girls probabilites for 31
 
 

2006 girls Maryland 4/3/2/1

CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES

PR = Power Ratings RPI = Ratings Percentage Index SOS = Strength of Schedule QWF = Quality Wins Factor SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Towson HS 16 2 6 5 2 4 1 3 8 3.00 2 Century, MD 19 0 3 28 1 3 5 1 9 0.10 3 North Harford 14 2 5 3 6 2 19 5 26 1.00 4 Westminster, MD 13 4 12 31 15 11 3 17 31 0.10 5 Broadneck 15 3 8 14 4 10 17 6 33 0.10 6 Severna Park 14 4 4 4 8 7 16 10 33 0.10 7 Blake, MD 13 3 35 72 19 13 7 14 34 0.10 8 Winters Mill 12 4 11 15 11 12 6 16 34 0.10 9 Fallston 13 4 10 8 9 8 22 8 38 0.10 10 Stephen Decatur 15 2 13 47 10 9 21 9 39 0.10 11 Walkersville 14 3 16 57 14 15 10 15 40 0.10 12 Dulaney 17 2 2 9 5 5 36 4 45 3.00 13 Catonsville 10 5 17 32 16 21 9 19 49 0.10 14 Mt. Hebron 18 0 1 6 3 1 46 2 49 91.00 15 Sherwood 13 2 32 84 18 14 24 13 51 0.10 16 Quince Orchard 13 2 21 83 13 17 27 12 56 0.10 17 Easton 12 3 19 58 12 16 34 7 57 0.10 18 Centennial, MD 12 3 7 10 7 6 43 11 60 2.00 19 Bel Air 7 6 18 12 32 22 11 29 62 0.10 20 Poolesville 12 3 30 79 21 24 25 18 67 0.10 21 Glenelg HS 10 5 9 13 17 18 35 20 73 0.10 22 Pikesville 9 6 22 43 35 19 26 36 81 0.10 23 Urbana 9 8 23 19 36 27 13 44 84 0.10 24 Annapolis 10 6 14 27 23 34 12 39 85 0.10 25 River Hill 7 7 40 11 45 31 8 50 89 0.10 26 C. Milton Wright 3 11 31 1 52 23 2 66 91 0.10 27 Middletown, MD 11 3 25 87 27 33 38 24 95 0.10 28 Churchill 9 5 44 75 47 29 39 30 98 0.10 29 Liberty, MD 8 5 20 20 25 20 56 23 99 0.10 30 Damascus 9 4 36 73 41 28 45 27 100 0.10 31 Atholton 8 5 41 22 24 30 40 37 107 0.10 32 Eastern Technica 5 7 57 30 55 39 14 54 107 0.10 33 Chesapeake, AA C 7 7 26 16 37 41 18 52 111 0.10 34 Hereford 5 10 27 2 60 26 33 57 116 0.10 35 Sparrows Point 10 3 47 95 30 25 59 34 118 0.10 36 Franklin Regiona 5 11 38 7 77 37 4 79 120 0.10 37 Springbrook 7 5 49 71 64 32 41 47 120 0.10 38 Arundel 9 7 29 41 49 44 20 60 124 0.10 39 North Carroll 6 8 28 18 67 35 23 68 126 0.10 40 Bethesda-Chevy C 10 4 45 99 44 42 48 38 128 0.10 41 Patapsco 10 3 51 108 33 47 61 31 139 0.10 42 Wootton 6 5 46 77 69 38 57 48 143 0.10 43 Aberdeen 8 6 56 68 48 48 50 49 147 0.10 44 Queen Anne's Cou 8 5 34 50 50 45 73 32 150 0.10 45 Long Reach 6 6 55 34 42 40 62 51 153 0.10 46 Linganore 5 6 53 53 62 53 44 58 155 0.10 47 Leonardtown 10 2 42 97 22 36 100 22 158 0.10 48 Kent Island 11 5 33 66 53 46 94 25 165 0.10 49 Reservoir 7 8 54 40 56 54 42 71 167 0.10 50 Thomas Johnson 4 9 72 48 97 59 15 93 167 0.10 51 Rockville 11 3 52 110 29 58 86 26 170 0.10 52 Perry Hall 4 8 61 35 79 57 32 85 174 0.10 53 Dundalk 8 5 64 107 57 60 60 56 176 0.10 54 Chopticon 7 3 50 100 39 49 89 40 178 0.10 55 Paint Branch 4 8 81 78 99 62 28 88 178 0.10 56 Loch Raven 8 3 24 65 26 50 95 35 180 0.10 57 South River 10 6 15 33 31 43 97 43 183 0.10 58 Catoctin 9 4 39 89 40 52 92 41 185 0.10 59 Hammond 5 9 62 44 74 63 31 92 186 0.10 60 Old Mill 4 8 43 17 63 51 68 72 191 0.10 61 J.M. Bennett 6 7 48 56 87 69 71 55 195 0.10 62 Kenwood 3 9 68 51 92 71 29 97 197 0.10 63 Huntingtown 8 5 58 85 58 61 76 63 200 0.10 64 Western STES 7 5 78 109 59 67 69 64 200 0.10 65 Magruder 1 7 86 60 93 56 63 83 202 0.10 66 Parkside 3 6 60 55 80 66 78 59 203 0.10 67 Southern, Anne A 5 6 37 37 51 55 79 69 203 0.10 68 South Carroll 2 8 59 24 75 68 49 87 204 0.10 69 Francis Scott Ke 3 11 73 36 98 75 37 94 206 0.10 70 Polytechnic, Bal 9 4 80 111 38 64 101 42 207 0.10 71 Walter Johnson 2 9 84 61 113 65 53 104 222 0.10 72 Tuscarora 2 10 87 46 111 83 30 111 224 0.10 73 Joppatowne 1 5 102 94 72 93 58 75 226 0.10 74 North County 3 8 66 25 71 78 64 84 226 0.10 75 Gaithersburg 6 7 74 101 82 90 66 74 230 0.10 76 Havre De Grace 1 5 76 64 66 79 84 67 230 0.10 77 Kent County 1 7 83 39 83 82 75 73 230 0.10 78 Wilde Lake 3 8 71 52 86 77 65 90 232 0.10 79 Oakland Mills 4 10 65 49 96 80 47 106 233 0.10 80 Seneca Valley, M 1 6 95 67 85 72 85 76 233 0.10 81 Western, Baltimo 8 4 77 117 43 88 108 45 241 0.10 82 Walt Whitman, MD 1 9 93 45 95 74 80 89 243 0.10 83 Northeast 2 9 79 26 89 91 54 100 245 0.10 84 Edgewood 1 6 85 70 76 97 70 82 249 0.10 85 Parkville 2 7 69 54 73 84 88 78 250 0.10 86 Einstein 4 5 89 98 70 81 111 61 253 0.10 87 Smithsburg 5 7 63 76 68 76 109 70 255 0.10 88 Northwest 1 6 100 59 84 70 112 77 259 0.10 89 Perryville 1 1 92 115 28 116 117 28 261 0.10 90 Carver A&T, Balt 6 5 90 113 65 94 103 65 262 0.10 91 John F. Kennedy, 0 8 112 69 105 89 74 99 262 0.10 92 Howard 0 10 88 29 102 99 51 113 263 0.10 93 Cambridge-S Dorc 0 11 114 21 114 85 81 98 264 0.10 94 Glen Burnie 3 10 75 38 88 95 67 103 265 0.10 95 Rising Sun 0 1 110 118 34 119 118 33 270 0.10 96 Digital Harbor 0 2 116 102 46 117 107 46 270 0.10 97 Frederick 2 11 98 63 116 101 52 118 271 0.10 98 Northern-Calvert 3 6 70 88 78 92 99 80 271 0.10 99 Harford Tech 7 6 67 106 61 96 115 62 273 0.10 100 Great Mills 2 7 97 74 91 86 98 91 275 0.10 101 Meade 0 11 91 23 109 105 55 115 275 0.10 102 Richard Montgome 3 7 94 86 90 87 102 86 275 0.10 103 Randallstown 0 3 118 114 54 115 113 53 281 0.10 104 Lansdowne 3 9 96 105 108 102 72 112 286 0.10 105 Montgomery Blair 0 8 104 81 103 104 90 96 290 0.10 106 Brunswick, MD 3 9 101 80 107 103 82 109 294 0.10 107 Wicomico (Wi-Hi) 0 9 113 42 115 100 93 101 294 0.10 108 Woodlawn 0 8 117 103 106 106 83 108 297 0.10 109 Overlea 1 10 111 104 117 110 77 116 303 0.10 110 Calvert 0 8 108 90 104 111 87 107 305 0.10 111 City College 4 6 106 116 81 114 116 81 311 0.10 112 Patuxent 4 9 82 92 110 98 105 110 313 0.10 113 Owings Mills 1 11 107 62 119 107 91 119 317 0.10 114 Patterson 3 7 115 112 94 118 104 95 317 0.10 115 Watkins Mill 2 8 99 96 101 108 110 102 320 0.10 116 Wheaton 0 10 109 82 118 109 96 117 322 0.10 117 North Hagerstown 1 8 105 91 100 113 106 105 324 0.10 118 South Hagerstown 2 9 103 93 112 112 114 114 340 0.10 119 Elkton 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10
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