504 A Suffield Academy       NE            ( 9- 5, 86.8)    11- 9   
 508 H Amherst-Pelham         MA West D1    ( 9- 8, 83.1)    12- 9   
 509 A Cathedral, MA          MA West D1    ( 0-13, 68.0)    17- 2   
 510 H East Longmeadow        MA West D1    ( 2- 9, 76.0)    18- 8   
 512 H King Philip            MA So D1      (20- 2, 93.5)     2- 9   
 514 A Cathedral, MA          MA West D1    ( 0-13, 68.0)    14- 3   
 517 A West Springfield, MA   MA West D1    ( 2- 9, 72.4)    18- 5   
 518 H Longmeadow             MA West D1    (21- 2, 99.9)     4-15   
 522 A Minnechaug             MA West D1    (10- 6, 84.8)     5-11   
 524 A Amherst-Pelham         MA West D1    ( 9- 8, 83.1)     3- 7   
 529 A East Longmeadow        MA West D1    ( 2- 9, 76.0)    16- 4   
 531 A Northampton            MA West D1    ( 3- 8, 80.0)    12-11   
 605 H Northampton            MA West D1    ( 3- 8, 80.0)    19-12   
 607 A South Hadley           MA West D1    (14- 3, 88.6)    16-13   
 609 A Longmeadow             MA West D1    (21- 2, 99.9)     4-19   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 H West Springfield, MA   15- 2      13    17           0.00
   405 H Westfield HS, MA       17- 8       9    11          -1.00
   411 H South Hadley           10-11      -1     0          -1.83
   419 A Westfield HS, MA       15- 2      13     9           0.72
   424 A Longmeadow              3-16     -13   -12           0.00
   426 A South Hadley           14-11       3    -1    ++     4.24
   430 H Northampton            15-10       5     9    --    -4.37
   503 H Minnechaug             12-10       2     4    -     -2.62
   504 A Suffield Academy       11- 9       2     0          n/a  
   508 H Amherst-Pelham         12- 9       3     6    -     -3.32
   509 A Cathedral, MA          17- 2      15    19           0.00
   510 H East Longmeadow        18- 8      10    13           0.00
   512 H King Philip             2- 9      -7    -4    -     -2.92
   514 A Cathedral, MA          14- 3      11    19           0.00
   517 A West Springfield, MA   18- 5      13    14           0.00
   518 H Longmeadow              4-15     -11   -10           0.00
   522 A Minnechaug              5-11      -6     2    ---   -8.56
   524 A Amherst-Pelham          3- 7      -4     4    ---   -8.25
   529 A East Longmeadow        16- 4      12    11           0.00
   531 A Northampton            12-11       1     7    ---   -6.31
   605 H Northampton            19-12       7     9    -     -2.37
   607 A South Hadley           16-13       3    -1    ++     4.24
   609 A Longmeadow              4-19     -15   -12           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   522 A Minnechaug              5-11      -6     2    ---   -8.56
   524 A Amherst-Pelham          3- 7      -4     4    ---   -8.25
   531 A Northampton            12-11       1     7    ---   -6.31
   430 H Northampton            15-10       5     9    --    -4.37
   503 H Minnechaug             12-10       2     4    -     -2.62
   508 H Amherst-Pelham         12- 9       3     6    -     -3.32
   512 H King Philip             2- 9      -7    -4    -     -2.92
   605 H Northampton            19-12       7     9    -     -2.37

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   426 A South Hadley           14-11       3    -1    ++     4.24
   607 A South Hadley           16-13       3    -1    ++     4.24
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.35 Local Power Rank...........    17
 Local SOS Rating......... 64.29 Local SOS Rank.............    32
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.56 Local RPI Rank.............    28
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    12
 Local Quality Win Rating.-10.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    38
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 16- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -13.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -11.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.9
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.7
/